NVIDIA's revenue doubles, beating expectations; is the AI trade narrative making a comeback?
Macroeconomic Developments
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the United States may impose a new round of economic sanctions on Iran, focusing on the energy, technology, gold, and aviation sectors.
Meanwhile, trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada are escalating, with Canadian automotive, auto parts, and steel-related industries facing heightened tariff pressures, thereby increasing market uncertainty.
Oil Prices and U.S. Treasury Yields:
Brent crude approached the $92 mark; WTI crude retreated to around $85; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.70%; and the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to 5.23%.
Overall Market Observation
The current market is exhibiting a volatile pattern:
✅ The market shows broad-based declines and sector rotation. Strong themes from last Friday have pulled back, and capital is entering a phase of reallocation.
✅ The technology sector continues to see some support following its rebound from lows, leaning more towards consolidation rather than a trend reversal.
✅ Sectors such as memory chips, optical modules, AI data centers, and power utilities are showing divergence, with localized opportunities still present.
✅ NVIDIA's earnings report this week will be a key market focus, potentially influencing the short-term trend of the AI supply chain.
Core Sector Analysis
Memory Chip Representatives:
$Micron Technology (MU.US)$ MU, Micron Technology / SK Hynix / SNDK SanDiskRecently pulled back to key support zones; investors with existing positions should watch for stabilization signals.
optical modules
Representatives: LITE, COHR, AAOI
$Lumentum (LITE.US)$ LITE shows relatively strong resilience; if you already have a position at cost basis, continue to monitor.If COHR falls back to around $30, watch for opportunities to buy on support-driven rebounds.
$Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI.US)$ AAOI exhibits high volatility and is suitable only for investors with a higher risk appetite.CPU Chips
Representatives: INTC, AMD
$Intel (INTC.US)$ Intel remains weak; watch for support near the $90 level.$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ AMD has greater elasticity; if the tech sector leads a rebound, it is expected to strengthen first.
Data Centers and Power
Examples: NBIS, BE. $NEBIUS (NBIS.US)$$Bloom Energy (BE.US)$Some stocks recovered quickly after correction; the AI infrastructure sector remains worth watching.
Trading Strategy
Current Phase:
✅ Control position sizes and wait for support confirmation;
✅ Investors already holding core tech assets should avoid frequent trading due to short-term volatility;
✅ For those with heavy positions, it is not advisable to further increase risk exposure.
Short-term market uncertainty is high. Patiently wait for better opportunities after pullbacks to better capitalize on the next wave of the tech-driven market rally.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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