The key for Pop Mart is to hold above 154.970, as the market is still waiting for direction after a consolidation at lower levels.

$POP MART (09992.HK)$ The current price is 157.200, and in the short term, it remains in a consolidation phase at lower levels. Although the share price is above the 5-day line at 155.640 and the 20-day line at 154.970, it is still below the 10-day line at 158.760 and several medium- to long-term moving averages, indicating that the rebound has not yet been confirmed. The current price is slightly above the Bollinger Bands midline at 154.970; if it can stabilize here, there is potential for the trend to gradually improve.

Sentiment in the comments shows clear divergence. On one hand, some investors believe the current level is attractive, while others mention factors such as online sales, IP licensing, and business revenue, reflecting that some capital remains optimistic about the fundamentals and the medium- to long-term outlook. On the other hand, many comments express concern about support levels around 150 or 140, believing that the large bearish candle still needs to be digested, or worrying that this is merely a technical rebound following a gap-up, indicating that short-term confidence has not fully recovered.

The most common questions focus on three points: First, whether Pop Mart can 'revive'; second, whether there is support near 150; and third, whether the rebound is only a temporary rise. Technically, 154.970 is currently the most important threshold. If it holds steady, the stock price may have an opportunity to challenge 158.760. If it breaks above 158.760, there would be potential to retest 168.095 in the short term. Conversely, if it falls below 154.970, the risk of testing 141.845 should be noted.

In terms of short-term strategy, it is not advisable to prematurely assume strength at this stage; instead, 154.970 should remain the core observation point. If it holds firm and surpasses 158.760, the rebound will indicate improvement. However, if it fails to hold 154.970, market discussion around 150 or even lower levels will intensify.

Key deployment: Hold above 154.970 and break through 158.760, short-term rebound can be expected towards 168.095; if it breaks below 154.970, then watch for a further drop to 141.845.

Strategy One | Rebound after holding 154.970

$CTPOMRT@EC2609D.C (28018.HK)$ | Strike price 186.780 | Actual leverage 5.0x | Close to current price on the upside, suitable for capturing initial rebound after stable support, with relatively controllable volatility

$UBPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27773.HK)$ | Strike price 186.880 | Actual leverage 4.4x | Milder leverage, suitable for steady deployment, reducing the impact of volatility

$HUPOMRT@EC2609B.C (28008.HK)$ | Strike price 190.020 | Actual leverage 5.6x | Higher leverage, suitable for amplifying returns when expecting faster rebound momentum

Strategy Two | Chasing rebound after breaking through 158.760

$CTPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27704.HK)$ | Strike price 202.000 | Actual leverage 5.2x | Enter after breakout, suitable for capturing extended upward movement towards 168

$BIPOMRT@EC2609A.C (28132.HK)$ | Strike price 202.200 | Actual leverage 5.1x | Similar terms, suitable for adding positions in stages or following up after confirming breakout $UBPOMRT@EC2609D.C (27992.HK)$ | Strike price 210.120 | Actual leverage 5.1x | Far out-of-the-money, suitable for expecting larger rebound space, higher flexibility

Strategy Three | Deployment after falling below 154.970

$UBPOMRT@EP2607C.P (25398.HK)$ | Strike price 182.780 | Actual leverage 2.8x | Bearish tool close to price, suitable for hedging after breaking support or short-term trading in line with the trend

Reply to some investors' views:

@Dennis Cheng7 Possibility of recovery might improve, but it needs to hold above 154.970 first and then break through 158.760 for confirmation.

@一直在寻觅 Rebound remains difficult as resistance lies ahead at 158.760 and 168.095.

@无立场 With such a continuous drop in sales, April’s online GMV will be impressive; fundamental outlook remains positive, but the stock price still needs to overcome technical resistance for confirmation.

@9-5 A breakout above 158.760 is needed, otherwise, it will remain range-bound at lower levels.

@大树 Big company executives turned entrepreneurs. Will they push prices down before moving up today? If there is a pullback, 154.970 is key. A breakdown below that level could lead to a test of 141.845.

Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.

This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.

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