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港股窩輪Jenny
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Volume change becomes critical: After Geely Auto broke below support, demand needs to be observed.

According to the latest quote today (August 13),$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$
The current price is HKD 21.4, already breaking the key support level of HKD 21.8 mentioned in the analysis. This alters the technical pattern, requiring a fresh review.
According to the latest quote today (August 13),$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ The current price is HKD 21.4, already breaking the key support level of HKD 21.8 mentioned in the analysis. This alters the technical pattern, requiring a fresh review. 1. Key levels shift lower: The initial support at HKD 21.8 has been confirmed broken and now turns into short-term resistance. The next key support shifts to HKD 20.4, which is also near the 60-day moving average (around HKD 20.2), expected to provide strong support. Resistance above remains at HKD 24 and HKD 25.4. 2. Weak momentum indicators: Although the RSI closed at 52 yesterday, indicating neutrality, after the stock price broke below the key level, 'sell' and 'neutral' signals from MACD and several oscillating indicators strengthened, reflecting increased short-term downward pressure. Investors need to observe whether the price can find support and stabilize around HKD 20.4. 3. Volume and follow-through: Trading volume on August 12 was approximately HKD 2.065 billion, which is normal. Today, it is crucial to monitor if trading volume significantly increases during the decline. If there is heavy selling volume, it indicates stronger selling pressure, and the correction may take time. Although Geely Auto’s trend has weakened, sector divergence is evident, making the performance of leading stocks more critical: 1、 $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$: Technical signal still shows 'buy,' with RSI at 45. As the sector leader, its movement decisively impacts sector sentiment. If BYD rebounds, it could ease some of Geely’s pressure. 2、 $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$: "Buy" signal, R...
1. Key levels shift lower: The initial support at HKD 21.8 has been confirmed broken and now turns into short-term resistance. The next key support shifts to HKD 20.4, which is also near the 60-day moving average (around HKD 20.2), expected to provide strong support. Resistance above remains at HKD 24 and HKD 25.4.
2. Weak momentum indicators: Although the RSI closed at 52 yesterday, indicating neutrality, after the stock price broke below the key level, 'sell' and 'neutral' signals from MACD and several oscillating indicators strengthened, reflecting increased short-term downward pressure. Investors need to observe whether the price can find support and stabilize around HKD 20.4.
3. Volume and follow-through: Trading volume on August 12 was approximately HKD 2.065 billion, which is normal. Today, it is crucial to monitor if trading volume significantly increases during the decline. If there is heavy selling volume, it indicates stronger selling pressure, and the correction may take time.
According to the latest quote today (August 13),$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ The current price is HKD 21.4, already breaking the key support level of HKD 21.8 mentioned in the analysis. This alters the technical pattern, requiring a fresh review. 1. Key levels shift lower: The initial support at HKD 21.8 has been confirmed broken and now turns into short-term resistance. The next key support shifts to HKD 20.4, which is also near the 60-day moving average (around HKD 20.2), expected to provide strong support. Resistance above remains at HKD 24 and HKD 25.4. 2. Weak momentum indicators: Although the RSI closed at 52 yesterday, indicating neutrality, after the stock price broke below the key level, 'sell' and 'neutral' signals from MACD and several oscillating indicators strengthened, reflecting increased short-term downward pressure. Investors need to observe whether the price can find support and stabilize around HKD 20.4. 3. Volume and follow-through: Trading volume on August 12 was approximately HKD 2.065 billion, which is normal. Today, it is crucial to monitor if trading volume significantly increases during the decline. If there is heavy selling volume, it indicates stronger selling pressure, and the correction may take time. Although Geely Auto’s trend has weakened, sector divergence is evident, making the performance of leading stocks more critical: 1、 $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$: Technical signal still shows 'buy,' with RSI at 45. As the sector leader, its movement decisively impacts sector sentiment. If BYD rebounds, it could ease some of Geely’s pressure. 2、 $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$: "Buy" signal, R...
Although Geely Auto’s trend has weakened, sector divergence is evident, making the performance of leading stocks more critical:
1、 $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$: Technical signal still shows 'buy,' with RSI at 45. As the sector leader, its movement decisively impacts sector sentiment. If BYD rebounds, it could ease some of Geely’s pressure.
2、 $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ : 'Buy' signal, with an RSI of 37 at the edge of oversold conditions, indicating a strong technical rebound potential, making it a potentially active stock within the sector.
3、 $GAC GROUP (02238.HK)$ : Despite a 'Buy' signal, the RSI is only at 20, indicating extreme oversold conditions. Such rebounds are usually volatile and difficult to predict.
Geely Auto’s own technical weakness contrasts with individual stocks in the sector (such as BYD and Xpeng) that show rebound potential due to technical oversold conditions, creating a divergent situation. Whether Geely Auto can follow the rebound depends on its ability to find support at the HKD 20.4 level.
Reference for warrant product strategies:
The stock price has fallen below a key level, and some investors may consider using derivatives to hedge risks or capture a rebound. The following two product features are worth studying:
1. High-leverage Bear Certificate ($UB#GEELYRP2612F.P (68190.HK)$): Recovery price at 26 yuan, with an actual leverage of approximately 5.5 times. Its feature is the lowest premium, suitable for those who are bearish on the market outlook and can strictly adhere to stop-loss strategies.
2. Low Implied Volatility Put Warrant ($UBGEELY@EP2610B.P (28169.HK)$): Exercise price at 18.47 yuan, with an actual leverage of about 4.8 times. Its characteristic is relatively low implied volatility, which might result in a smaller impact from time decay.
According to the latest quote today (August 13),$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ The current price is HKD 21.4, already breaking the key support level of HKD 21.8 mentioned in the analysis. This alters the technical pattern, requiring a fresh review. 1. Key levels shift lower: The initial support at HKD 21.8 has been confirmed broken and now turns into short-term resistance. The next key support shifts to HKD 20.4, which is also near the 60-day moving average (around HKD 20.2), expected to provide strong support. Resistance above remains at HKD 24 and HKD 25.4. 2. Weak momentum indicators: Although the RSI closed at 52 yesterday, indicating neutrality, after the stock price broke below the key level, 'sell' and 'neutral' signals from MACD and several oscillating indicators strengthened, reflecting increased short-term downward pressure. Investors need to observe whether the price can find support and stabilize around HKD 20.4. 3. Volume and follow-through: Trading volume on August 12 was approximately HKD 2.065 billion, which is normal. Today, it is crucial to monitor if trading volume significantly increases during the decline. If there is heavy selling volume, it indicates stronger selling pressure, and the correction may take time. Although Geely Auto’s trend has weakened, sector divergence is evident, making the performance of leading stocks more critical: 1、 $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$: Technical signal still shows 'buy,' with RSI at 45. As the sector leader, its movement decisively impacts sector sentiment. If BYD rebounds, it could ease some of Geely’s pressure. 2、 $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$: "Buy" signal, R...
Important Note: Warrants and bull/bear certificates are high-risk derivatives; their prices can soar or plummet quickly, and investors may lose all their capital. In situations where the stock price has broken through support levels and volatility could increase, the risks associated with these products will also rise. It is essential to carefully assess your own risk tolerance.
For more market analysis, stay tuned to Jenny's daily updates on 'Hong Kong Stock Warrants'!
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; asset performance should be comprehensively evaluated using other sources of information, and trading decisions should not be made solely based on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantSelection #WarrantGuide #DerivativesHedging #HKWarrantsJenny #GeelyAuto #AutomotiveStocks #TechnicalAnalysis
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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