Market sentiment towards Kuaishou remains weak, with comments focusing on being deeply trapped, loss of confidence, heavy selling pressure, and weak rebounds. Some investors believe the stock price has fallen to an extremely low level, sparking thoughts of 'finding a bottom,' 'golden pit,' or 'a chance to buy the dip'; however, more opinions still reflect that there is no clear short-term trend reversal, and even a smaller decline is already considered relatively good.
Overall sentiment reflects divergence at the lows, leaning towards weakness. The bullish side mainly bets on a rebound from deep declines, believing the current price is close to a support zone; the bearish or cautious side focuses on issues such as heavy selling, broken confidence, and failure to strengthen at the close. Common questions include whether 42.940 can hold, if the current price is suitable for buying the dip, and whether Kuaishou could transition from a deep rebound to a true reversal.
Technically, Kuaishou's current price is 43.64, still below the 5-day line at 45.308, the 10-day line at 45.490, the 20-day line at 45.886, and the 30-day line at 49.681, indicating that the short-term trend remains weak. The relative strength index stands at 27.550, which is relatively low, showing that the stock price has fallen significantly in the short term, but this does not mean a confirmed reversal. The middle axis of the Bollinger Bands is at 45.886, and the current price remains below the axis, reflecting insufficient rebound momentum.
The short-term key level is 42.940. If it holds above 42.940, the stock price may consolidate at the lows; however, confirmation of strengthening would require breaking back above 45.886. If it fails to hold 42.940, then attention should be paid to testing 42.131, which would further extend the weakness.
Reply to market investor viewpoints
@Justice_Harrison: For a quick rebound, first defend 42.940, then break through 45.886.
@Prosperity_Flowing: If it drops again, first check whether the two support levels of 42.940 and 42.131 can hold.
@Unmoving_Mingwang: Technical confirmation is needed to identify the bottom; currently, it can only be said that it is close to the support zone, not a real bottom yet.
@Justice_Harrison: For a quick rebound, first defend 42.940, then break through 45.886.
Kuaishou-W (01024): Key strategy: Only after breaking through 45.886 yuan will there be an opportunity to test 49.681 yuan; if 42.940 yuan is breached, short-term downside may test 42.131 yuan.
Strategy One | Short-term rebound after regaining 45.886 yuan
27772 | Strike price 50.88 yuan | Actual leverage 4.2x | Close to the rebound target level, suitable for follow-up after confirming regaining the watershed.
27750 | Strike price 46.88 yuan | Actual leverage 4.6x | Closer to current price, suitable for capturing short-term elasticity at the beginning of the rebound.
27056 | Strike price 48.88 yuan | Actual leverage 6.2x | Higher leverage, suitable for aggressive follow-up when rebound momentum strengthens.
Strategy Two | Follow the trend after breaking through 49.681 yuan
27772 | Strike price 50.88 yuan | Actual leverage 4.2x | Close to the first target after a breakout, suitable for steady trend-following
29806 | Strike price 48.93 yuan | Actual leverage 7.3x | Higher sensitivity, suitable for quick extension bets after a breakout
27806 | Strike price 49.90 yuan | Actual leverage 4.6x | Suitable for following the trend post-breakout with relatively balanced elasticity
Strategy Three | Weakens after breaking below 42.940 yuan
28376 | Strike price 32.48 yuan | Actual leverage 4.1x | Far out-of-the-money, suitable for betting on continued decline after confirming a downtrend
28110 | Strike price 32.50 yuan | Actual leverage 4.1x | Suitable for short-term bearish positions after support is broken
17479 | Strike price 49.83 yuan | Actual leverage 2.0x | More defensive, suitable for reducing volatility risk in the early stages of weakening
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should combine other data and should not solely rely on this article to make trading decisions. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. Follow Jenny's insights on Hong Kong stock warrants for more professional analysis.
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
Comments
to post a comment
1
