Exit when it's time—individual US stocks have clearly diverged! [Demi's Pre-Market Radar] | August 6

Market Context

The Nasdaq continues its rebound, but individual stocks have already shown clear divergence—some have confirmed a breakout and are continuing to strengthen, while others have ended their rebound and turned downward. The market as a whole remains within the yellow-band rebound structure and has not yet confirmed a reversal.

In short: don't use the overall market’s direction as a blanket rule for all stocks—their trends differ, and so do their rhythms.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

Current Status: Successful breakout confirmed; now in a purple-band uptrend, making it one of the few stocks that have clearly turned bullish. The daily chart shows a complete upward structure, indicating an overall bullish outlook going forward.

Note: Momentum is excessively strong—the Golden Peak Yellow K warning signal has appeared. In our system, the Golden Peak monitors conditions of 'overheated buying pressure and accumulating selling pressure.' It doesn’t mean an immediate drop, but it does indicate reduced short-term value and heightened risk in chasing higher prices.

Strategy Overview：

216 is the near-term observation level. If the price closes below 216, it indicates that short-term overbought conditions have triggered selling pressure, and one could initially take a wait-and-see stance; if it continues to hold above 216, upward momentum remains intact, and the uptrend may persist.

If it rises above the previous high, further upside potential opens up, and positions can be held.

In a nutshell: The trend has turned bullish, but short-term overheating suggests avoiding chasing highs—monitor the 216 level for directional confirmation.

Tesla (TSLA)

Current Status: The 'Three White Soldiers' minor top pattern has taken effect, encountering resistance at the 331 level and turning downward—the rebound has ended.

The 'Three Advancing White Soldiers with Shrinking Bodies' is a short-term topping pattern we previously discussed—three consecutive bullish candles with progressively smaller real bodies, indicating weakening buying pressure.331 is the recent high of this rebound. The stock failed to move higher from that level, showing sellers are defending this zone.

Strategy Overview：

320 is the structural support level for this rebound. A break below 320 would confirm the rebound structure is completely invalidated—exit this position.

If 320 holds and price reclaims above 331, the rebound structure could extend, though current signals remain weak.

In a word: The rebound is nearing its end—don’t hold on if 320 can’t be held.

Micron Technology (MU)

Current Status: The bearish yellow band has not narrowed, and the downward volatile trend continues. The 'three bullish candles forming a minor top' pattern is also in effect, encountering resistance at the 331 level and turning downward.

Micron remains within the bearish dominance zone. The yellow band continues to diverge, indicating that bearish momentum has not significantly weakened. Rebounds within a downtrend typically lack sustainability.

Strategy Overview：

858 serves as the near-term support level to watch. If this level is breached, it signals the end of the short-term rebound and increases the likelihood of further downside; consider taking profits (ZY) or stopping out (ZS).

If price holds above 858 and reclaims the resistance level, the short-term rebound structure may persist, though current signals remain weak.

In a word: The yellow band hasn’t finished yet—don’t rush to buy the dip; wait for trend confirmation.

Microsoft (MSFT)

Current Status: The purple band is diverging, indicating an overall bullish outlook. 474 is a key support level; as long as it holds, maintain positions for another day.

Microsoft is one of the few remaining stocks currently trading within the diverging purple band, indicating bullish momentum is still in control. However, timing matters—after a sustained rally, the stock shows signs of needing consolidation, and a short-term pullback window may emerge around Friday.

Strategy Overview：

As long as the price stays above 474, stay in the trade and let profits run.

If the price breaks below 474, short-term consolidation is confirmed; consider taking partial profits (JC), and re-enter only after a stable rebound.

In a word: Still within the purple band—if the trend hasn’t broken, keep holding; exit only if 474 can’t be held.

Hold onto winning positions, but don’t hold onto losing ones. Keep positions showing confirmed directional moves, and exit those where the rebound has clearly ended.

Within the same rebound cycle, different stocks follow different rhythms—your job isn’t to predict whether the broader market will rise or fall, but to identify which phase your specific holding is in. Hold what deserves holding, and cut what needs cutting; only then will your timing stay aligned.

⚠️ The above content reflects technical trend-following analysis and signal interpretation for educational and discussion purposes only, and does not constitute any investment advice. Trading involves risk; please exercise caution in your decisions.

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