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AI sentiment is clearly rebounding! Could the rally in US stocks continue?
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[This Week's Market Watch] Brace for a 'Super Week'! Fed Meeting and Tech Giants' Earnings Are Here—4 Key Strategies to Unlock Opportunities

Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility.
Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week:
1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities
Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance
– Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer.
– Investor Focus:
   ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.
   ◦ Indirect Impact: Persistently high interest rates will suppress high-valuation and highly leveraged sectors, potentially redirecting capital toward defensive assets with strong cash flows and lower interest rate sensitivity—such as high-dividend defensive sectors, including telecom operators, utilities (electricity, gas), large financial institutions (banks, insurers), and energy companies. These sectors typically exhibit utility-like characteristics and generate stable cash flows.
Event 2: Signs of Easing in Middle East Tensions
– Opportunity Analysis: Over the weekend, signs emerged of a de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions. The U.S. paused its bombing campaign after 13 consecutive nights, and Iran stated it would also halt retaliatory actions as long as the U.S. refrains. This cooling of geopolitical tensions could alleviate market concerns about supply chain disruptions and runaway inflation.
– Investor Focus:
   ◦ Direct Impact: Crude oil futures and gold, which previously surged due to safe-haven demand and inflation expectations, may now face short-term profit-taking pressure.
   ◦ Indirect Impact: An anticipated decline in energy costs is positive for high-energy-consuming sectors such as shipping, aviation, and manufacturing.
Beyond these macro-level indicators, sector and individual stock developments are also highly dynamic—particularly as tech giants prepare to face a collective test. Next, let’s dive deeper into this week’s key industry events and investment focal points:
2. Key Industry Events and Market Opportunities
Event 1: Memory and Foundry Sectors Receive Strong Fundamental Support
– Opportunity Analysis: This week, SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics will release their earnings reports. Over the weekend, South Korea announced a $950 billion collaboration with major U.S. tech companies (with SK Hynix accounting for approximately $750 billion), providing strong fundamental validation for SK Hynix. Additionally, Broadcom intends to award Samsung a five-year partnership covering 2nm foundry services, HBM, and advanced packaging—significantly boosting Samsung’s re-entry into the advanced AI ASIC supply chain.
– Investor Focus:
   ◦ Direct Impact: Following a recent pullback, the global semiconductor and memory chip sector now has stronger fundamental support, potentially setting the stage for valuation recovery in leading stocks.
   ◦  $SK hynix (SKHY.US)$$SK Hynix (000660.KR)$(HBM market share leader) and related ETFs
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
   ◦ $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (SSNLF.US)$$Samsung Electronics (005930.KR)$ (IDM full-industry-chain giant) and related ETFs
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
   ◦ Indirect Impact: On the Hong Kong stock market, AI hardware leader $ZJ INNOLIGHT (03308.HK)$Zhongji Xuchuanghas just concluded its IPO subscription period in Hong Kong. With positive news continually emerging from the U.S.-South Korea semiconductor industry, Zhongji Xuchuang’s post-listing performance warrants close monitoring.
Event 2: U.S. mega-cap tech quartet (MSFT, Meta, AMZN, AAPL) to release earnings reports
– Opportunity Analysis: This week, U.S. equities will face the most concentrated earnings test from tech giants. The market will focus on Microsoft Azure’s growth rate, Meta’s advertising business and AI-related capital expenditures, Amazon AWS’s revenue growth, and Apple’s gross margin performance amid rising memory costs. These results will directly shape market confidence in the sustainability of AI-sector growth.
– Investor Focus:
   ◦ Direct Impact: Around the earnings announcements, volatility (VIX) for the Nasdaq 100 Index and individual mega-cap tech stocks could rise significantly. Clients with lower risk tolerance may consider taking positions in the underlying stocks, while those with higher risk tolerance could explore options strategies.
   Single Stocks and Options: Options on the four mega-cap stocks reporting earnings this week — $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ 、 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 、 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$、 $Apple (AAPL.US)$
   ◦ Indirect Impact: If guidance from these giants exceeds expectations, it could boost global AI-related stocks and the hardware supply chain.
◦ ETFs:
Semiconductor Sector ETFs:    
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ 、 $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares ETF (SOXL.US)$ 、 $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ 、 $Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM.US)$ 、 $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares ETF (SOXS.US)$
Screening criteria: Sourced from Futubull app – ETFs – U.S. Stocks – Semiconductor ETFs, selecting the top 5 by trading volume from highest to lowest.
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
3. Recently Profitable Sectors in the Market
Against the backdrop of a significant pullback in U.S. AI hardware-related stocks, market fund flows have shown subtle shifts, with multiple Hong Kong stock sectors demonstrating strong profit potential. Investors are advised to closely monitor the following:
– Hong Kong Large-Cap Tech & Internet Stocks:Recently$BABA-W (09988.HK)$ 、 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ 、 $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ Leading stocks have attracted some capital inflows amid market volatility, posting relatively strong short-term gains and serving as a safe haven for investors.
– High-Dividend Sectors in Hong Kong Stocks: Traditional high-yield sectors such as banking, insurance, and energy have recently performed strongly, showcasing attractive 'income plus capital preservation' characteristics and solid defensive qualities.
Regarding high-dividend stocks, we also published an article last Friday. Interested readers can click to read:
[Must-read for New Investors] Can You Really 'Earn Yield and Capital Gains'? Data Analysis: 5 High-Dividend Stocks That Have Risen Year-to-Date
Among the aforementioned defensive sectors, 'dividend stocks' are undoubtedly a popular choice in volatile markets. If you're looking to lock in more specific dividend opportunities this week, the following ex-dividend stock is worth noting:
4. Income opportunities this week
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
$GUMING (01364.HK)$
– Dividend Yield: 4.42%
– Dividend per Board Lot: HK$100
– Ex-Dividend Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
– Opportunity Analysis: In an environment of heightened market uncertainty, dividend-paying consumer sector leaders offer solid defensive positioning. Tea beverage brand Guming (1364.HK) will go ex-dividend tomorrow (July 28), paying HK$0.25 per share. Eligible investors holding one board lot (400 shares) will receive HK$100 in dividends. For investors seeking dividend certainty, this presents a timely window worth watching.
💡 Warm reminder: Market conditions can shift rapidly during this super-charged week. Investors who want in-depth daily news analysis and precise identification of investment opportunities can useFutubull AI, helping you seize the initiative and stay ahead in volatile markets!
Global markets experienced heightened volatility last week. The Nasdaq declined for two consecutive weeks (down 2.0% last week), with AI core assets and hardware supply chains continuing to face pressure. Although Google and Intel reported earnings that beat expectations, their share prices plummeted post-earnings, reflecting market concerns over AI investment returns amid high capital expenditures. In contrast, Hong Kong stocks held firm, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.6% against the broader trend, while South Korea’s stock market triggered a circuit breaker on Friday due to semiconductor-related volatility. Looking ahead to this week, a barrage of major events and earnings reports is set to hit the markets—what shifts should investors anticipate? Below, we outline the key macro and sector opportunities worth watching this week: 1. Key Macro Events & Market Opportunities Event 1: Fed FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Guidance – Opportunity Analysis:The Federal Reserve will hold its rate-setting meeting this week. Market expectations for a rate hike have risen sharply compared to a week ago (according to GME Group's federal funds futures data, the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stands at 38%), yet mainstream economists still expect 'no rate hikes all year.' Under the new guidance framework of 'no forward guidance,' the policy outlook has become more complex, and rates may stay elevated for longer. – Investor Focus:    ◦ Direct Impact: Short-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. Dollar Index will likely see increased volatility. Investors may consider short-duration U.S. Treasuries (to lock in high risk-free yields) and related ETFs or cash management products.    ◦ Indirect Impact: Rates are high...
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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