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The Fed raises interest rates for the first time in three years! How will the market react?
股林看美股。
joined discussion · Aug 26 09:51
Macro Market
Declining US Treasury yields and oil prices bolster market strength. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to 4.63%, while the 30-year yield dropped to 5.17%. Meanwhile, crude oil prices retreated, with WTI briefly dipping below $80 per barrel during intraday trading, as gold continued its upward momentum.
However, the latest data shows that US services activity and consumer confidence have fallen to their lowest levels since January. The market remains focused on this week's Jackson Hole symposium and the Federal Reserve Chair's speech.
On the geopolitical front, tensions between the US and Iran show signs of easing. Both sides have reached a consensus to resume agreement negotiations, covering sensitive issues such as uranium enrichment. However, no immediate breakthrough has been achieved, and attention should remain on the progress of technical negotiations.
Market Analysis
Today, significant capital inflows returned to the tech sector, with the Nasdaq reclaiming the 26,000 level, providing some confirmation of the short-term trend. $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$
In the memory chip sector, Micron (MU) and SK Hynix have both rebounded, returning to key support levels. Investors with existing positions need not rush to chase the rally; instead, they can patiently wait for subsequent catalysts.
Regarding optical modules, LITE and MRVL show relatively strong technical structures. If COHR pulls back to around $305, watch for opportunities following the realization of low-position holdings. $Coherent (COHR.US)$
Within the data center and power sectors, NBIS and BE have shown strong rebound momentum. Investors who established positions in BE between $200 and $205 are already in profit and may consider taking profits at appropriate opportunities. $Bloom Energy (BE.US)$
Capital attention toward the rare earth sector is beginning to rise, with MP serving as a key representative. Watch for entry opportunities near the $58 and $50 levels. $MP Materials (MP.US)$
Key events to watch
Key market focuses this week: NVIDIA earnings, the Jackson Hole Symposium, remarks by the Fed Chair, and further clarity on US-Iran tensions.
Overall, the quality of today's US equity rebound has improved compared to yesterday. The market rally was driven by declining US Treasury yields, easing geopolitical tensions, and the anticipated rebound in tech stocks.
The tech theme is leaning more toward rebuilding momentum after a correction; maintaining patience remains crucial at this stage. For investors already holding core tech assets at reasonable cost bases, it is advisable to hold rather than trade frequently. For those opening new positions, prefer phased entries to avoid chasing highs, while strictly managing overall portfolio risk.
If you also trade US stocks, feel free to follow me. I share daily market insights and stock-specific opportunities to help you plan your investments in advance.
Macro Market Declining US Treasury yields and oil prices bolster market strength. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to 4.63%, while the 30-year yield dropped to 5.17%. Meanwhile, crude oil prices retreated, with WTI briefly dipping below $80 per barrel during intraday trading, as gold continued its upward momentum. However, the latest data shows that US services activity and consumer confidence have fallen to their lowest levels since January. The market remains focused on this week's Jackson Hole symposium and the Federal Reserve Chair's speech. On the geopolitical front, tensions between the US and Iran show signs of easing. Both sides have reached a consensus to resume agreement negotiations, covering sensitive issues such as uranium enrichment. However, no immediate breakthrough has been achieved, and attention should remain on the progress of technical negotiations. Market Analysis Today, significant capital inflows returned to the tech sector, with the Nasdaq reclaiming the 26,000 level, providing some confirmation of the short-term trend. $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ In the memory chip sector, Micron (MU) and SK Hynix have both rebounded, returning to key support levels. Investors with existing positions need not rush to chase the rally; instead, they can patiently wait for subsequent catalysts. Regarding optical modules, LITE and MRVL show relatively strong technical structures. If COHR pulls back to around $305, watch for opportunities following the realization of low-position holdings. $Coherent (COHR.US)$ In the data center and power sectors, NBIS and BE have shown strong rebound momentum. Those who positioned in BE between $200 and $205 are already in profit and may consider taking profits at an appropriate time. $Bloom Energy (BE.US)$ Capital attention in the rare earth sector is beginning to increase, with MP...
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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