Pop Mart needs to hold above 154 to have a chance of rebounding; if it fails, it may test below 150.

$POP MART (09992.HK)$ The current price is 153.800, and the short-term trend is still under pressure below the 5-day line at 158.560 and the 10-day line at 160.230, indicating insufficient rebound momentum. Although the stock price remains above the 20-day line at 154.485, showing there is temporary support below, the current price is not far from the critical level. Once 154.485 is breached, the short-term trend may weaken again.

Sentiment in the comments is clearly subdued, with many investors focusing on discussions about short-selling, targeting 150 or even 135. Some believe that after the stock price fell from its peak, the upward momentum has significantly weakened. While some comments express views of adding positions or waiting for a rebound, overall confidence is low. The market is more concerned about whether Pop Mart can hold the support zone near 150 to 154.

Common questions focus on three points: First, does Pop Mart still have a chance to return to its previous highs? Second, is it suitable to buy or add positions at the current price? Third, if it breaks below 154.485, will it further test 150 or even 141.090?

Technically, 154.485 is the most important watershed at this stage. If it holds steady, it can still be regarded as a consolidation after a low rebound. If it breaks through 158.560 to 160.230, there will be conditions for a short-term retest of 167.880. Conversely, if 154.485 is breached, the trend will tend to weaken, with the next major support level at 141.090. At this stage, the risk-reward ratio is moderately low; it is not advisable to chase the position prematurely before resistance is broken.

Key deployment: 154.485 as the watershed. Hold above for potential rebound, and only above 158.560 to 160.230 will there be conditions to test 167.880. A break below will lead to a weakening trend and a retest of 141.

Strategy One | Rebound Deployment After Holding Above 154.485

$CTPOMRT@EC2609D.C (28018.HK)$ | Strike Price 186.78 | Actual Leverage 4.9x | Close to out-of-the-money range, suitable for capturing initial rebound after holding firm

$UBPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27773.HK)$ | Strike Price 186.88 | Actual Leverage 4.3x | More balanced leverage, suitable for holding during extended rebounds, reducing volatility impact

$HUPOMRT@EC2609B.C (28008.HK)$ | Strike Price 190.02 | Actual Leverage 5.4x | Higher leverage configuration, suitable for short-term acceleration phase of rebound

Strategy Two | Following the Trend After Breaking Through 158.560 to 160.230

$HUPOMRT@EC2609B.C (28008.HK)$ | Strike Price 190.02 | Actual Leverage 5.4x | Can be used as a momentum tool after a breakout, capturing the first wave of gains $HSPOMRT@EC2609B.C (27794.HK)$ | Strike Price 189.92 | Actual Leverage 4.7x | Mid-distance out-of-the-money, suitable for holding after the breakout until reaching upper resistance zone $MSPOMRT@EC2609B.C (27805.HK)$ | Strike Price 189.90 | Actual Leverage 4.8x | Stable structure, suitable for riding the trend while controlling volatility risks

Strategy Three | Deployment after breaking below 154.485 shows weakness

$UBPOMRT@EP2610A.P (28116.HK)$ | Strike price 138.88 | Actual leverage 3.1x | Close to the downside of current price, suitable for capturing the initial decline after a breakdown $CTPOMRT@EP2610A.P (28208.HK)$ | Strike price 124.90 | Actual leverage 3.5x | Mid-distance out-of-the-money, suitable for deploying if the downtrend continues $CIPOMRT@EP2610A.P (28107.HK)$ | Strike price 110.88 | Actual leverage 3.7x | Further strike price, suitable for expecting a deeper correction while reducing shake-out risks

Reply to some investors

@千倍萬TOld investors are already buying near the current price close to the 154.485 watershed; bottom-fishing requires confirmation that support holds firm.

@地盤佬玩期權 Short-term target is 150; if 154.485 breaks, there is potential to test near 150 in the short term.

@賺錢移民遠離中 Is there a rice cooker? The key focus remains whether the 154.485 support can hold at this stage.

@Willkei There is no reason not to continue shorting as long as the stock price does not break through 158.560 to 160.230; bears still have control.

@行走天涯91 Pop Mart is only suitable for long-term shorting; buying equals suicide. The short-term bearish trend is relatively clear, but confirmation still depends on whether 154.485 breaks downward.

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Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.

This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Market data, opinions, and analyses contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met, and asset performance should be comprehensively evaluated in conjunction with other information. Trading decisions should not be made solely based on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$

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