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港股窩輪Jenny
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Xpeng is in a tug-of-war at the HKD 70 mark, and the rebound has not yet strengthened, remaining in the testing phase.

$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$
After rebounding from its lows, it has gradually stabilized, now reclaiming both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, while beginning to approach the 20-day moving average. The short-term sentiment has improved somewhat. However, the stock price is nearing the HKD 70 level and facing resistance above, indicating that this round of rebound remains in a recovery phase without clear signs of strengthening.
$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ After rebounding from its lows, it has gradually stabilized, now reclaiming both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, while beginning to approach the 20-day moving average. The short-term sentiment has improved somewhat. However, the stock price is nearing the HKD 70 level and facing resistance above, indicating that this round of rebound remains in a recovery phase without clear signs of strengthening. Looking at the new energy vehicle sector, the market overall showed strong performance yesterday (April 16).$BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$A surge of 5.50% occurred, with Xpeng, Nio, and Geely all recording gains of over 2%. However, behind the strong rally lurks technical risks: Xpeng (09868),$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$, BYD and$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$, BYD, and their technical signals are 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell,' with their RSIs reaching 50, 65, 64, and 75 respectively, indicating the sector has generally entered an overbought or nearly overbought state. In comparison,$LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$is one of the few stocks in the sector receiving a 'Buy' signal and showing a bullish alignment of moving averages. This indicates that Xpeng’s current rebound is not an isolated movement but occurs within a broadly exuberant sector environment where technical indicators already suggest pullback risks. Xpeng's RSI is relatively moderate (50), but before effectively breaking through MA60 (HKD 71.11), caution is still warranted regarding potential external drag from profit-taking pressures across the sector. ...
Looking at the new energy vehicle sector, the market overall showed strong performance yesterday (April 16).$BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$A surge of 5.50% occurred, with Xpeng, Nio, and Geely all recording gains of over 2%. However, behind the strong rally lurks technical risks: Xpeng (09868),$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$, BYD and$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$, BYD, and their technical signals are 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell,' with their RSIs reaching 50, 65, 64, and 75 respectively, indicating the sector has generally entered an overbought or nearly overbought state. In comparison,$LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$is one of the few stocks in the sector receiving a 'Buy' signal and showing a bullish alignment of moving averages.
This indicates that Xpeng’s current rebound is not an isolated movement but occurs within a broadly exuberant sector environment where technical indicators already suggest pullback risks. Xpeng's RSI is relatively moderate (50), but before effectively breaking through MA60 (HKD 71.11), caution is still warranted regarding potential external drag from profit-taking pressures across the sector.
$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ After rebounding from its lows, it has gradually stabilized, now reclaiming both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, while beginning to approach the 20-day moving average. The short-term sentiment has improved somewhat. However, the stock price is nearing the HKD 70 level and facing resistance above, indicating that this round of rebound remains in a recovery phase without clear signs of strengthening. Looking at the new energy vehicle sector, the market overall showed strong performance yesterday (April 16).$BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$A surge of 5.50% occurred, with Xpeng, Nio, and Geely all recording gains of over 2%. However, behind the strong rally lurks technical risks: Xpeng (09868),$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$, BYD and$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$, BYD, and their technical signals are 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell,' with their RSIs reaching 50, 65, 64, and 75 respectively, indicating the sector has generally entered an overbought or nearly overbought state. In comparison,$LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$is one of the few stocks in the sector receiving a 'Buy' signal and showing a bullish alignment of moving averages. This indicates that Xpeng’s current rebound is not an isolated movement but occurs within a broadly exuberant sector environment where technical indicators already suggest pullback risks. Xpeng's RSI is relatively moderate (50), but before effectively breaking through MA60 (HKD 71.11), caution is still warranted regarding potential external drag from profit-taking pressures across the sector. ...
From comments, market sentiment appears divided. On one hand, some investors are skeptical about the company’s fundamentals and product strength, even voicing bearish views and considering exiting; on the other hand, others are watching for new car launches, announcements, and technological concepts, remaining hopeful for the future. Meanwhile, short-term traders share strategies of selling after high openings, indicating speculative trading without forming a consensus direction.
Common questions revolve around several themes: whether the stock price can stabilize above 70 yuan, if high-open-low-close patterns will recur, whether product launches and new car sales can drive the stock, and whether to hold or cut losses at this stage. This reflects uncertainty about both short-term momentum and fundamentals.
Technically, Xpeng closed at 70 yuan the previous day (April 16), with the price approaching the resistance level of 70.2 yuan while still facing pressure near the middle Bollinger Band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recovered to mid-upper levels, indicating improved momentum but insufficient to support a clear breakout. The key lies at the 67.82 yuan inflection point—stability above this level, along with a further breakthrough above 70.2 yuan, could strengthen the trend toward testing 77.02 yuan. Conversely, losing 67.82 yuan would suggest slowing recovery and potentially retesting lower support zones. Overall, this is still the early stage of a rebound, with neutral odds until a decisive move occurs.
Based on the above analysis, the strategies for deployment can be divided into the following main approaches:
$HUXPENG@EC2610A.C (26690.HK)$$MBXPENG@EP2609A.P (24569.HK)$
$HS#XPENGRC2609B.C (57583.HK)$$UB#XPENGRP2812C.P (63464.HK)$
$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ After rebounding from its lows, it has gradually stabilized, now reclaiming both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, while beginning to approach the 20-day moving average. The short-term sentiment has improved somewhat. However, the stock price is nearing the HKD 70 level and facing resistance above, indicating that this round of rebound remains in a recovery phase without clear signs of strengthening. Looking at the new energy vehicle sector, the market overall showed strong performance yesterday (April 16).$BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$A surge of 5.50% occurred, with Xpeng, Nio, and Geely all recording gains of over 2%. However, behind the strong rally lurks technical risks: Xpeng (09868),$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$, BYD and$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$, BYD, and their technical signals are 'Sell' or 'Strong Sell,' with their RSIs reaching 50, 65, 64, and 75 respectively, indicating the sector has generally entered an overbought or nearly overbought state. In comparison,$LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$is one of the few stocks in the sector receiving a 'Buy' signal and showing a bullish alignment of moving averages. This indicates that Xpeng’s current rebound is not an isolated movement but occurs within a broadly exuberant sector environment where technical indicators already suggest pullback risks. Xpeng's RSI is relatively moderate (50), but before effectively breaking through MA60 (HKD 71.11), caution is still warranted regarding potential external drag from profit-taking pressures across the sector. ...
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Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$$Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (800100.HK)$
#HKStocks #Xiaopeng #AutoStocks #Real-TimeAnalysis #WarrantPick #WarrantGuide #DerivativesHedging #HKWarrantsJenny #Blue-ChipStocks #TechnicalAnalysis
Reply to some investors' views:
@在祼泳的巴菲特$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$No new downward trend has formed as long as support holds.
@Kungfu股手New car news can boost sentiment but requires technical confirmation to break higher.
@张家浩$XPENG-W (09868.HK)$Short sellers had the upper hand earlier, but the market has now entered a rebound testing phase.
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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