AI Lobster concept cools, tech stocks weaken; Hang Seng Index falls 61 points for the day. Defensive positioning can consider Fubon SSE-HK High Dividend ETF.

The ongoing situation in the Middle East continues to make the market unpredictable. Although Trump has again signaled willingness to negotiate with Iran, the US-Israel coalition simultaneously intensifies airstrikes, making the situation increasingly unclear. The market remains cautious, and volatility in U.S. stocks was minimal yesterday. Most Asia-Pacific markets rose today. The Hong Kong stock market opened 152 points higher and briefly climbed to a high of 26,149 points, breaking back above the 26,000-point level. However, profit-taking soon emerged, and the AI Lobster concept in tech stocks rapidly cooled. The market reversed downward in the afternoon, hitting a low of 25,819 points, failing to maintain the 26,000-point level. For the day, it closed at 25,898 points, down 61 points or 0.24%. The range between high and low was only 330 points, with a trading volume of HKD 254.4 billion. The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,054 points, down 5 points or 0.1%; the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index closed at 8,704 points, down 5 points, with a drop of less than 0.1%. Among blue-chip stocks, 44 rose, 43 fell, and 3 remained unchanged. Northbound capital recorded a net inflow of RMB 3.45 billion throughout the day.

The AI Lobster (OpenClaw) concept became the market focus yesterday, driving up the overall market, with tech stocks showing strong performance. However, the hype quickly cooled today. According to Bloomberg, due to data security concerns, Chinese authorities have ordered large banks, state-owned enterprises, and government agencies to restrict the deployment of OpenClaw on office equipment. Those who have installed it must immediately stop using it and arrange for its removal or report it for security checks. On the same day, the National Computer Network Emergency Response Technical Team also issued related risk alerts. This news weighed on related concept stocks, causing them to generally retreat. MINIMAX, which led gains yesterday, $MINIMAX-W (00100.HK)$ fell CNY 79 or 6.48%, closing at CNY 1,141; Zhipu $KNOWLEDGE ATLAS (02513.HK)$ fell CNY 39.5 or 6.09%, closing at CNY 609.5; XunCe $XUNCE (03317.HK)$ fell CNY 12.6 or 8.2%, closing at CNY 141.3.

Tencent $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ opened over 4% higher amid reports that Tencent is secretly developing an AI agent for WeChat, planning to roll it out to all users by the third quarter of this year. It will be integrated into millions of mini-programs via conversational interface, allowing users to delegate everyday tasks such as ride-hailing and food delivery, directly challenging the first-mover advantages of Alibaba and ByteDance. However, following regulatory news in the afternoon, the stock price once turned negative, ultimately falling CNY 1.5 or 0.27%, closing at CNY 552; Alibaba $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ Dropped by 0.3 yuan or 0.22%, closing at 133.2 yuan; Health 160 $160 HEALTH (02656.HK)$ Due to actively promoting the implementation of OpenClaw in healthcare scenarios, it surged against the market trend by 25.1 yuan or 28.5%, closing at 113.2 yuan; Baidu Group $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$ Promoted the lobster market, rising against the market trend by 1 yuan or 0.83%, closing at 121.8 yuan; Xiaomi Group $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ Dropped by 0.28 yuan or 0.83%, closing at 33.34 yuan; SMIC $SMIC (00981.HK)$ Dropped by 0.45 yuan or 0.7%, closing at 63.75 yuan.

In addition to the lobster concept, earnings news was another major focus today. CATL $CATL (03750.HK)$ Continued its strong performance after turning blue, driven by strong earnings results with its share price surging 49.5 yuan or 9%, closing at 599.5 yuan, accumulating an increase of 19.18% over two days post-earnings, making it the best-performing blue chip of the day; Cathay Pacific $CATHAY PAC AIR (00293.HK)$ Announced last year's net profit of 10.828 billion yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year, and increased dividends by 30%. The news drove the stock price up against the market trend by 0.55 yuan or 4.4%, closing at 13.17 yuan; Laopu Gold $LAOPU GOLD (06181.HK)$ Forecasted a positive earnings surprise, expecting a net profit growth of about 226% to 233% for the whole of last year, with revenue increasing by about 217% to 229% year-on-year. The stock price rose throughout the day by 15 yuan or 2.35%, closing at 654 yuan; Midea Group $MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ Announced plans to invest more than 60 billion yuan over the next three years to drive a full AI transformation of its business. The stock price rose against the market trend by 0.7 yuan or 0.8%, closing at 86.65 yuan.

Nio $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ reported a profit of 120 million RMB in Q4, marking its first quarterly profit since inception. Total revenue for the fourth quarter reached 34.6 billion RMB, up 75.9% year-on-year and 59% quarter-on-quarter. The positive news drove the stock price up by 5.36 RMB or 14.05%, closing at 43.5 RMB, also boosting other new energy vehicle stocks. Geely Auto $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ rose by 1.32 RMB or 8.21%, closing at 17.39 RMB; XPeng Motors $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ increased by 2.85 RMB or 3.94%, closing at 75.15 RMB; Leapmotor $LEAPMOTOR (09863.HK)$ rose by 1.8 RMB or 4.39%, closing at 42.8 RMB; BYD $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ also rose by 1.2 RMB or 1.2%, closing at 98.15 RMB.

The situation in the Middle East and dynamics in energy reserves continue to influence sector sentiment, with oil prices showing volatility. Oil stocks performed variably: CNOOC $CNOOC (00883.HK)$ rose by 1 RMB or 3.7%, closing at 28.06 RMB; PetroChina $PETROCHINA (00857.HK)$ gained 0.24 RMB or 2.34%, closing at 10.5 RMB; however, Sinopec $SINOPEC CORP (00386.HK)$ slightly fell by 0.01 RMB or 0.2%, closing at 5.05 RMB; Shandong Molong $SHANDONG MOLONG (00568.HK)$ Up 1.56 yuan or 17.29%, closing at 10.58 yuan.

The Two Sessions announced their conclusion today, with domestic demand stocks generally under pressure, becoming one of the weakest sectors of the day. Haidilao $HAIDILAO (06862.HK)$ Dropped 0.65 yuan or 3.79%, closing at 16.51 yuan, making it the worst-performing blue-chip stock of the day; Shenzhou International $SHENZHOU INTL (02313.HK)$ Fell 2.1 yuan or 3.64%, closing at 55.65 yuan; Li Ning $LI NING (02331.HK)$ Dropped 0.42 yuan or 2.06%, closing at 19.98 yuan.

The situation in the Middle East remains unclear, with volatile oil prices and a market in wait-and-see mode. In such turmoil, a defensive strategy might be more advantageous than an offensive approach. If investors do not wish to chase individual stocks in the current market conditions, they may consider deploying high-dividend stocks as a defensive measure. Fubon CSI HK Dividend ETF $Fubon Hang Seng Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong (Selected Corporations) High Dividend Yield Index ETF (03190.HK)$ Primarily tracks the Hang Seng SSE-SZSE-HK (Selected Enterprises) High Dividend Index, covering sectors such as energy, finance, building materials, and industrials, including large enterprises like COSCO Shipping, $COSCO SHIP HOLD (01919.HK)$ China Hongqiao, $CHINAHONGQIAO (01378.HK)$ and CNOOC. $CNOOC (00883.HK)$ This ETF closed today at 18.09 yuan, up 0.16 yuan or 0.89%. The Fubon CSI HK Dividend ETF aims to distribute dividends quarterly and has announced that the ex-dividend date for Q1 will be March 20th, with this quarter’s dividend being 0.2 yuan per share, offering a dividend yield of approximately 5.8%. It is suitable for long-term investors seeking high-dividend stocks and stable cash flow.

@孫子的末代傳人 @中戶變大戶小牛變大牛 @股海GSO

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