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joined discussion · Apr 21 18:08 ·

Don't go against the White House? The list of 'White House Concept Stocks' outperforming the S&P is revealed: Intel, MP included

Wall Street has an investment adage: 'Don’t fight the Fed.' But in today’s market environment, this phrase might need an addendum:‘And don’t fight the White House.’
According to a report recently released by Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Athanasios Psarofagis, if investors follow the U.S. White House’s policy moves and Trump’s tweets to position their portfolios, this strategy—humorously referred to as the 'White House Basket'—has achieved an impressivecumulative return of 75% since the start of Trump’s second term, far outpacing the S&P 500 index, which gained approximately 20% over the same period.
Wall Street has an investment adage: 'Don't fight the Fed.' But in today’s market environment, this saying might need to be updated with a second part:'And don’t fight the White House either.' According to the latest report by Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Athanasios Psarofagis, if investors closely follow U.S. White House policy movements and Trump's tweets for positioning, this portfolio, humorously referred to as the 'White House Basket,' has achieved an astonishing cumulative return of 75% since the start of Trump's second term.This far surpasses the approximately 20% rise of the S&P 500 index during the same period.。 What is the 'White House Basket Portfolio'? This hypothetical government GRFT investment portfolio ('Hypothetical GRFT Basket') generating buzz in the market has a very straightforward stock-picking logic:Place bets on companies that are deeply tied to U.S. government interests or have high-level political endorsements. The list includes about 16 component stocks, varying in their degree of association with the Trump administration. Direct association (government funding support):Companies that are directly invested in or receive substantial financial backing from the government. Indirect association (policy and endorsement benefits):Companies that have received public support from the president, or directly benefit from specific bills and policy trends promoted by the government. Who's leading the rally? Intel and American Rare Earths emerge as the biggest winners Unfolding this 'White House...
What is the 'White House Basket Portfolio'?
This 'Hypothetical GRFT Basket,' which has sparked heated discussions in the market, follows a very straightforward stock selection logic:Placing bets on companies deeply tied to U.S. government interests or those with strong high-level political endorsements.
The list contains about 16 component stocks, each showing varying degrees of association with the Trump administration:
Direct association (government financial support):Companies that are directly invested in or receive substantial funding from the government.
Indirect association (policy and endorsement benefits):Companies publicly endorsed by the president or directly benefiting from specific bills and policy trends promoted by the government.
Who’s leading the gains? Intel and USA Rare Earth emerge as the biggest winners
Looking at this 'White House List,' the two major leaders with the most significant year-to-date increases areUSA and Intel. Both companies were selected on the grounds of 'government ownership.' Under the U.S. national strategy to actively promote semiconductor localization and independence in critical mineral supply chains, they have delivered impressive year-to-date performances of 89% and 78%, respectively.
Overall, what draws the most attention about this list is its precise capture of the investment themes arising from the combination of 'Trump Economics 2.0' (MAGA, America First, deregulation) and today's geopolitical landscape.
Wall Street has an investment adage: 'Don't fight the Fed.' But in today’s market environment, this saying might need to be updated with a second part:'And don’t fight the White House either.' According to the latest report by Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Athanasios Psarofagis, if investors closely follow U.S. White House policy movements and Trump's tweets for positioning, this portfolio, humorously referred to as the 'White House Basket,' has achieved an astonishing cumulative return of 75% since the start of Trump's second term.This far surpasses the approximately 20% rise of the S&P 500 index during the same period.。 What is the 'White House Basket Portfolio'? This hypothetical government GRFT investment portfolio ('Hypothetical GRFT Basket') generating buzz in the market has a very straightforward stock-picking logic:Place bets on companies that are deeply tied to U.S. government interests or have high-level political endorsements. The list includes about 16 component stocks, varying in their degree of association with the Trump administration. Direct association (government funding support):Companies that are directly invested in or receive substantial financial backing from the government. Indirect association (policy and endorsement benefits):Companies that have received public support from the president, or directly benefit from specific bills and policy trends promoted by the government. Who's leading the rally? Intel and American Rare Earths emerge as the biggest winners Unfolding this 'White House...
1. Government Ownership and Strategic Support: Reinventing the Moat of 'Made in America'
The core logic of this group is'National Security' and 'De-sinicization of Supply Chains'. The Trump administration places a strong emphasis on bringing manufacturing back to the U.S., and for underlying technologies critical to national security, the government spares no expense (akin to implicit ownership) to ensure absolute U.S. control.
$Intel (INTC.US)$As the only giant in the U.S. with advanced process wafer fabrication capabilities, Intel is no longer just a private company but rather 'the foundational infrastructure of America’s semiconductor strategy.' Under Trump’s push for 'Made in America' prioritization and ensuring that core chip supply chains remain uninterrupted, Intel is an entity the government must fully support, naturally resulting in massive subsidies and exclusive Department of Defense contracts.
Critical Mineral Reserves:Includes $Lithium Americas (LAC.US)$$USA Rare Earth (USAR.US)$$Trilogy Metals (TMQ.US)$and$MP Materials (MP.US)$ . Lithium and rare earth elements are the lifelines of electric vehicles and advanced weaponry. Promoting the development and refining systems for these resources within North America is the nation’s highest guiding principle. These companies naturally enjoy the fastest green channels for environmental approvals and substantial federal funding.
$General Motors (GM.US)$ The Trump administration supports this veteran automaker's transformation through massive federal loans, tax credits, or joint ventures. The deeper consideration behind this is to maintain the employment rate of the vast U.S. auto industry workforce and boost domestic manufacturing confidence.
2. Revenue Sharing and Strategic Monopoly: The 'National Team' of AI Computing Power
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$and $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ These two AI chip giants were selected for their 'revenue sharing' rationale. In an era where AI has become the core of major power competition, top-tier AI chips are now considered 'strategic materials.' Not only does the U.S. government protect their technological monopoly through export bans, but it is also the super buyer behind these computing infrastructure projects (e.g., supercomputer procurements by the Department of Defense and national laboratories). This deep interest binding makes their revenue seem underwritten and 'shared' by national power.
3. Trump Endorsement and Inner Circle: The Pinnacle of Political-Business Alliances
This group of companies reflects Trump’s unique personal governing style:Binding loyalty with the core interest circle
$Tesla (TSLA.US)$The biggest driving force behind this is Elon Musk. Musk became Trump's most important financial backer and political ally during the 2024 election, even participating in the operations of the 'Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).' This unprecedented political-business alliance gives Tesla unparalleled 'White House privileges' when facing regulatory easing for self-driving cars, AI infrastructure construction, or resisting lobbying from traditional automakers.
$Palantir (PLTR.US)$Peter Thiel, the co-founder of this data analytics giant, has long been a core funder of the conservative and MAGA movement. More importantly, PLTR’s technology plays a deep role in the operations of the U.S. military and Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Trump’s promised large-scale deportation of illegal immigrants and tough border policies directly translate into substantial government software orders for PLTR. More notably, Trump recently publicly endorsed PLTR on social media platforms.
Wall Street has an investment adage: 'Don't fight the Fed.' But in today’s market environment, this saying might need to be updated with a second part:'And don’t fight the White House either.' According to the latest report by Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Athanasios Psarofagis, if investors closely follow U.S. White House policy movements and Trump's tweets for positioning, this portfolio, humorously referred to as the 'White House Basket,' has achieved an astonishing cumulative return of 75% since the start of Trump's second term.This far surpasses the approximately 20% rise of the S&P 500 index during the same period.。 What is the 'White House Basket Portfolio'? This hypothetical government GRFT investment portfolio ('Hypothetical GRFT Basket') generating buzz in the market has a very straightforward stock-picking logic:Place bets on companies that are deeply tied to U.S. government interests or have high-level political endorsements. The list includes about 16 component stocks, varying in their degree of association with the Trump administration. Direct association (government funding support):Companies that are directly invested in or receive substantial financial backing from the government. Indirect association (policy and endorsement benefits):Companies that have received public support from the president, or directly benefit from specific bills and policy trends promoted by the government. Who's leading the rally? Intel and American Rare Earths emerge as the biggest winners Unfolding this 'White House...
$American Bitcoin (ABTC.US)$ In his second term, Trump demonstrated a full embrace of the cryptocurrency industry. Infrastructure or mining companies directly bearing the name 'Bitcoin' are seen as direct beneficiaries of Trump’s promise to make the U.S. the 'global capital of cryptocurrency.'
4. Defense Industry ‘Golden Dome’: Military Expansion Based on Strength
Trump announced last year that the United States would build a missile defense system similar to Israel's 'Iron Dome' and name it the 'Golden Dome.'
$Boeing (BA.US)$$Lockheed Martin (LMT.US)$& $Northrop Grumman (NOC.US)$These are the Pentagon's long-time top contractors (manufacturing F-35s, nuclear submarines, space weapons, etc.). Trump has demanded NATO countries increase their military spending while expanding the U.S.'s own Space Force and missile defense systems. Amid geopolitical tensions, the military-industrial complex remains the government’s single largest buyer, akin to a 'joint venture' between government and corporations, with profits highly secured.
5. Policy Benefits and Trends: The Deregulation Boom
After Trump took office, he significantly relaxed strict crackdowns and regulatory restrictions imposed by previous administrations on industries such as cryptocurrency and nuclear energy.
$Coinbase (COIN.US)$ As the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S., COIN has suffered years of litigation torment from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Trump has pledged to remove hostile regulatory officials targeting cryptocurrencies and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This means the Sword of Damocles hanging over Coinbase has been completely removed, ushering in a golden era of compliant expansion.
$Constellation Energy (CEG.US)$ AI data centers require an enormous amount of electricity, while tech giants need 'zero-carbon emission' energy. The Trump administration supports an 'all-of-the-above energy' policy, drastically cutting red tape at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), promoting the life extension of nuclear power plants, and advancing the construction of small modular reactors (SMRs). As the largest carbon-free nuclear energy producer in the U.S., CEG perfectly aligns with the dual trends of 'AI-driven power shortages' and 'government embracing nuclear energy.'
Performing too well but can't be bought? ETFs collectively 'blacklisted' by Wall Street exchanges.
While this investment strategy outperforms the broader market, it faces a rare and significant obstacle in real financial markets.
It was revealed that renowned fund issuer Tuttle Capital initially attempted to materialize this strategy by preparing to launch a product called the 'Government Grift ETF.'However, this ETF faced rejection from all exchanges for listing.
The reason given by the exchange is that this concept is 'too controversial.' This kind of collective ban by exchanges due to political sensitivity and controversy is rare in Wall Street history.
Summary: Political trends are the strongest catalyst
The increasingly divergent trend lines between the 'GRFT portfolio' and the S&P 500 index send a brutal yet realistic signal to the market: during certain periods, national policy intentions, subsidy directions, or even one of Trump’s social media posts often drive stock prices more effectively than traditional corporate earnings reports.
Although retail investors cannot directly buy these ETFs, the stock-picking logic behind this 'White House List' undoubtedly provides the market with a highly valuable 'policy dividend' weathervane.
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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