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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a post · Apr 28 11:32

Kuaishou is close to the lower rail of the Bollinger Band, and the rebound remains weak unless it recaptures 45.41.

Comments on Kuaishou (01024) have a notably bearish tone, with investors mainly discussing whether it will fall below 40, if short positions still hold an advantage, and whether bull certificates might be squeezed out. Although a few comments mentioned undervaluation and the possibility of a rebound tomorrow, the overall market is more focused on the downside risks after breaking the platform.
Market sentiment is weak, with a bearish atmosphere dominating. Most investors believe that Kuaishou’s rebounds are feeble, and each rally may just be an opportunity to short sell; long position holders tend to passively wait for a rebound, showing a lack of confidence.
Common questions focus on three aspects: First, will Kuaishou fall below 40; Second, is it still suitable to increase short positions now; Third, are there conditions for a rebound at lower levels. This reflects that the market has shifted from观望 (observation) to bearish trading, with the short-term focus on whether the support at 43.425 can hold.
Technically, Kuaishou's current price is 42.42, which is below the 5-day line at 44.640, the 10-day line at 45.400, the 20-day line at 45.416, and the 30-day line at 49.107, indicating that the short-term trend remains weak. The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 43.425, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 27.169, already approaching the oversold region, suggesting that technical rebound conditions are beginning to appear. However, until it breaks above 45.400 to 45.416, the rebound will remain weak. If 43.425 fails to hold, watch for a retest of 42.940 or even renewed market speculation around the target near 40.
Comments on Kuaishou (01024) have a notably bearish tone, with investors mainly discussing whether it will fall below 40, if short positions still hold an advantage, and whether bull certificates might be squeezed out. Although a few comments mentioned undervaluation and the possibility of a rebound tomorrow, the overall market is more focused on the downside risks after breaking the platform.   Market sentiment is weak, with a bearish atmosphere dominating. Most investors believe that Kuaishou’s rebounds are feeble, and each rally may just be an opportunity to short sell; long position holders tend to passively wait for a rebound, showing a lack of confidence. Common questions focus on three aspects: First, will Kuaishou drop below 40? Second, is it still suitable to add to short positions now? Third, are there conditions for a rebound at lower levels? This reflects that the market has shifted from观望 (observation) to bearish trading, with short-term focus on whether the support at 43.425 can hold. Technically, Kuaishou's current price is 42.42, below the 5-day line at 44.640, the 10-day line at 45.400, the 20-day line at 45.416, and the 30-day line at 49.107, indicating a still weak short-term trend. The current price is close to the lower rail of the Bollinger Band at 43.425, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 27.169, already approaching the oversold zone, suggesting technical rebound conditions are starting to emerge. However, until it breaks above 45.400 to 45.416, it remains a weak rebound. If 43.425 support fails, watch for a retest of 42.940 or even renewed market speculation around the target near 40. Reply to market investor views: @Eliminate the Noise@摒弃噪音: The technical pattern is indeed weak, and if the rebound fails to surpass...
Reply to market investor views:
@Eliminate the Noise@摒弃噪音: The technical pattern is indeed weak. If a pullback still doesn't surpass 45.416, downward pressure will continue to increase.
@God of Speculative Stocks@妖股的神丶: If it falls below 43.425, the likelihood of moving closer to 40 increases; however, given the price is near support, adding shorts requires caution regarding a potential rebound.
@Short-term trader@短线的选手: Current sentiment is too weak, making any small rebound easily seen as an exit point. Confirmation from 45.416 is still needed.
Kuaishou-W (01024) Key Strategy
Strategy One | Rebound Deployment After Holding Above 43.425
29806|Strike Price 48.93|Actual Leverage 7.9x|Close to the current price with high elasticity, suitable for short-term rebound trading at lower levels
27056|Strike Price 48.88|Actual Leverage 6.4x|Medium to high leverage configuration, ideal for capturing continued rebounds after stabilization
27750|Strike Price 46.88|Actual Leverage 4.6x|More stable structure, suitable for rebounds while reducing volatility risks
Strategy Two|Follow the trend after breaking through 45.400 to 45.416
27750|Strike Price 46.88|Actual Leverage 4.6x|First-stage momentum tool after breakout, suitable for following the trend
27772|Strike Price 50.88|Actual Leverage 4.2x|Mid-distance out-of-the-money, suitable for holding after a breakout towards higher ranges
28048|Strike Price 50.04|Actual Leverage 4.5x|Balanced leverage and distance, suitable for stable follow-through after a breakout
Strategy Three|Deploy weakness after breaking below 43.425
17479|Strike Price 49.83|Actual Leverage 2.0x|Close to the current price range, suitable for capturing early pullbacks after breakdown
23006|Strike Price 86.86|Actual Leverage 3.5x|Mid-distance in-the-money structure, suitable for continuing downside deployment
27782 | Strike Price 32.48 | Actual Leverage 4.1x | Further strike price, suitable for expecting a deeper pullback while reducing the risk of being shaken out
$UBKUASO@EP2612A.P (17479.HK)$$BPMTUAN@EP2610A.P (23006.HK)$$UBMTUAN@EP2610A.P (27782.HK)$Friendly Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should combine other data and should not solely rely on this article to make trading decisions. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. Follow Jenny's insights on Hong Kong stock warrants for more professional analysis.
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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