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Duan Yongping shifts his position to Pop Mart! Can the IP giant make a profitable move?
港股窩輪Jenny
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Pop Mart surges over 5%, can the $180 target be achieved?

$POP MART (09992.HK)$ Currently priced at $171.5, the stock has regained its position above the 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day moving averages, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band at $165.973. The short-term structure has clearly improved.
Investor comments reflect highly divergent market sentiment. On one hand, some expect the share price to reach 170, 180, or even over 200; others have longer-term targets, such as aiming for over 260, indicating that some capital remains optimistic about the mid-to-long term. On the other hand, there are many voices advocating short-term trading, such as 'Sell first' or 'Consider put options to make money,' and some investors have already exited near the 165 mark, showing that short-term funds tend to lock in profits when nearing resistance levels.
At the same time, obvious pressures and doubts have emerged in the market. For example, some investors mentioned their cost basis being at higher levels, questioning whether they're trapped, while others directly expressed disappointment, reflecting that the earlier drop from the peak still affects some holders. These types of comments indicate that the market isn’t uniformly bullish but is gradually digesting old trapped positions during the rebound process.
Common market questions focus on two core issues: First, whether the share price can break through 165.973 and continue its upward trend; second, whether targets like 170 or 180 are reasonable. From a technical perspective, 165.973 isn't just short-term resistance—it’s also the crucial dividing line between whether the overall trend transitions from a rebound to a breakout. Until this level is surpassed, all upside targets remain expectations rather than confirmations.
Trading volume has slightly increased, indicating that the rebound is supported by some capital inflow, but there hasn't been a significant breakout in volume, meaning buying momentum has yet to fully form. The Relative Strength Index is around 62.310, showing improved momentum but not overheating, leaving room for further upside. However, a breakout is needed to enhance its investment appeal.
If Pop Mart can break through and stabilize above $165.973-$170, there may be an opportunity to extend the rebound in the short term, gradually testing $180-$185. If a pullback doesn't fall below the $165-$170 range, the short-term uptrend will remain intact. Overall, the $165.973-$170 range serves as a watershed for the uptrend; a breakout would confirm the trend, while market divergence and volatility at higher levels will continue until then.May 7 [HK Stocks Podcast] Part-2-Pop Mart, Genscript Biotech, Zijin Mining
$POP MART (09992.HK)$ Currently priced at $171.5, the stock has regained its position above the 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day moving averages, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band at $165.973. The short-term structure has clearly improved. Investor comments reflect highly divergent market sentiment. On one hand, some expect the share price to reach 170, 180, or even over 200; others have longer-term targets, such as aiming for over 260, indicating that some capital remains optimistic about the mid-to-long term. On the other hand, there are many voices advocating short-term trading, such as 'Sell first' or 'Consider put options to make money,' and some investors have already exited near the 165 mark, showing that short-term funds tend to lock in profits when nearing resistance levels. At the same time, obvious pressures and doubts have emerged in the market. For example, some investors mentioned their cost basis being at higher levels, questioning whether they're trapped, while others directly expressed disappointment, reflecting that the earlier drop from the peak still affects some holders. These types of comments indicate that the market isn’t uniformly bullish but is gradually digesting old trapped positions during the rebound process. Common market questions focus on two core issues: First, whether the share price can break through 165.973 and continue its upward trend; second, whether targets like 170 or 180 are reasonable. From a technical perspective, 165.973 isn't just short-term resistance—it’s also the crucial dividing line between whether the overall trend transitions from a rebound to a breakout. Until this level is surpassed, all upside targets remain expectations rather than confirmations. Trading volume has slightly increased, indicating that the rebound is supported by some capital inflow...
Key strategy: $165.973-$170 is the watershed. Below this level indicates consolidation; breaking through allows chasing the continuation of the rebound, and if it pulls back, watch for support between $159.267 and $157.900.
Call warrants: ， $HSPOMRT@EC2609B.C (27794.HK)$ The strike price is $189.92, offering about 4.9x leverage. Its leverage level and implied volatility are relatively ideal, making it suitable for investors optimistic about the underlying stock's future and wanting to participate in the rally more efficiently. Another option is $CTPOMRT@EC2609D.C (28018.HK)$ , with a strike price of $186.78 and about 5x leverage. This warrant has the lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products, effectively reducing holding costs and the impact of time decay.
For put warrants, ， $JPPOMRT@EP2610B.P (28226.HK)$ The strike price is $138.78, offering about 3.6x leverage. Its leverage and implied volatility are relatively ideal, making it suitable for investors who are bearish on the outlook or wish to hedge their positions. $HSPOMRT@EP2610A.P (28303.HK)$ The strike price is also 138.78 yuan, offering leverage of about 3.7 times. It similarly has relatively ideal leverage and implied volatility characteristics, providing another option for bearish investors.
For bull contracts, ， $UB#POMRTRC2702C.C (58509.HK)$ The call price is 148 yuan, offering approximately 7.7 times effective leverage. Its features include high effective leverage and low premium, effectively amplifying bullish gains. $HS#POMRTRC2702C.C (58132.HK)$ The call price is 147 yuan, with an effective leverage of about 7.5 times. The premium is relatively low, helping to reduce tracking error relative to the underlying stock, making it suitable for investors who are optimistic about the market outlook and seek products with lower premiums.
For bear certificates, ， $UB#POMRTRP2812P.P (67580.HK)$ The call price is 190 yuan, offering approximately 7.37 times effective leverage. Its premium is the lowest among similar products, and the effective leverage is relatively high, making it suitable for investors who are bearish on the market outlook and seek higher leverage effects. Another option. $UB#POMRTRP2812O.P (67579.HK)$ The call price is 200 yuan, with an effective leverage of about 5.33 times. Its characteristic is that its effective leverage is the highest among the recommended products, and it also has a relatively low premium, efficiently capturing potential downside movements.
Each of these products has unique features. Investors can choose the most appropriate product based on their own market outlook, risk tolerance, and emphasis on terms such as leverage and premium. Please note that warrants and bull/bear contracts are high-risk derivative products. Before investing, carefully read relevant documents to understand the product features and risks.
$POP MART (09992.HK)$ Currently priced at $171.5, the stock has regained its position above the 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day moving averages, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band at $165.973. The short-term structure has clearly improved. Investor comments reflect highly divergent market sentiment. On one hand, some expect the share price to reach 170, 180, or even over 200; others have longer-term targets, such as aiming for over 260, indicating that some capital remains optimistic about the mid-to-long term. On the other hand, there are many voices advocating short-term trading, such as 'Sell first' or 'Consider put options to make money,' and some investors have already exited near the 165 mark, showing that short-term funds tend to lock in profits when nearing resistance levels. At the same time, obvious pressures and doubts have emerged in the market. For example, some investors mentioned their cost basis being at higher levels, questioning whether they're trapped, while others directly expressed disappointment, reflecting that the earlier drop from the peak still affects some holders. These types of comments indicate that the market isn’t uniformly bullish but is gradually digesting old trapped positions during the rebound process. Common market questions focus on two core issues: First, whether the share price can break through 165.973 and continue its upward trend; second, whether targets like 170 or 180 are reasonable. From a technical perspective, 165.973 isn't just short-term resistance—it’s also the crucial dividing line between whether the overall trend transitions from a rebound to a breakout. Until this level is surpassed, all upside targets remain expectations rather than confirmations. Trading volume has slightly increased, indicating that the rebound is supported by some capital inflow...
Restoring some investors' viewpoints
@28610760: Above 260 is a longer-term target; in the short term, support needs to be maintained above 165.973-170.
@new_comer: If it can break through 165.973-170 with corresponding trading volume, upward momentum will become more evident.
@26554001: Improvement in cost at higher levels requires waiting for structural strengthening, i.e., breaking above 165.973 before there’s any chance of improvement.
@馬到功成: 200 is the extended target; in the short term, confirmation of the breakout is needed first.
@peggy2013A short position near 180 needs to wait for the price to approach that area; for now, it is still necessary to observe whether the 165.973-170 range can stabilize.
Feel free to share your insights in the comment section. For more market analysis, please continue following ‘Hong Kong Stock Warrants Jenny’ for daily updates!
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Market data, opinions, and analyses contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met, and asset performance should be comprehensively evaluated in conjunction with other information. Trading decisions should not be made solely based on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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