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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Jan 23 10:03

[Warrant Perspective] Li Auto's technical pattern remains unclear; can the short-term rebound continue?

On January 22, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$
The index closed at 26,629.96 points, up slightly by 0.17% for the day, maintaining a sideways trading pattern throughout the session with limited overall market volatility. The new energy vehicle sector did not strengthen in line with the broader market but instead showed significant divergence, with considerable variation in individual stock performances, among which $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ 、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ recorded substantial gains, $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ Stable fluctuations, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ while it fell against the market trend.
Li Auto closed at 65.55 yuan on the previous day (the 22nd), rising 4.13% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.308 billion yuan, showing relatively healthy price and volume cooperation. In terms of technical patterns, the closing price was higher than the MA10 (63.90 yuan) but still slightly below the MA30 (65.24 yuan), with medium- and short-term moving averages exerting mild pressure on the stock price. The RSI indicator stood at 43, in a neutral-to-weak zone, with no signs of overbought signals, also reflecting that short-term momentum has not fully erupted.
We 【HK Stock Report】January 22nd [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] - Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Li Auto, Alibaba, Pop Mart, China UnicomSome analysis notes for Li Auto indicate that the stock price has been consolidating around the 60-yuan level recently, rebounding after hitting a low of 61.5 yuan the previous day, closing slightly above the middle Bollinger Band. It is worth noting that since mid-October last year, it has continued to move sideways, correcting from the previous high of 87 yuan to now, showing a relatively weak trend. The summary signal from technical indicators is 'sell,' with eight sell signals versus five buy signals, indicating there may still be room for short-term adjustments. On the support side, the first level of support is seen at 62.9 yuan, and if broken, it could test 61 yuan; resistance levels initially look toward 67.5 yuan, with further breakthroughs potentially reaching 70.1 yuan. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$$BABA-W (09988.HK)$$POP MART (09992.HK)$$CHINA UNICOM (00762.HK)$
On January 22, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ The index closed at 26,629.96 points, up slightly by 0.17% for the day, maintaining a sideways trading pattern throughout the session with limited overall market volatility. The new energy vehicle sector did not strengthen in line with the broader market but instead showed significant divergence, with considerable variation in individual stock performances, among which $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ 、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ recorded substantial gains, $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained steadily volatile, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ declined against the trend. Li Auto closed at 65.55 yuan on the previous day (the 22nd), rising 4.13% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.308 billion yuan, showing relatively healthy price-volume coordination. From a technical perspective, the closing price was above the MA10 (63.90 yuan) but still slightly below the MA30 (65.24 yuan), with medium- and short-term moving averages exerting mild downward pressure on the stock price. The RSI indicator stood at 43, within a neutral-to-weak range, without signs of overbought conditions, reflecting that short-term momentum has yet to fully materialize. We 【HK Stock Report】[Share Link: January 22nd [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] - Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Li Auto, Alibaba, Pop Mart, China Unicom]There were also comments on Li Auto, noting that its share price has been consolidating around the 60-yuan level recently, rebounding after hitting a low of 61.5 yuan the previous day, closing slightly above the middle Bollinger Band. It is worth noting that since mid-October last year, it has been in a prolonged sideways consolidation...
Review and Selection of Warrants and Bull/Bear Contracts
Past Product Review
Reviewing the Li Auto-related bull certificate recommended on January 20, its performance was impressive. $SG#LIAUTRC2609B.C (55810.HK)$ The increase reached 37% two days later, $JP#LIAUTRC2608A.C (61326.HK)$ and rose even higher by 43% two days later, significantly outperforming the underlying stock's gain of 5.98%, demonstrating how appropriate warrant products can effectively amplify returns.
On January 22, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ The index closed at 26,629.96 points, up slightly by 0.17% for the day, maintaining a sideways trading pattern throughout the session with limited overall market volatility. The new energy vehicle sector did not strengthen in line with the broader market but instead showed significant divergence, with considerable variation in individual stock performances, among which $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ 、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ recorded substantial gains, $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained steadily volatile, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ declined against the trend. Li Auto closed at 65.55 yuan on the previous day (the 22nd), rising 4.13% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.308 billion yuan, showing relatively healthy price-volume coordination. From a technical perspective, the closing price was above the MA10 (63.90 yuan) but still slightly below the MA30 (65.24 yuan), with medium- and short-term moving averages exerting mild downward pressure on the stock price. The RSI indicator stood at 43, within a neutral-to-weak range, without signs of overbought conditions, reflecting that short-term momentum has yet to fully materialize. We 【HK Stock Report】[Share Link: January 22nd [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] - Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Li Auto, Alibaba, Pop Mart, China Unicom]There were also comments on Li Auto, noting that its share price has been consolidating around the 60-yuan level recently, rebounding after hitting a low of 61.5 yuan the previous day, closing slightly above the middle Bollinger Band. It is worth noting that since mid-October last year, it has been in a prolonged sideways consolidation...
Selected Warrant Products
Considering Li Auto’s current technical trends and diverging signals, two high-value-for-money products have been carefully selected for investors’ reference:
1. J.P. Morgan Bull (61326): Actual leverage of 5.7 times, low premium, recovery price at 59 yuan. Current stock price is at a safe distance from the recovery price, suitable for investors optimistic about a short-term rebound continuation, allowing them to benefit from the underlying stock's volatility.
2. $UBLIAUT@EC2609A.C (24865.HK)$: Leverage of 3.5 times, with the lowest premium and implied volatility, exercise price at 75.93 yuan, offering excellent cost-performance. Suitable for investors expecting Li Auto to break through resistance levels while seeking steady returns.
On January 22, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ The index closed at 26,629.96 points, up slightly by 0.17% for the day, maintaining a sideways trading pattern throughout the session with limited overall market volatility. The new energy vehicle sector did not strengthen in line with the broader market but instead showed significant divergence, with considerable variation in individual stock performances, among which $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ 、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ recorded substantial gains, $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained steadily volatile, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ declined against the trend. Li Auto closed at 65.55 yuan on the previous day (the 22nd), rising 4.13% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.308 billion yuan, showing relatively healthy price-volume coordination. From a technical perspective, the closing price was above the MA10 (63.90 yuan) but still slightly below the MA30 (65.24 yuan), with medium- and short-term moving averages exerting mild downward pressure on the stock price. The RSI indicator stood at 43, within a neutral-to-weak range, without signs of overbought conditions, reflecting that short-term momentum has yet to fully materialize. We 【HK Stock Report】[Share Link: January 22nd [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] - Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Li Auto, Alibaba, Pop Mart, China Unicom]There were also comments on Li Auto, noting that its share price has been consolidating around the 60-yuan level recently, rebounding after hitting a low of 61.5 yuan the previous day, closing slightly above the middle Bollinger Band. It is worth noting that since mid-October last year, it has been in a prolonged sideways consolidation...
On January 22, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ The index closed at 26,629.96 points, up slightly by 0.17% for the day, maintaining a sideways trading pattern throughout the session with limited overall market volatility. The new energy vehicle sector did not strengthen in line with the broader market but instead showed significant divergence, with considerable variation in individual stock performances, among which $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ 、 $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ recorded substantial gains, $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained steadily volatile, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ declined against the trend. Li Auto closed at 65.55 yuan on the previous day (the 22nd), rising 4.13% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.308 billion yuan, showing relatively healthy price-volume coordination. From a technical perspective, the closing price was above the MA10 (63.90 yuan) but still slightly below the MA30 (65.24 yuan), with medium- and short-term moving averages exerting mild downward pressure on the stock price. The RSI indicator stood at 43, within a neutral-to-weak range, without signs of overbought conditions, reflecting that short-term momentum has yet to fully materialize. We 【HK Stock Report】[Share Link: January 22nd [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] - Hang Seng Index, Tencent, Li Auto, Alibaba, Pop Mart, China Unicom]There were also comments on Li Auto, noting that its share price has been consolidating around the 60-yuan level recently, rebounding after hitting a low of 61.5 yuan the previous day, closing slightly above the middle Bollinger Band. It is worth noting that since mid-October last year, it has been in a prolonged sideways consolidation...
Risk Warning: Warrant products carry leverage and higher risk; investors should rationally choose based on their own risk tolerance.
Do you view this wave of Li Auto’s rebound as a technical bounce or a trend reversal? Would you prioritize J.P. Morgan Bull (61326) or UBS Group Call Warrant (24865)?Come to the comment section and share your thoughts. Want to see more analysis? Remember to follow 'Hong Kong Warrant Jenny' for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.。
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantsSelection #WarrantsStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HongKongWarrantsJenny #IdealAutomobile #NewEnergyVehicles #TechnicalAnalysis #HongKongTechnicalAnalysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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