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HBM shortages drive up chip prices: Is the memory supercycle continuing?
Lucas美股机会
joined discussion · Aug 27 19:53

Memory chips are relatively lagging! Positioning strategy for Micron and SK Hynix; short-term trading levels for UMAC

$SK hynix (SKHY.US)$$Micron Technology (MU.US)$ post-market close yesterdaySK Hynix, SanDisk, and Micronall rose by more than 3%,But when compared with LITE,a core beneficiary in the optical transceiver space, the rally in memory stocks during this cyclehas not been as exaggerated.MyMy view remains unchanged:, ifseeking certainty within the broader AI hardware ecosystem,at this stage, I stillfavor memory stocks.becauseNVIDIA's latest earnings reportIn reality,further validates that demand for AI data centersremains very strong.Combined with SK Hynix's long-term supply agreements,and industry data indicating locked-in capacity, memory stocks still havesolid potential to continue rallying within the year., soIf you already got on board early in this cycle,whether in SK Hynix or Micron,continue to hold patiently for further gains.There is no need to rushto sell off your memory holdings just because of NVIDIA's positive earnings report.As long as your overall position remains manageable, you can still hold SK Hynix or Micron with patience.
Finally, a last word for everyone:Adding a short-term trading positionfor an oversold bounceThe stock is UMAC. $Unusual Machines (UMAC.US)$ Why revisit it now? It’snot because I believe drones are about toenter a new primary uptrend,but rather because technical indicators show a clear opportunity for an oversold bounce.Yesterday, after UMAC fell to around $23,the price hit a critical short-term strong support level,and calculated from the recent high of $35,In just two weeksUMAC'sdecline has exceeded 50%,even if it subsequentlyItThere's nothing we can doquickly re-entersa bullish trend,after such a rapid drop,I believe the probability of a short-term technical rebound is not low.If you are reluctant to chase high-flying optical module and storage stocks right now,yet are willing to tolerate the high volatility of thematic stocks,UMAC can be viewed as a pure short-term play on an oversold bounce. Keep a close watch on the first upside target, which remains at $27.
$SK hynix (SKHY.US)$$Micron Technology (MU.US)$ As of yesterday's after-hours sessionSK Hynix, SanDisk, and Micronall rose by more than 3%,but compared to core optical module stocks like LITE,the memory sector's gains in this rallywere not as exaggerated.MyOur view remains unchanged, ifseeking certainty within the broader AI hardware ecosystemAt this stage, I stillfavor the memory storage sectorbecauseNVIDIA's latest earnings reportIn reality,further validates that demand for AI data centersremains very strong,combined with industry insights such as SK Hynix's long-term agreementsbeing locked in, memory storage stocks still havesolid opportunities to continue rallying within the year, soIf you have already positioned yourself early in this roundin SK Hynix or Micron,Continue to hold your positions patiently and wait for the upside,there is no need to react hastily to the positive earnings report from NVIDIA,by rushingto sell off your memory chip holdings. As long as your overall position size remains manageable, you can still patiently hold SK Hynix or Micron. Finally, let me adda short-term speculative pick,for an oversold bounce:the stock is UMAC. $Unusual Machines (UMAC.US)$ Why revisit it now? It isnot because I believe drones will immediatelyTo embark on a new primary uptrend,but rather, the technicals presented a clear opportunity for an oversold bounce.Yesterday, after UMAC fell to around $23,the price hit a critical short-term strong support level,and calculating from the recent high of $35,in just two weeks,UMAC's...
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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