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The US-Iran peace talks present conflicting narratives! What’s next for oil prices?
港股窩輪Jenny
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CNOOC is currently in a bullish alignment but shows technical divergence, with short-term resistance at HKD 29.2.

In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention.
We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOCThere are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$
In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$
In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention. We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】[Share Link: March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOC]There are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$ Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength divergence...
Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength signal-weakness divergence, which will be analyzed individually below:
China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883): Closing price at HKD 28.06, up 3.70% in a single day. The stock price is above MA10, MA30, and MA60, with RSI at 62 nearing overbought levels; technical signal indicates sell.
In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention. We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】[Share Link: March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOC]There are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$ Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength divergence...
$PETROCHINA (00857.HK)$ Closing price at HKD 10.5, up 2.34% in a single day. The stock price is above all moving averages in a bullish alignment, with RSI at 62; technical signal indicates buy.
$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$ : Closing price at HKD 47.7, up 4.61% in a single day, with the share price far above all moving averages. RSI at 62, technical signal suggests sell.
$CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ : Closing price at HKD 14.19, surged 5.90% in one day, showing a strong bullish trend. RSI at 61, technical signal suggests sell.
Overall, the energy sector showed widespread gains, with coal stocks (China Shenhua, China Coal) rising significantly more than oil stocks. All individual stocks are trading above multiple moving averages, indicating a strong short-to-medium-term upward trend. However, except for PetroChina, the other three stocks displayed a divergence of 'rising stock price but technical signal suggests sell,' suggesting possible profit-taking pressure in the short term.
Review and Selection of Bull/Bear Warrants:
1. Warrant Review:
The CNOOC-related warrants and bull contracts recommended on March 5th performed impressively, with $UBCNOOC@EC2605A.C (23036.HK)$ a gain of 25% after two days, $HS#CNOOCRC2807B.C (64509.HK)$ and a 21% rise after two days, while the corresponding underlying CNOOC shares only rose by 2.38% during the same period, highlighting the leverage effect. At the same time, it's important to note that leverage comes with risks and positions should be managed carefully.
In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention. We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】[Share Link: March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOC]There are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$ Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength divergence...
2. Selected Warrant Products:
Based on CNOOC’s trend and technical signals, we’ve selected two high cost-performance products for investors’ reference:
First one: $UBCNOOC@EC2605A.C (23036.HK)$ with a leverage of 7.6 and an exercise price of 28.52. The relatively high leverage makes it suitable for investors confident in CNOOC's short-term performance and willing to bear some risk.
Second one: $HS#CNOOCRC2807A.C (61829.HK)$Leverage of 5.6,收回價 (recovery price) at 22.5, with the highest actual leverage and lowest premium, offering excellent cost-performance, suitable for investors who prefer bull certificate products.
In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention. We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】[Share Link: March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOC]There are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$ Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength divergence...
In the previous session (March 11), Hong Kong stocks in the energy sector (oil, coal) saw strong widespread gains, with individual stocks showing bullish alignment; however, most exhibited price-strength signal-weakness divergence. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bullish, and technical correction pressures need attention. We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】[Share Link: March 11 [Hong Kong Stock Podcast] Hang Seng Index, CATL, Nio, Geely Auto, Tencent, CNOOC]There are comments in the middle.$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ In the previous session (March 11), the share price rebounded to near HKD 28, closing at HKD 28.06, without reaching the resistance level of HKD 29.2 shown by data. Some investors expressed optimism about future prospects but hoped to wait for lower entry prices. Technically, support levels can refer to HKD 26 (Support 1), while more conservative investors may look to HKD 24.8 (Support 2). Currently, short-term sell signals slightly dominate, consistent with the weaker short-term price movement. Some investors hold bearish warrants with a recovery price of HKD 29, reflecting that some funds are not overly optimistic about the short-term trend. The energy sector remains independently strong, but the broader market has yet to turn bullish—avoid blindly chasing highs, focusing on the risk of technical divergence in individual stocks. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$CATL (03750.HK)$$NIO-SW (09866.HK)$$GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$$TENCENT (00700.HK)$ Key energy stocks (oil, coal) rose across the board in the previous session (March 11), with highly consistent technical structures, all showing bullish alignment but most exhibiting price-strength divergence...
Risk Warning: The energy sector faces short-term adjustment pressure; investors in warrants and bull/bear certificates should be mindful of product expiration dates to avoid risks from short-term volatility.
The overall trend of the energy sector remains intact, but most individual stocks are showing technical divergence. Investors can stay attentive but should avoid blindly chasing highs and wait for reasonable pullback opportunities. Investors holding related stocks can set stop-loss levels below key moving averages to protect existing gains; those not yet invested can wait for prices to retreat to near short-term moving averages before reassessing. Investment in warrants and bull/bear certificates requires careful consideration of personal risk tolerance, choosing appropriate leverage products; excessive leveraging is not recommended.
Energy stocks surged across the board, which one do you favor the most?
A. CNOOC (00883) - Leading oil and gas company, most stable trend
B. China Shenhua (01088) - Strongest upward momentum, most powerful performance
C. PetroChina (00857) - Only stock without divergence, healthiest outlook
D. China Coal Energy (01898) - Dark horse potential, largest upside space
Feel free to share your insights in the comment section. For more market analysis, please continue following ‘Hong Kong Stock Warrants Jenny’ for daily updates!
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantsSelection #WarrantsStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HongKongWarrantsJenny #CNOOC #EnergySector #TechnicalAnalysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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