The market for$POP MART (09992.HK)$Market sentiment leans towards观望 (caution), mainly focused on 'not falling but also not rising.' Some investors believe there is still buying interest near the current price and that bearish pressure is not strong; however, others are concerned about insufficient trading volume, daily pullbacks, capital shifting to stronger sectors, or preferring to wait for levels below 150, 140, or even lower before considering entering.
Overall sentiment is neutral to slightly weak. The bullish side believes that the stock price can hold steady temporarily, and if it moves back above the 10-day line or near 158-160, short-term sentiment could improve. The bearish side, however, thinks the valuation is high, the rebound momentum is weak, and there’s no obvious return of capital. Common questions focus on three points: whether 158 can be breached, whether a回调 (pullback) will occur, and if capital has shifted to stronger stocks like SMIC and Huahong.
Technically, Pop Mart's current price at 155.100 is just slightly above the 20-day line and Bollinger Band midline at 155.095, indicating support remains but is weak. The stock price is still below the 5-day line at 159.520 and the 10-day line at 159.770, showing short-term pressure persists. The Relative Strength Index stands at 41.978, indicating weak momentum, with no clear signs of strengthening yet.
The short-term key lies at 155.095. If it can stabilize and rise back above 159.520, there may be a chance to retest 169.778; however, if it breaks below 155.095, one should watch for a potential drop to 140.412, at which point market sentiment waiting to buy at lower levels will further increase.

Key strategy: Maintaining above 155.095 can keep the consolidation intact; breaking above 159.520 could lead to a retest of 169.778. If it falls below 155.095, a short-term test of 140.412 may occur.
Strategy One | Follow-up after stabilizing above 155.095
$UBPOMRT@EC2711A.C (27929.HK)$ | Strike price 180.10 | Actual leverage 1.8x | Longer term, suitable for deployment when the stock price stabilizes with lower volatility for a rebound.
$GJPOMRT@EC2610B.C (27787.HK)$ | Strike price 193.00 | Actual leverage 4.7x | Higher flexibility, suitable for follow-up after rebound momentum improves.
$HUPOMRT@EC2609B.C (28008.HK)$ | Strike price 190.02 | Actual leverage 5.2x | Higher leverage, suitable for betting on a faster upward move after confirming a short-term rebound.
Strategy Two | Chase momentum after breaking through 159.520
$UBPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27773.HK)$ | Strike price 186.88 | Actual leverage 4.2x | Suitable for following the trend after a breakout, balanced between offense and defense.
$BIPOMRT@EC2609A.C (28132.HK)$ | Strike price 202.20 | Actual leverage 4.8x | Higher strike price, suitable for aiming at greater rebound space after a breakout.
$CTPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27704.HK)$ | Strike price 202.00 | Actual leverage 4.8x | Suitable for chasing momentum after a breakout with sufficient trading volume support.
Strategy Three | Turned weaker after breaking below 155.095 yuan
$UBPOMRT@EP2609A.P (25399.HK)$ | Strike price 179.90 yuan | Actual leverage 2.4 times | Closer to the current price on the upside, suitable for cautious bearish positions after a breakdown
$UBPOMRT@EP2607B.P (23059.HK)$ | Strike price 169.892 yuan | Actual leverage 3.3 times | Higher sensitivity, suitable for capturing continued declines after breaking through the watershed
$UBPOMRT@EP2607A.P (22558.HK)$ | Strike price 162.82 yuan | Actual leverage 3.8 times | Closer to the current price, suitable for short-term use when trend clearly weakens
Reply to some investors' views:
@一隻鴨Rebounding above the 10-day line at 159.770 will significantly improve the short-term sentiment.
@大宝0126Insufficient trading volume will limit the strength of the rebound, also explaining why the upward momentum is not smooth.
@LAN MengDecreased activity will make the stock price more prone to sideways movement; currently, we need to wait for capital to flow back in.
@singer周Continuous pullback reflects weaker short-term momentum, but remains consolidation as long as 155.095 holds.
@@陪跑泡泡玛特This statement closely reflects the current situation, which is exactly a consolidating pattern that can't fall deeply or break upwards.
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Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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