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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Jan 19 10:26

[Warrant Perspective] Meituan derivatives show strong performance, with technical aspects simultaneously analyzed

January 16 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$
The price movement was quite volatile, closing at 100 yuan, a slight daily decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 3.754 billion yuan. The 5-day fluctuation range reached 7.7%, indicating significant stock price volatility.
As we mentioned in our [HK Stock Broadcast],January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYDIn our analysis, Meituan previously surged to 108 yuan, then quickly retreated to 98 yuan. After a brief rebound to near 106 yuan, it fell again on January 16, hitting an intraday low of 99 yuan, and finally managed to stabilize at the 100-yuan mark. From the trend perspective, the stock lacks a clear one-sided direction, showing typical range-bound oscillation characteristics. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $LI NING (02331.HK)$ $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ $SMIC (00981.HK)$ $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$
From a technical indicator perspective, the current long-short signals are relatively balanced, further confirming the range-bound pattern. The RSI indicator is at 46, in the neutral zone, showing no significant overbought or oversold extreme signals; the Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, giving a buy signal. However, the stochastic oscillator, MACD signal, and Bollinger Bands all indicate sell signals, with multiple oscillators overall maintaining neutrality.
January 16 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ The price movement was quite volatile, closing at 100 yuan, a slight daily decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 3.754 billion yuan. The 5-day fluctuation range reached 7.7%, indicating significant stock price volatility. As we mentioned in our [HK Stock Broadcast],[Share Link: January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYD]In our analysis, Meituan previously surged to 108 yuan, then quickly retreated to 98 yuan. After a brief rebound to near 106 yuan, it fell again on January 16, hitting an intraday low of 99 yuan, and finally managed to stabilize at the 100-yuan mark. From the trend perspective, the stock lacks a clear one-sided direction, showing typical range-bound oscillation characteristics. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $LI NING (02331.HK)$ $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ $SMIC (00981.HK)$ $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ From the technical indicators, the current buy/sell signals are relatively balanced, further confirming the oscillatory pattern. The RSI indicator is at 46, in the neutral zone, without significant overbought or oversold extreme signals. The Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, issuing a buy signal, but stochastic oscillators, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all suggest sell signals. Overall, multiple oscillation indicators remain neutral. Regarding moving averages, MA10, MA30, and MA60 stand at 102.77 yuan, 101.76 yuan, ...
In terms of moving averages, MA10, MA30, and MA60 stand at 102.77 yuan, 101.76 yuan, and 101.07 yuan respectively. As of 10:00 AM on January 19th, Meituan’s latest stock price (99.5 yuan) is lower than all three moving averages, indicating short-term pressure from the combination of moving averages.In terms of support and resistance levels, Support 1 is located at 96.8 yuan, Support 2 at 93.5 yuan, Resistance 1 at 104 yuan, and Resistance 2 at 107.4 yuan. The stock price is currently in the middle range, with relatively equal upside and downside potential.It is worth noting that this stock exhibits a regular fluctuation pattern of 'rebounding from the bottom of the Bollinger Bands and retreating after encountering pressure at the top,' which makes timing important for short-term investors.
Reviewing the Meituan-related structured products mentioned on January 14th, these products have yielded decent returns despite the underlying stock falling by 1.48% over two days. Among them, $JP#MTUANRP2808F.P (53743.HK)$ rose 13% over two days, $UB#MTUANRP2607A.P (61628.HK)$ rose 12%, $UBMTUAN@EP2603A.P (18354.HK)$ 、 $BIMTUAN@EP2603A.P (16361.HK)$ with respective gains of 9% and 10%, showcasing an impressive overall performance. However, it is important to note that derivatives carry strong leverage attributes, meaning both opportunities and risks coexist. While short-term fluctuations bring opportunities, they also conceal significant risks, so investors should manage their positions carefully.
January 16 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ The price movement was quite volatile, closing at 100 yuan, a slight daily decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 3.754 billion yuan. The 5-day fluctuation range reached 7.7%, indicating significant stock price volatility. As we mentioned in our [HK Stock Broadcast],[Share Link: January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYD]In our analysis, Meituan previously surged to 108 yuan, then quickly retreated to 98 yuan. After a brief rebound to near 106 yuan, it fell again on January 16, hitting an intraday low of 99 yuan, and finally managed to stabilize at the 100-yuan mark. From the trend perspective, the stock lacks a clear one-sided direction, showing typical range-bound oscillation characteristics. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $LI NING (02331.HK)$ $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ $SMIC (00981.HK)$ $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ From the technical indicators, the current buy/sell signals are relatively balanced, further confirming the oscillatory pattern. The RSI indicator is at 46, in the neutral zone, without significant overbought or oversold extreme signals. The Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, issuing a buy signal, but stochastic oscillators, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all suggest sell signals. Overall, multiple oscillation indicators remain neutral. Regarding moving averages, MA10, MA30, and MA60 stand at 102.77 yuan, 101.76 yuan, ...
Considering the current volatile pattern, we have selected two call warrant products for your reference:
1、 $HSMTUAN@EC2603D.C (20116.HK)$ offering 14.6x leverage with a strike price of 108.98 yuan. Its premium and implied volatility are the lowest among similar products, making its cost-performance ratio relatively prominent.
2、 $SGMTUAN@EC2603C.C (20106.HK)$With a leverage of 14.2 times, the strike price is also 108.98 yuan. The implied volatility is relatively low, making it a more stable risk profile, suitable for investors expecting Meituan's subsequent rebound.
January 16 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ The price movement was quite volatile, closing at 100 yuan, a slight daily decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 3.754 billion yuan. The 5-day fluctuation range reached 7.7%, indicating significant stock price volatility. As we mentioned in our [HK Stock Broadcast],[Share Link: January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYD]In our analysis, Meituan previously surged to 108 yuan, then quickly retreated to 98 yuan. After a brief rebound to near 106 yuan, it fell again on January 16, hitting an intraday low of 99 yuan, and finally managed to stabilize at the 100-yuan mark. From the trend perspective, the stock lacks a clear one-sided direction, showing typical range-bound oscillation characteristics. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $LI NING (02331.HK)$ $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ $SMIC (00981.HK)$ $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ From the technical indicators, the current buy/sell signals are relatively balanced, further confirming the oscillatory pattern. The RSI indicator is at 46, in the neutral zone, without significant overbought or oversold extreme signals. The Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, issuing a buy signal, but stochastic oscillators, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all suggest sell signals. Overall, multiple oscillation indicators remain neutral. Regarding moving averages, MA10, MA30, and MA60 stand at 102.77 yuan, 101.76 yuan, ...
January 16 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ The price movement was quite volatile, closing at 100 yuan, a slight daily decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 3.754 billion yuan. The 5-day fluctuation range reached 7.7%, indicating significant stock price volatility. As we mentioned in our [HK Stock Broadcast],[Share Link: January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYD]In our analysis, Meituan previously surged to 108 yuan, then quickly retreated to 98 yuan. After a brief rebound to near 106 yuan, it fell again on January 16, hitting an intraday low of 99 yuan, and finally managed to stabilize at the 100-yuan mark. From the trend perspective, the stock lacks a clear one-sided direction, showing typical range-bound oscillation characteristics. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $LI NING (02331.HK)$ $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ $SMIC (00981.HK)$ $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ From the technical indicators, the current buy/sell signals are relatively balanced, further confirming the oscillatory pattern. The RSI indicator is at 46, in the neutral zone, without significant overbought or oversold extreme signals. The Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, issuing a buy signal, but stochastic oscillators, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all suggest sell signals. Overall, multiple oscillation indicators remain neutral. Regarding moving averages, MA10, MA30, and MA60 stand at 102.77 yuan, 101.76 yuan, ...
Do you think Meituan will first test the support level at 96.8 yuan or the resistance level at 104 yuan? When trading Meituan derivatives, do you value leverage or implied volatility more?Come share your tips in the comment section! Want to see more analysis? Remember to follow 'HK Warrants Jenny' for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.。
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantsSelection #WarrantsStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HongKongWarrantsJenny #Meituan #TechStocks #TechnicalAnalysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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