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Pop Mart plans to launch new products! Can the IP giant capitalize on this opportunity?
港股窩輪Jenny
joined discussion · Apr 21 09:59

Pop Mart has yet to turn strong after its recent recovery from a low position; 165.350 yuan becomes the short-term key level.

$POP MART (09992.HK)$ The current price is at 161.500 yuan, once approaching the 20-day line (162.84 yuan), indicating a short-term trend of recovery from a low position. However, the stock price has not yet broken through the resistance at 165.350 yuan, and the resistance at 179.787 yuan remains evident. Therefore, the overall trend still leans towards consolidation after a rebound, and it cannot be considered a formal strengthening.
From the comments, market sentiment shows significant divergence. Some investors believe the stock price is gradually stabilizing, even believing that the market has chosen to move upward again, with expectations for future prices to reach 165 yuan, 178 yuan, or even 180 yuan. There are also voices suggesting continuous capital inflow, indicating potential accumulation of shares. On the other hand, many investors worry that the stock price may come under pressure again after the rebound, considering that the adjustment is not yet complete, and some even question the risks associated with buying at higher levels. Overall, the market is not unanimously optimistic at present but rather in a tug-of-war between rebound recovery and further adjustment.
The most common questions in the market mainly focus on three aspects. First, whether this current phase will continue as a rebound or if the rebound is nearing its end. Second, whether the stock price can break through 165.350 yuan to further open up the possibility of testing 179.787 yuan. Third, if there is another adjustment later, whether the area around 155 yuan or even lower will become new support. These questions reflect that investors' primary concern at present is confirmation of direction rather than simply chasing short-term sentiment.
Technically speaking, 155.900 yuan remains the short-term watershed. As long as the stock price can hold above it and further break through 165.350 yuan, there is still an opportunity to test 179.787 yuan in the short term. Conversely, if it fails to hold above 155.900 yuan, one should watch for a retest of support near 140.100 yuan. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 51.258, reflecting moderate short-term momentum. The Bollinger Bands' middle axis is at 165.350 yuan, with the current price still below the axis, showing that although the trend is recovering, it is not clearly strengthening. At this stage, the risk-reward ratio is neutral, making it more suitable to wait for confirmation of a breakout or to observe buying support near the retracement support levels.
$POP MART (09992.HK)$ The current price is at 161.500 yuan, once approaching the 20-day line (162.84 yuan), indicating a short-term trend of recovery from a low position. However, the stock price has not yet broken through the resistance at 165.350 yuan, and the resistance at 179.787 yuan remains evident. Therefore, the overall trend still leans towards consolidation after a rebound, and it cannot be considered a formal strengthening. From the comments, market sentiment shows significant divergence. Some investors believe the stock price is gradually stabilizing, even believing that the market has chosen to move upward again, with expectations for future prices to reach 165 yuan, 178 yuan, or even 180 yuan. There are also voices suggesting continuous capital inflow, indicating potential accumulation of shares. On the other hand, many investors worry that the stock price may come under pressure again after the rebound, considering that the adjustment is not yet complete, and some even question the risks associated with buying at higher levels. Overall, the market is not unanimously optimistic at present but rather in a tug-of-war between rebound recovery and further adjustment. The most common questions in the market mainly focus on three aspects. First, whether this current phase will continue as a rebound or if the rebound is nearing its end. Second, whether the stock price can break through 165.350 yuan to further open up the possibility of testing 179.787 yuan. Third, if there is another adjustment later, whether the area around 155 yuan or even lower will become new support. These questions reflect that investors' primary concern at present is confirmation of direction rather than simply chasing short-term sentiment. Technically speaking, 155.900 yuan remains the short-term watershed...
Strategy One | Breakout and Follow the Trend
$HUPOMRT@EC2609B.C (28008.HK)$ | Strike Price 190.02 | Actual Leverage 4.9x | Higher leverage, suitable for entering after breaking through 165.350, focusing on short-term acceleration
$UBPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27773.HK)$ | Strike Price 186.88 | Actual Leverage 4.1x | Moderate leverage, suitable as an intermediate position after confirmation of a breakout to reduce risks from chasing highs amid volatility
$BIPOMRT@EC2609A.C (28132.HK)$ | Strike Price 202.20 | Actual Leverage 4.6x | Broader out-of-the-money distance, suitable for betting on extended upward momentum after the breakout
Strategy Two | Accumulate at Support on Pullback
$HSPOMRT@EC2609B.C (27794.HK)$ | Strike Price 189.92 | Actual Leverage 4.4x | Suitable for accumulating in stages when prices pull back near 155.900 without losing support, betting on technical rebound continuation
$UBPOMRT@EC2609C.C (27773.HK)$ | Strike Price 186.88 | Actual Leverage 4.1x | Balanced terms, suitable for relatively stable deployment near support levels, waiting for the trend to gradually recover
$CTPOMRT@EC2609D.C (28018.HK)$ | Strike Price 186.78 | Actual Leverage 4.5x | High flexibility, suitable for capturing rebounds after stabilization, amplifying short-term recovery momentum
Strategy Three | Patiently Hold for Strength Reversal
$UBPOMRT@EC2711A.C (27929.HK)$ | Strike Price 180.10 | Actual Leverage 1.8x | Lower leverage, suitable for holding patiently while waiting for share price to transition from recovery to strength, not rushing for intraday profits
$GJPOMRT@EC2610B.C (27787.HK)$|Strike Price 193.00|Actual Leverage 4.4x|Suitable for those optimistic about breaking above 165.350, then gradually challenging higher resistance levels
$BIPOMRT@EC2711A.C (27896.HK)$|Strike Price 180.10|Actual Leverage 1.7x|Slower pace, suitable for more conservative deployment, as a patient position waiting for the continuation of the medium-term trend
Reply to some investors' views:
@牛baIf the closing price can approach the 162 to 165 region, it will help the short-term sentiment, but the key remains whether it can stabilize and break through 165.350.
@S-DayMarket sentiment indeed shows signs of recovery, but technically, a breakout above resistance is still needed for clearer direction.
@用刀仔鋸大樹If buying support continues, there may be some accumulation in the short term, but confirmation through a price breakout is still required.
@YY7232889The 180 level needs to first overcome two resistance points: 165.350 and 179.787; it is not yet time to directly target 180.
@小行星B612If it breaks below 155.900, market concerns about further downward gaps filling will intensify.
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HKStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantPick #WarrantGuide #DerivativesHedging #HKWarrantsJenny #POP MART #09992 #BlueChipStock #TechnicalAnalysis$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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