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美股在逃哈士奇
joined discussion · Aug 20 17:51

[Pre-market Analysis for August 20] The Nasdaq dipped and recovered, but semiconductors remain dormant; is this rebound genuine or fake?

The Nasdaq dipped intraday yesterday before recovering, looking somewhat promising. But on closer inspection—The rebound was driven mainly by large-cap tech stocks, while semiconductors remain weak.So this phase looks more likea post-decline repair,and cannot yet be considered a full stabilization. Both the S&P and Dow Jones show purple bands with blue candlesticks; we need to see the disappearance of bearish signals and a confirmed bullish engulfment to verify stabilization. The Dow Jones still shows the first red histogram bar in the trend wave. Many individual stocks are showing slight signs of turning positive. If indices continue to rebound today, many stocks may present buying opportunities as they turn positive.However, for now, the operational strategy is to wait for the right price level plus confirmation of stabilization, rather than chasing the rebound.
Tesla:Missed 352 by a hair,breaking through would have been ideal, but failing to do so led to a strong bullish engulfment approaching 352, closing at 351.16.Confirmation requires effectively holding above 352; beware of a spike and pullback until then. Support is around 330.Tesla is currently in a state of 'just short of breaking through.'If it breaks above 352, the trend is confirmed; if not, consolidation continues.$Tesla (TSLA.US)$
CRWV: The earnings gap is nearly filled, but the TD downtrend has just begun.The earnings gap has been largely filled. However,the TD downtrend structure is only just starting,Don't rush to buy the dip. A bullish engulfment pattern at the 'Purple Ribbon' level is the stop-loss buy point; wait for confirmation now.CRWV is currently in a phase where you want to buy the dip but there are no signals yet.Wait for confirmation of the bullish engulfment pattern,don't act on impulse.$CoreWeave (CRWV.US)$
RKLB: It hasn't broken through the Longmen Line; first, see if the 'Purple Ribbon' holds support.It failed to hold above the Longmen Line. Watch for stabilization near the Ribbon level; do not add to your position before a bullish engulfment pattern forms.RKLB and the like—just one word: buy. I’ve said it more than once.$Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$
NVDA: 213.44. We’ll reassess when it gets there.It pulled back to the purple ribbon support, but signs of a bottom are not yet clear. The key is to watch for confirmation of stabilization around 213. If it holds, it’s a buy signal. If it breaks, stay on the sidelines.$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
AMZN: Strong bullish reversal,The daily chart shows a strong bullish move, rebounding from around 258.6 to 265.8. This qualifies as a buy-the-dip opportunity at the purple ribbon support.Among these stocks, AMZN is the least worrisome.$Amazon (AMZN.US)$
One-sentence summary:The Nasdaq dipped and recovered, but semiconductors are still dead money.Is this rebound real or fake? Either way, I’m not chasing it. I’ll wait for the right level plus confirmation of a bottom. Those who chase will get played.
Yesterday, the Nasdaq intraday low was reclaimed, which looked promising at first glance. But upon closer inspection—The rebound was primarily driven by large-cap tech stocks, while the semiconductor sector remains weak.. Therefore, this currently looks more likea technical repair following a decline,and cannot yet be considered a comprehensive halt to the downtrend. Both the S&P and Dow Jones show purple bands with blue candlesticks, requiring a disappearance of the bearish engulfing pattern to confirm the bottom. The Dow Jones also shows the first red bar of a trend wave. Many individual stocks are showing slight signs of bullishness. If indices continue to rebound today, many stocks may present slight bullish buy opportunities.However, for now, the operational strategy is to wait for the right price level plus confirmation of stabilization, rather than chasing the rebound. Tesla:It narrowly missed 352;breaking through would be ideal, but failing to do so resulted in a strong bullish engulfing approach toward 352, closing at 351.16.A firm stand above 352 is needed for confirmation; beware of a spike and pullback before stability is established. Support lies around 330.Tesla is currently in a "so close yet so far" situation.If it breaks above 352, the trend is confirmed; if not, it will continue to consolidate.$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ CRWV: The earnings gap is nearly filled, but the TD Sell setup has only just begun.The earnings gap has been basically filled. Butthe TD Sell structure has only just started,don't rush to buy the dip. A bullish engulfing pattern at the Purple Ribbon support is the buy signal for a stop-loss reversal; wait for confirmation now.CRWV is currently in a phase where you want to buy the dip but there are no signals yet.Wait for confirmation of the bullish engulfing pattern,resist the urge to trade impulsively.。$CoreWeave (CRWV.US)$ RKLB: It hasn't broken through the Dragon Gate line; first watch whether the Purple Ribbon support holds.Failed to hold above the Longmen line. Watching for stabilization near the ribbon area; will not add positions before a bullish engulfment pattern forms...
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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