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港股窩輪Jenny
commented on a stock · Mar 19 10:44

[HK Stocks Podcast] Forward Validation: Yanzhou Coal breaks through the HKD 15 mark, next target at HKD 17

Yanzhou Coal (01171.HK) has recently shown a strong consolidation pattern in its stock price movement. As of March 18, 2026, Yanzhou Coal closed at HKD 15.95, up 1.46% for the day, with an intraday high of HKD 16.28 and a trading volume of HKD 682 million. As of the morning of March 19, the coal sector moved against the market trend with gains, as Yankuang Energy rose 3.89%, drawing attention in the Hong Kong stock market. The stock price began to rise from its year-to-date low of HKD 9.51, accumulating nearly a 50% increase, and is currently consolidating around the HKD 16 level. The market is watching whether it can break through the resistance at HKD 17.
In terms of sector performance, the coal index surged over 2% on March 19, with most stocks in the sector trading higher. In the A-share market, Shanxi Hei Cat rose by 6.42%, Shaanxi Coal Industry increased by 4.18%, Yanzhou Mining Energy climbed by 3.36%, Jinneng Coal Industry gained 3.25%, and China Coal Energy advanced by 2.91%. In the Hong Kong stock market, Yancoal Australia (03668) $YANCOAL AUS (03668.HK)$ rose by 6.86%, Force Development (01277) $KINETIC DEV (01277.HK)$ increased by 3.14%, China Coal Energy (01898) $CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ grew by 1.91%, China Shenhua (01088) $CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$ climbed by 1.1%.
Technical Analysis
Looking at the chart movement, Yanzhou Coal’s share price gradually rose after rebounding from its low at the beginning of the year. After hitting a recent high of HKD 16.28, it started consolidating. Based on technical data as of March 18, Yanzhou Coal's first support level is around HKD 14.6, near the previous consolidation platform; the more critical second support level is at HKD 13.4, corresponding to the breakout platform in late February. On the resistance side, the first resistance level is at HKD 17. If it breaks through, the next resistance level would be HKD 18.5.
In terms of technical indicators, the overall signal indicates 'Sell', with a total of 8 sell signals. The RSI stands at 68, and multiple oscillation indicators show a neutral signal. Meanwhile, trend-following indicators such as Bull-Bear Power Indicator, Ichimoku Cloud, MACD, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy, confirming that the medium-term upward trend remains strong. Overall, current technical signals suggest a pattern of 'consolidation after reaching new highs,' with short-term expectations for the price to trade within a range of HKD 14.6 to HKD 17.
Yanzhou Coal (01171.HK) has recently shown a strong consolidation pattern in its stock price movement. As of March 18, 2026, Yanzhou Coal closed at HKD 15.95, up 1.46% for the day, with an intraday high of HKD 16.28 and a trading volume of HKD 682 million. As of the morning of March 19, the coal sector moved against the market trend with gains, as Yankuang Energy rose 3.89%, drawing attention in the Hong Kong stock market. The stock price began to rise from its year-to-date low of HKD 9.51, accumulating nearly a 50% increase, and is currently consolidating around the HKD 16 level. The market is watching whether it can break through the resistance at HKD 17. In terms of sector performance, on March 19, the coal index surged over 2% during the session, with most stocks in the sector showing gains. In the A-share market, Shaanxi Hei Mao rose 6.42%, Shaanxi Coal Industry increased by 4.18%, Yankuang Energy climbed 3.36%, Jinneng Coal Industry gained 3.25%, and China Coal Energy advanced 2.91%. In the Hong Kong market, Yancoal Australia (03668) $YANCOAL AUS (03668.HK)$ rose 6.86%, Power Assets Development (01277) $KINETIC DEV (01277.HK)$ rose 3.14%, China Coal Energy (01898) $CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ rose 1.91%, and China Shenhua (01088) $CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$ rose 1.1%. Technical Analysis From the chart perspective, after rebounding from its year-to-date low, Yanzhou Coal’s stock price gradually climbed higher and recently reached a recent high of HKD 16.28...
Market News and Sector Performance
Guosheng Securities pointed out that surging LNG prices would increase costs for industrial use, power generation, and residential gas, prompting power plants and industrial users to switch to alternatives like coal-fired electricity and coal gasification, boosting demand for thermal coal procurement. Additionally, there is a long-term pricing relationship between LNG and coal within the energy cost system. A sharp rise in LNG would disrupt the existing balance, driving the market to revalue coal, which could raise the floor for coal prices.
On the capital flow side, Yanzhou Mining Energy’s main net inflow in A-shares amounted to CNY 30.34 million, while large orders saw a net inflow of CNY 74.12 million. In the Hong Kong stock market, the trading volume reached HKD 682 million, reflecting relatively high capital participation.
Podcast Viewpoints Consolidation
Reviewing the analysis from the [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] on March 13th, the program noted that Yanzhou Energy (01171) had shown strong recent performance. After hitting a low of 9.51 yuan in January this year, it began an upward trend, with cumulative gains approaching 50%. The program mentioned that investors were watching whether the stock price could break through the 15 yuan mark. From a resistance level perspective, the short-term resistance is at 15 yuan, and if successfully breached, the next target would be 15.9 yuan. In terms of technical signals, sell signals have a slight advantage, but they are not yet strongly indicative of a sell.
With the current stock price at 15.95 yuan, the 15 yuan resistance has been successfully broken, and the next targets will be the resistance levels at 17 yuan and 18.5 yuan.
Yanzhou Coal (01171.HK) has recently shown a strong consolidation pattern in its stock price movement. As of March 18, 2026, Yanzhou Coal closed at HKD 15.95, up 1.46% for the day, with an intraday high of HKD 16.28 and a trading volume of HKD 682 million. As of the morning of March 19, the coal sector moved against the market trend with gains, as Yankuang Energy rose 3.89%, drawing attention in the Hong Kong stock market. The stock price began to rise from its year-to-date low of HKD 9.51, accumulating nearly a 50% increase, and is currently consolidating around the HKD 16 level. The market is watching whether it can break through the resistance at HKD 17. In terms of sector performance, on March 19, the coal index surged over 2% during the session, with most stocks in the sector showing gains. In the A-share market, Shaanxi Hei Mao rose 6.42%, Shaanxi Coal Industry increased by 4.18%, Yankuang Energy climbed 3.36%, Jinneng Coal Industry gained 3.25%, and China Coal Energy advanced 2.91%. In the Hong Kong market, Yancoal Australia (03668) $YANCOAL AUS (03668.HK)$ rose 6.86%, Power Assets Development (01277) $KINETIC DEV (01277.HK)$ rose 3.14%, China Coal Energy (01898) $CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ rose 1.91%, and China Shenhua (01088) $CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$ rose 1.1%. Technical Analysis From the chart perspective, after rebounding from its year-to-date low, Yanzhou Coal’s stock price gradually climbed higher and recently reached a recent high of HKD 16.28...
Warrant product recommendations and comparisons
At the current Yanzhou Coal stock price of 15.95 yuan, combined with support levels at 14.6 yuan and 13.4 yuan, as well as resistance levels at 17 yuan and 18.5 yuan, investors can choose suitable products based on their own views.
For bullish strategies, call warrants to consider include BOC Call Warrant (26206) and HSBC Call Warrant (26107). The BOC Call Warrant (26206) has a strike price of 17.72 yuan, providing about 4.1 times leverage. This product offers balanced leverage and implied volatility, making it suitable for conservative deployment. At the current share price, it is approximately 11.1% out-of-the-money, close to the first resistance level of 17 yuan, making it suitable for investors expecting the share price to break through 17 yuan. The HSBC Call Warrant (26107) has a strike price of 17.71 yuan and provides about 4 times leverage, with the highest leverage and lowest implied volatility, making it ideal for aggressive investors seeking higher leverage.
Regarding bull certificates, there is currently a lack of suitable products with appropriate stop-loss levels on the market. Investors may want to keep an eye on newly listed products from issuers.
Two highlighted bullish products:
- HSBC Call Warrant (26107): Offers the highest leverage of up to 4 times with low implied volatility, making it an ideal choice for bullish strategies seeking high leverage.
- BOC Call Warrant (26206): Offers balanced leverage and implied volatility, with terms suitable for conservative deployment.
For bearish strategies, put warrants to consider include Standard Chartered Put Warrant (27119) with a strike price of 14 yuan and leverage of 2.3 times. This product has the lowest premium, making it suitable for bearish strategies. When choosing put warrants, note that the strike price of 14 yuan is below the current stock price, classifying it as an out-of-the-money product. If the stock price falls below the support level of 14.6 yuan, this type of product will perform more ideally.
As for bear certificates, there is currently a lack of suitable products with appropriate stop-loss levels on the market. Investors may want to keep an eye on newly listed products from issuers.
Selected bearish products:
- China Securities Put Warrant (27119): Has the lowest premium, making it an ideal choice for bearish strategies.
Yanzhou Coal (01171.HK) has recently shown a strong consolidation pattern in its stock price movement. As of March 18, 2026, Yanzhou Coal closed at HKD 15.95, up 1.46% for the day, with an intraday high of HKD 16.28 and a trading volume of HKD 682 million. As of the morning of March 19, the coal sector moved against the market trend with gains, as Yankuang Energy rose 3.89%, drawing attention in the Hong Kong stock market. The stock price began to rise from its year-to-date low of HKD 9.51, accumulating nearly a 50% increase, and is currently consolidating around the HKD 16 level. The market is watching whether it can break through the resistance at HKD 17. In terms of sector performance, on March 19, the coal index surged over 2% during the session, with most stocks in the sector showing gains. In the A-share market, Shaanxi Hei Mao rose 6.42%, Shaanxi Coal Industry increased by 4.18%, Yankuang Energy climbed 3.36%, Jinneng Coal Industry gained 3.25%, and China Coal Energy advanced 2.91%. In the Hong Kong market, Yancoal Australia (03668) $YANCOAL AUS (03668.HK)$ rose 6.86%, Power Assets Development (01277) $KINETIC DEV (01277.HK)$ rose 3.14%, China Coal Energy (01898) $CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ rose 1.91%, and China Shenhua (01088) $CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$ rose 1.1%. Technical Analysis From the chart perspective, after rebounding from its year-to-date low, Yanzhou Coal’s stock price gradually climbed higher and recently reached a recent high of HKD 16.28...
Overall, Yanzhou Coal’s stock price is currently in a consolidation phase after hitting new highs. The successful reclamation of the HKD 16 level means the resistance at HKD 17 will determine the short-term direction. Fundamentally, favorable factors such as geopolitical risks boosting coal-for-gas demand and strength across the coal sector are prevalent. However, with the RSI indicator at 68, caution is needed for potential short-term pullbacks. Investors should strictly manage risk by selecting appropriate derivatives based on key support levels at HKD 14.6 and HKD 13.4, and resistance levels at HKD 17 and HKD 18.5, while also considering the impact of out-of-the-money levels on product performance.
Interactive Questions:
What do readers think about Yanzhou Coal (01171)'s short-term outlook?
A) Breaking through resistance at HKD 17, further testing HKD 18.5
B) Consolidating within the range of HKD 14.6 to HKD 17
C) Breaking below support at HKD 14.6, retreating to test HKD 13.4
Feel free to share your views in the comment section!
Friendly Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should combine other data and should not solely rely on this article to make trading decisions. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. Follow Jenny's insights on Hong Kong stock warrants for more professional analysis.
#Yancoal #01171 #HongKongStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistanceLevels #Warrants #BullAndBearCertificates #CallOptions #PutOptions #CoalSector #HongKongWarrantsJenny
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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