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特斯拉2022 AI Day，有哪些亮點？
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joined discussion · Oct 1, 2022 12:14 ·

Musk launched Optimus Prime to compete for Bezos's Robot Dog.

"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage.
Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up".
The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car."
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing.
Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods.
Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
For specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime is expected to sell for less than $20,000, with the goal of building more than a million useful humanoid robots as soon as possible. In order to further reduce the price, engineer Tesla, Inc. is working to reduce the power consumption and the number of parts of Optimus Prime.
This is the second time that Tesla, Inc. has held an AI Day event. Musk first introduced the Tesla, Inc. robot concept on AI Day a year ago. At that time, Optimus Prime pretended to be a real person sang and danced vigorously.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
Unlike a single-function housekeeping robot, a housekeeper-like home service robot needs to perform multitasking, which is represented by a floor-sweeping robot.
The home service robot is absolutely in line with people's imagination for the future, just like Andrew in the movie "Robot Butler". It liberates you from complicated labor, and it is best to accompany you and communicate with you. It is best to accidentally wake up AI, have real consciousness, and fall in love with you.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
But the truth is, building a machine that can replace humans is one of the thorniest problems in the field of robots and artificial intelligence. So far, there is no real "housekeeping robot" that can be mass-produced into people's lives. Whether it is Samsung's Bot Handy, or XIAOMI's CyberOne iron big, beautiful small but robot, preferred Walker, etc., are only seen prototypes or even video, but have not yet been mass-produced and sold.
The representative of curve to save the nation is Amazon.Com Inc, who is also the most real opponent of Tesla, Inc. Optimus Prime at present.
Just a few days ago, Amazon.Com Inc announced an upgrade to the robot Astro at his hardware conference in the fall of 2022, which was first released last year and is a dog robot that can monitor household appliances, monitor intruders, deliver drinks and interactive entertainment.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
Bezos, who has always wanted a domestic robot, asked company executives and engineers about the feasibility of the project several times in 2017, Wired reported. It was also in that year that Amazon.Com Inc's special project team thought the time was ripe and officially started. The final answer for this project is the Astro Robot (or Robot Dog) released in 2021.
Although Bezos has retired from Amazon.Com Inc and stepped down as president, the birth of Astro is closely related to it.
The robot war between him and Musk also began after the space war.
It can be said that Bezos has lost to Musk in the space war, so who will cry and who will laugh in the robot war?
A
Amazon.Com Inc wants to be pre-emptive, Tesla, Inc. wants to be a blockbuster, it is also a family service robot, the two current products are very different.
Judging from the appearance of the product, Amazon.Com Inc's Astro is not like a robot, but more like a robot dog.
The limpless body moves on wheels at the bottom, and the Astro has a flat panel on its head, which usually shows two (not watery) eyes and allows users to interoperate on the screen if necessary.
Astro relies on the bottom wheel to move, whether moving or charging, it is a "floor-sweeping robot"-moving through cameras and sensors to avoid obstacles in the home, and charging silently back to its own charging post.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
What can Astro do? From the shape is not difficult to see, to help you wash dishes, litter, cooking these things are not to think about, to put it simply, what Astro does is patrol every day, report all kinds of abnormal situation to the host.
For example, if the gas is on, I will remind you; someone in the house will give you a warning; if you find something wrong with the old man, hurry up to tell you, and so on. Anyway, Astro looks a bit like a smart camera with wheels. Oh, by the way, what's better than the camera is that Astro can release music and videos and make video calls.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
However, the process of mapping Astro "adoption" home is more "futuristic". You need to show Astro around the house, but instead of setting the area name and function on App afterwards, you tell it directly: "this is the bedroom!" Or point to the door and say, "this is the front door!"
Amazon.Com Inc also knows that this is not a "killer product". In an interview with the media, Amazon.Com Inc consumer robot general manager and head of the Astro project Ken Washington said: "Astro is our first robot, it will not be our last." In addition, he firmly believes that domestic robots will one day be popular.
He also said that Amazon.Com Inc hopes that with the expansion and steady upgrading of Astro sales in the market, eventually wait until that "killer product appears."
It is true that Astro is not amazing enough at the moment, but it has not only achieved mass production and sale, but also kept the price at $999 (7193 yuan) in line with the integrated home service robot.
The most critical part that Astro avoids at this stage-- the ability to grab and manipulate physical objects-- is also the biggest technical obstacle facing home service robots. Amazon.Com Inc does believe that this technology can be achieved in the next 5 to 10 years, but at this stage, they choose to castrate it first.
This practice naturally helps Amazon.Com Inc to take the lead in seizing the market and occupying the minds of users, but this does not mean that Amazon.Com Inc will continue to win. Get up early in the morning, catch an evening collection, such a pain, Bezos has not experienced.
Also a private aerospace company, Bezos's Blue Origin (Blue Origin) was founded two years earlier than Musk's SpaceX, and successfully launched and recovered "New Shepard" for the first time in the 15th year of the company, but Musk publicly ridiculed: "We have completed six suborbital flights three years ago."
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
In 2021, Musk beat Bezos for an exclusive contract with NASA worth $2.9 billion. You know, the year before, Blue Origin received $579 million in development funding for NASA, more than four times that of SpaceX.
The rush can not make Amazon.Com Inc rest easy on the home service robot track, and the brief upper hand can not predict whether Tesla, Inc. will really catch up with the next second.
B
At this point, let's take a look at the Optimus Prime displayed by Musk on Tesla, Inc. AI Day today. It seems that Amazon.Com Inc has lost. Bezos is losing to Musk again?
Not necessarily, because Musk has a lot of variables on his side. To put it simply, there are two points: first, the development and mass production of this robot is really too difficult; second, Musk has many previous "priors" of ambition to run faster than mass production.
In a word, don't forget that today's Optimus Prime is just a prototype, and it's really hard to say whether it can be put into use as scheduled and really go into the homes of ordinary people.
Carry dishes, move chairs, pick up dirty clothes, put them in the washing machine. The biggest technical obstacle to the good helper robot depicted by Optimus Prime is the frequent contact and manipulation of objects.
Ayonga Hereid, an expert who majored in mechanical engineering at the University of Michigan, explained to the media the difficulty: robots lack the effective force or tactile feedback that humans are born with, and today's manipulators are often equipped with simple grippers or special tools and are at rest. However, home robots not only need to contact and manipulate a variety of irregular and elastic materials, but also often need to work on the move, the accuracy will be greatly reduced.
This is different from the kind of robot used in Amazon.Com Inc's intelligent warehouse, in which there is a strict organization, regardless of the order in which the tasks are executed or the environment in which they are located. Engineers can program the robot's trajectory or simple movements in advance.
But to enter the house to help humans, regardless of the environment in which the robot is located, or the order of the tasks, everything is full of uncertainty, even messy-imagine dealing with passing dogs, cats that suddenly pop out, across the living room to the bedroom to get a bra with steel rings, a soft T-shirt and rough heavy jeans, and then go to the bathroom to turn on the washing machine. Then bend over to pick up a few kilos of laundry detergent. Such an operation is simple for humans, but it will be a double test of software and hardware for robots.
And this is the challenge that Optimus Prime will face.
The AI Day show may not say much. Who remembers that it was three years ago that Musk enthusiastically displayed Tesla, Inc. 's cyber truck Cybertruck on stage? On that day in 2019, Musk personally broke the window of the Cybertruck on stage, and the purpose of the display was to prove how strong the Cybertruck glass was.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
By the end of the year, however, Cybertruck had received 250000 orders, which has exceeded 520000 this year.
As for the time of mass production, it has been postponed three times in three years, the most recent in September. According to a report released by Reuters, Tesla, Inc. will delay mass production of the Cybertruck until the end of the first quarter of 2023, and Tesla, Inc. has deleted all statements on the website that the delivery date of the model is 2022 and replaced it with "you will be able to complete your configuration as production approaches."
As for Musk's other company, Neuralink, which has been going on tomorrow for many years, it has been unable to test brain-computer interface products on humans, let alone commercialized them, because of technological and ethical issues.
C
But both Amazon.Com Inc and Tesla, Inc., at least externally, are full of confidence, and they are indeed qualified to be confident.
Amazon.Com Inc has been quietly laying out the robot field for many years. In 2012, Amazon.Com Inc bought Kiva Systems's robotic warehousing business for $775 million, starting the warehousing automation process. In 2020, Amazon.Com Inc bought self-driving start-up Zoox for $1.2 billion.
Interestingly, Zoox was in a difficult situation precisely because he was caught in a lawsuit against Tesla, Inc.. At that time, Tesla, Inc. accused four employees of stealing trade secrets before moving to Zoox. Zoox and Tesla, Inc. finally reached an out-of-court settlement, and the amount of reparations was not disclosed. Zoox later had to lay off 120 employees, or about 10 per cent of its workforce.
Without promising to turn around, Amazon.Com Inc bought it for this company. Musk (as usual) ungracefully tweeted Aitbezos, calling him a "scholar".
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
This year, Amazon.Com Inc once again stepped in, this time spent $1.7 billion to buy the industry's well-known Roomba vacuum cleaner maker, the outside world can see Amazon.Com Inc's determination to enter the household robot industry.
Musk, on the other hand, feels that he already has a great "natural advantage" in being a robot.
"obviously, we are making the parts needed for a useful humanoid robot, so I think we should be able to make it," he said last year. "if we don't, others will do the same. We should do it and make sure it is safe. "
Minsheng Securities believes that the core components of humanoid robots are similar to existing industrial robots, but the use scene is more complex and requires higher degrees of freedom, motion accuracy and sensing performance. It is estimated that the main cost composition of humanoid robot is: power system (energy battery, transmission, reducer, controller, etc.) accounts for about 35%; intelligent AI system about 30%; structural unit (carbon fiber, etc.) about 20%; other parts about 15%.
In addition, autopilot is also Musk's housekeeping skill, and Optimus Prime comes from the autopilot / artificial intelligence team.
"We develop autopilot and customize a lot of hardware and software to make them run efficiently and save energy. We use neural networks to solve the problem of car navigation, and cars are like robots with four wheels. If we extend it to a robot with arms and legs, the challenge is to make the robot smart enough. And let it interact with the environment in a wise way. "
Of course, self-driving technology itself is not mature enough, Musk himself does not deny this, and said: "when we solve the problem of self-driving cars, we will be able to extend artificial intelligence technology to humanoid robots." this will have a wider range of applications than cars. "
"wider application" is probably an important reason why Musk is very interested in humanoid robots. According to Musk's vision, Tesla, Inc. robots will "take all" industrial production and family services, and will be worth more in the future than cars. Even "will completely change the economy."
The global robot market is expected to reach $33.58 billion in 2021, with an average growth rate of about 11.5 per cent from 2016 to 2021, according to the 2021 China Robot Industry Development report by the China Institute of Electronics. Of this amount, $14.49 billion is for industrial robots, $12.52 billion for service robots and $6.57 billion for special robots. As the epidemic is brought under control around the world, the robot market will gradually pick up, and the global robot market is expected to exceed 47.7 billion US dollars by 2023.
"A future without poverty." Musk looked forward to the transformation of human civilization that Tesla, Inc. 's robot (Tesla Bot) would bring on stage. Tesla, Inc. 's humanoid robot prototype, named Optimus Prime (Optimus), was finally unveiled on the morning of October 1, Beijing time after more than a year of "warm-up". The robot stepped onto the stage, showed its range of movements, waved hello and waved its arms in the air. In terms of appearance, it is still very different from Musk's previous PPT: the prototype on the stage is not "sheathed" and the body is not so slender. But it is also convenient for Tesla, Inc. to directly show the "soul" of Optimus Prime, and the staff even pointed directly to a part of it and said, "by the way, this is the self-driving computer we use in our car." Tesla, Inc. said the robot runs on its fully autopilot computer. Officials described their efforts to develop and train the robot, from initial design steps to more advanced features, such as what it calls "pelvic unlocking", to making the robot's arms swing. Musk demonstrated further practical functions through a demo video, such as moving cartons in a car factory, watering plants and moving metal rods. Subsequently, Musk also directly invited the next generation of products to the stage, but unfortunately, now it still needs three people to help. For the specific commercialization, Musk said Optimus Prime.
Honda ASIMO robot
Service robot is divided into household service robot, medical service robot and public service robot. Of the $12.52 billion market for service robots in 2021, home service robots accounted for 65 per cent of the $8.2 billion market.
Among the home service robots, they also include "family service robots" such as Amazon.Com Inc Astro and Tesla, Inc. Optimus Prime, as well as floor-sweeping robots, educational companion robots and bionic robots.
In the market of home service robots, single-function, low-level intelligent products such as floor-sweeping robots are the main force. The housekeeper-like family service robot is like a field that has not been reclaimed, waiting for a spring rain.
With the rapid development of technologies such as environmental awareness, motion control, human-computer interaction and artificial intelligence chips, the ability and sensitivity of robots to adapt to complex environments continue to improve. Amazon.Com Inc and Tesla, Inc. are targeting this field. Many technology companies have also targeted or even tried.
At last year's International Consumer Electronics Show (CES), Samsung launched BotHandy, which can sort out clothes, serve tea and deliver water and other household chores, but the launch date has not been announced. Notably, the vice chairman of Samsung Electronics said earlier that the company had invested more than $200 billion in future technology in three years, targeting robots, system semiconductors, biotechnology, next-generation communications and artificial intelligence.
Domestic technology companies such as iFLYTEK, Midea, XIAOMI and Youbixuan have made it clear that they are carrying out research and development of home service robots, of which XIAOMI and Youbixuan already have physical displays, while Midea said it will launch its first product in the second half of this year.
Home service robots are less "original" than Kindle for Amazon.Com Inc and Mars Dream for Musk, but now may be a good time to get in.
Maybe Amazon.Com Inc first succeeded in iterating off the wheels of Astro and growing hands that can do something practical; maybe Musk will work miracles again and really lead the transformation of the whole industry.
Or maybe the future is neither Amazon.Com Inc's nor Tesla, Inc. 's.The whole field of home service robots is waiting for a mass production of "killer products".
Reference:
1.连线（Wired）：Amazon Wants Its Home Robot, Astro, to Anticipate Your Every Need
two。 Geek website: "Amazon.Com Inc acquires iRobot for 1.7 billion US dollars, which opens the prelude to the consolidation of the robot industry."
3.the Washington Post:Elon Musk to debut ‘friendly’ robot he says will not overpower humans
4.Inverse:Why everyday household chores may be practically impossible for today’s robots
5. Home of IT: "Musk: future Optimus Prime robots are more valuable than cars."
6. Financial Associated Press: "Amazon.Com Inc buys self-driving company, Musk is angry:" plagiarizing Dog "
7. Big data Abstract: "Amazon.Com Inc warehouse robot on the new!" Ten years after the huge acquisition of Kiva system, Amazon.Com Inc finally came up with the real thing. "
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$$Amazon (AMZN.US)$
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