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港股窩輪Jenny
joined discussion · Feb 25 10:21

[Warrant Insights] XPeng Motors' stock price is fluctuating within a range; 73.8 yuan becomes the key resistance level.

February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$
The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement.
From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, the various indicators show some divergence. They need to be combined for rational judgment rather than relying on a single signal:
1. On the previous day (the 24th), XPeng Motors closed at 70.65 yuan, compared with MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). It can be seen that the stock price is currently above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining some short-term support, but is also under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day mid-to-long term moving averages. It is in a consolidation zone between the medium- and short-term moving averages, and the direction remains unclear.
February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement. From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, there is some divergence among the indicators. It's important to combine them for rational judgment rather than relying on any single signal: 1. On the previous day (February 24), XPeng closed at 70.65 yuan, compared to MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). This shows that the stock price currently stands firmly above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining certain short-term support, but is simultaneously under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day long-term moving averages. It remains within an oscillating range between medium- and short-term moving averages, with no clear direction yet. 2、Key support levels are at 67 yuan (Support 1) and 65.7 yuan (Support 2). If the stock price falls back in subsequent sessions, these two positions will be critical areas for buying interest. If they hold, the short-term oscillation pattern is likely to continue. Resistance levels are at 73.8 yuan (Resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (Resistance 2), with 73.8 yuan also close to the 30-day moving average, exerting relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is required to open further upside potential; otherwise, a pullback into oscillation is highly probable. 3. The RSI indicator is at 41, remaining in the neutral zone without any overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced. The MACD signal suggests a sell, which contrasts with the RSI...
2、Key support levels are 67 yuan (support 1) and 65.7 yuan (support 2). If the stock price falls back subsequently, these two positions will be important areas for buying support. If they hold, the short-term consolidation pattern is likely to continue; resistance levels are 73.8 yuan (resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (resistance 2), where 73.8 yuan is also close to the 30-day moving average, creating relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is needed to open up further upward space; otherwise, the stock is likely to fall back into consolidation.
3. The RSI indicator is at 41, in the neutral zone, without showing overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced; the MACD signal is sell, showing some divergence from RSI; additionally, the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought state but gives a neutral signal. CCI and Stochastic Oscillator indicators are both neutral, while the ADX indicator shows sell. Momentum oscillation and rate of change indicators lean towards buy. There is significant divergence across the overall indicators, so it is not advisable to rely excessively on a single indicator for judgment.
4. Comprehensive judgment: The summary signal from technical indicators is buy, with a signal strength of 8. Considering that the stock price is firmly above MA10 and trading volume is stable, the short-term bias is toward a consolidation with a slight bullish tendency. However, given the pressure from mid-term moving averages and some indicators showing bearish signals, there is no clear condition for a one-sided trend yet. Investors are advised to adopt a consolidation mindset and avoid blindly chasing highs.
February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement. From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, there is some divergence among the indicators. It's important to combine them for rational judgment rather than relying on any single signal: 1. On the previous day (February 24), XPeng closed at 70.65 yuan, compared to MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). This shows that the stock price currently stands firmly above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining certain short-term support, but is simultaneously under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day long-term moving averages. It remains within an oscillating range between medium- and short-term moving averages, with no clear direction yet. 2、Key support levels are at 67 yuan (Support 1) and 65.7 yuan (Support 2). If the stock price falls back in subsequent sessions, these two positions will be critical areas for buying interest. If they hold, the short-term oscillation pattern is likely to continue. Resistance levels are at 73.8 yuan (Resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (Resistance 2), with 73.8 yuan also close to the 30-day moving average, exerting relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is required to open further upside potential; otherwise, a pullback into oscillation is highly probable. 3. The RSI indicator is at 41, remaining in the neutral zone without any overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced. The MACD signal suggests a sell, which contrasts with the RSI...
In the new energy vehicle sector, on February 24th, stocks generally followed the broader market's pullback, with major stocks closing lower (except for a slight increase in XPeng Motors), indicating a cooling of market risk appetite that day, with capital flowing out of growth stocks. The sector as a whole is in a range-bound consolidation or adjustment pattern.
1、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ : Closing price of 68.80 yuan, down 2.34% for the day, with the stock price below MA10 and MA30, and RSI at 46. The comprehensive signal is sell (strength 7), indicating significant short-term adjustment pressure;
2、 $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ : Closing price of 135.20 yuan, down 2.17% for the day, with the stock price below MA10 and MA30, but the comprehensive signal is buy (strength 8), showing relatively strong technicals within the sector;
3、 $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ : Closing price of 245.00 yuan, down 1.21% for the day, with the stock price above MA10 but below MA30 and MA60, and the comprehensive signal is buy (strength 9), showing relatively robust technicals;
Key observation points for the sector: Going forward, attention should be paid to whether BYD and Li Auto, whose technicals remain relatively strong, can lead to stabilization in the sector. At the same time, watch whether XPeng Motors and Nio can gain buying support at their respective key support levels. If leading stocks in the sector fail to stabilize, it may further drive sector adjustments.
Review of Bull/Bear Warrants & Featured Products:
Warrants and bull/bear products related to XPeng Motors are analyzed objectively based on product data for investor reference:
1. Warrant and bull/bear review:
Review of the XPeng Motors-related warrant products recommended on 2026/2/13: $UB#XPENGRP2812A.P (55598.HK)$ , with an increase of 18% after two days, while the underlying XPeng Motors stock dropped by 2.16% during the same period. The product performance matched the movement of the underlying stock as expected.
Investors are reminded here that warrant products have expiration dates and implied volatility as influencing factors, with significant short-term fluctuations. Close attention should be paid to changes in the underlying stock movements and product data, adjusting strategies accordingly and promptly.
February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement. From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, there is some divergence among the indicators. It's important to combine them for rational judgment rather than relying on any single signal: 1. On the previous day (February 24), XPeng closed at 70.65 yuan, compared to MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). This shows that the stock price currently stands firmly above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining certain short-term support, but is simultaneously under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day long-term moving averages. It remains within an oscillating range between medium- and short-term moving averages, with no clear direction yet. 2、Key support levels are at 67 yuan (Support 1) and 65.7 yuan (Support 2). If the stock price falls back in subsequent sessions, these two positions will be critical areas for buying interest. If they hold, the short-term oscillation pattern is likely to continue. Resistance levels are at 73.8 yuan (Resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (Resistance 2), with 73.8 yuan also close to the 30-day moving average, exerting relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is required to open further upside potential; otherwise, a pullback into oscillation is highly probable. 3. The RSI indicator is at 41, remaining in the neutral zone without any overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced. The MACD signal suggests a sell, which contrasts with the RSI...
2. Selected warrants:
Selection principles: Considering core data such as product leverage, strike price, and implied volatility, we prioritize products with good value and alignment with the current technical trend of the underlying stock, divided into call and put categories to cover investors with different operational approaches.
First one: $BIXPENG@EC2610A.C (25629.HK)$ : Strike price $80, actual leverage 2.9, one of the highest leveraged products among XPeng Motors-related call warrants currently available. Suitable for investors optimistic about XPeng Motors breaking through the resistance level at $73.8, potentially moving towards $77.1. High leverage can amplify returns (but also losses, so caution is required).
Second one: $SGXPENG@EP2606A.P (22390.HK)$ : Strike price $78.63, actual leverage 2.3, with relatively ideal leverage and implied volatility, showing stable fluctuations. Suitable for investors who believe XPeng Motors will not break through the resistance level at $73.8 in the short term and may retreat to test the support level at $67, used to hedge against underlying stock risks or for short-term swing trading.
Risk Warning:Warrants are derivatives with high investment thresholds and risks. Investors are advised to fully understand the product characteristics, avoid blindly following investments, reasonably control positions, and act within their means.
February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement. From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, there is some divergence among the indicators. It's important to combine them for rational judgment rather than relying on any single signal: 1. On the previous day (February 24), XPeng closed at 70.65 yuan, compared to MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). This shows that the stock price currently stands firmly above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining certain short-term support, but is simultaneously under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day long-term moving averages. It remains within an oscillating range between medium- and short-term moving averages, with no clear direction yet. 2、Key support levels are at 67 yuan (Support 1) and 65.7 yuan (Support 2). If the stock price falls back in subsequent sessions, these two positions will be critical areas for buying interest. If they hold, the short-term oscillation pattern is likely to continue. Resistance levels are at 73.8 yuan (Resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (Resistance 2), with 73.8 yuan also close to the 30-day moving average, exerting relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is required to open further upside potential; otherwise, a pullback into oscillation is highly probable. 3. The RSI indicator is at 41, remaining in the neutral zone without any overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced. The MACD signal suggests a sell, which contrasts with the RSI...
February 24th,$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ The closing price for the day was 70.65 yuan, with a daily increase of 1.65%, trading volume of 836 million yuan, and a 5-day volatility of 4.9%. The overall trend remained relatively stable without any significant one-sided movement. From a detailed analysis of technical indicators, there is some divergence among the indicators. It's important to combine them for rational judgment rather than relying on any single signal: 1. On the previous day (February 24), XPeng closed at 70.65 yuan, compared to MA10 (69.25 yuan), MA30 (73.42 yuan), and MA60 (75.58 yuan). This shows that the stock price currently stands firmly above the short-term 10-day moving average, gaining certain short-term support, but is simultaneously under pressure from the 30-day and 60-day long-term moving averages. It remains within an oscillating range between medium- and short-term moving averages, with no clear direction yet. 2、Key support levels are at 67 yuan (Support 1) and 65.7 yuan (Support 2). If the stock price falls back in subsequent sessions, these two positions will be critical areas for buying interest. If they hold, the short-term oscillation pattern is likely to continue. Resistance levels are at 73.8 yuan (Resistance 1) and 77.1 yuan (Resistance 2), with 73.8 yuan also close to the 30-day moving average, exerting relatively strong pressure. A breakout with increased volume is required to open further upside potential; otherwise, a pullback into oscillation is highly probable. 3. The RSI indicator is at 41, remaining in the neutral zone without any overbought or oversold signals, indicating that the current forces of buyers and sellers are relatively balanced. The MACD signal suggests a sell, which contrasts with the RSI...
What’s your take on XPeng Motors' short-term trend? A. It can break through the resistance level of 73.8 yuan. B. It will retreat to test the support level at 67 yuan. C. It will continue to consolidate.
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Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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