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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Mar 11 10:27

China Mobile shows short-term rebound signals; breaking through the resistance at 80.4 yuan is key for future performance

On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in the Hong Kong stock telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with similar technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom slightly increased, while China Telecom experienced minor adjustments. The changes were relatively moderate, consistent with the stability of the sector, without significant fluctuations. Investor sentiment was cautiously optimistic.
1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$
: Short-term stabilization, long-term pressure remains
Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan. Trading volume was within normal range, showing no clear signs of heavy or light trading.
Moving average relationship: Closing price was slightly higher than MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97) but lower than MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support but not yet breaking free from the downward trend's pressure in the long term.
On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in Hong Kong's telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with converging technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom saw slight increases, while China Telecom experienced a minor adjustment. The overall gains and losses were relatively moderate, consistent with the stable nature of the sector, without significant fluctuations, reflecting investors' cautiously optimistic sentiment. 1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$ Short-term stabilization, but long-term pressure remains Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan, showing neither significant increase nor decrease in volume. Moving averages: Closing price slightly above MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97), but below MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support, but the downward pressure from the long-term trend has not yet been relieved. Technical indicators: RSI is 46, within the neutral range, showing no overbought or oversold conditions; comprehensive technical signals suggest buying, with signal strength at 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal. Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, while resistance levels are at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be on whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60. Risk warning: As a leading stock in the sector, China Mobile's movement has a guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; changes in its trading volume should be closely monitored. 2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$ Adjustment showing...
Technical indicators: RSI at 46, in the neutral zone, without overbought or oversold conditions; overall technical signals suggest buying, with a signal strength of 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal.
On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in Hong Kong's telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with converging technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom saw slight increases, while China Telecom experienced a minor adjustment. The overall gains and losses were relatively moderate, consistent with the stable nature of the sector, without significant fluctuations, reflecting investors' cautiously optimistic sentiment. 1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$ Short-term stabilization, but long-term pressure remains Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan, showing neither significant increase nor decrease in volume. Moving averages: Closing price slightly above MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97), but below MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support, but the downward pressure from the long-term trend has not yet been relieved. Technical indicators: RSI is 46, within the neutral range, showing no overbought or oversold conditions; comprehensive technical signals suggest buying, with signal strength at 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal. Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, while resistance levels are at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be on whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60. Risk warning: As a leading stock in the sector, China Mobile's movement has a guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; changes in its trading volume should be closely monitored. 2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$ Adjustment showing...
Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, resistance levels at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60.
Risk warning: As the leader in the sector, China Mobile’s movement has a certain guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; its trading volume changes should be closely monitored.
2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$
: Signs of stabilization amid adjustment
Closing price at 5.01, down 0.40% for the day, representing a minor adjustment, with no signs of panic selling.
Moving average relationship: Closing price was below MA10 (4.99) and MA30 (5.04) but higher than MA60 (5.23), indicating short-term pressure but medium-term support.
Technical indicators: RSI is 49, close to the neutral range; the overall technical signal is buy with a signal strength of 8. Although the stock price slightly declined, early signs of stabilization in the technical aspect have emerged.
3、 $CHINA UNICOM (00762.HK)$
: Momentum is slightly strong, but the trend remains unclear
Closing price at 7.71, a modest daily increase of 0.52%, similar to the rise of China Mobile, showing relatively stable performance.
Moving average relationship: The closing price is higher than MA10 (7.60) and MA30 (7.53), but lower than MA60 (7.82), indicating decent short-term rebound momentum.
Technical indicators: RSI is 57, in the moderately strong range, with momentum slightly better than the other two stocks. However, the overall technical signal is neutral with a signal strength of 9, reflecting that the current trend remains unclear and requires further observation.
Review and Selection of Warrants and Bull/Bear Products:
1. Review of previous warrants:
Reviewing the China Mobile-related warrant products recommended on 2026/3/4, all achieved positive returns two days later: $HS#C MOBRC2709C.C (64103.HK)$ An increase of 11%, $UB#C MOBRC2709C.C (63412.HK)$Up 13%, $BI-CMOB@EC2609A.C (24413.HK)$ An increase of 7%, corresponding to a 0.83% rise in the underlying stock China Mobile over two days, demonstrating the leverage effect of warrants.
On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in Hong Kong's telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with converging technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom saw slight increases, while China Telecom experienced a minor adjustment. The overall gains and losses were relatively moderate, consistent with the stable nature of the sector, without significant fluctuations, reflecting investors' cautiously optimistic sentiment. 1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$ Short-term stabilization, but long-term pressure remains Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan, showing neither significant increase nor decrease in volume. Moving averages: Closing price slightly above MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97), but below MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support, but the downward pressure from the long-term trend has not yet been relieved. Technical indicators: RSI is 46, within the neutral range, showing no overbought or oversold conditions; comprehensive technical signals suggest buying, with signal strength at 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal. Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, while resistance levels are at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be on whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60. Risk warning: As a leading stock in the sector, China Mobile's movement has a guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; changes in its trading volume should be closely monitored. 2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$ Adjustment showing...
Friendly reminder: Warrants are derivatives with high volatility. Investors should operate based on their risk tolerance and avoid blindly following.
2. Selected warrants:
Select two products with relatively high cost-performance ratios, focusing on premium, implied volatility, and leverage attributes:
① $UB#C MOBRC2809D.C (59908.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 24.6, lowest premium, obvious leverage advantage, suitable for investors optimistic about China Mobile's short-term rebound; strike/recovery price at 74.6, providing a reasonable safety margin from the current share price.
② $CI-CMOB@EC2607A.C (24937.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 15.7, with both premium and implied volatility being the lowest, indicating relatively controllable risk, ideal for more conservative investors looking to capitalize on China Mobile’s mid-term rebound opportunity; strike/recovery price at 88.88.
On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in Hong Kong's telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with converging technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom saw slight increases, while China Telecom experienced a minor adjustment. The overall gains and losses were relatively moderate, consistent with the stable nature of the sector, without significant fluctuations, reflecting investors' cautiously optimistic sentiment. 1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$ Short-term stabilization, but long-term pressure remains Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan, showing neither significant increase nor decrease in volume. Moving averages: Closing price slightly above MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97), but below MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support, but the downward pressure from the long-term trend has not yet been relieved. Technical indicators: RSI is 46, within the neutral range, showing no overbought or oversold conditions; comprehensive technical signals suggest buying, with signal strength at 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal. Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, while resistance levels are at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be on whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60. Risk warning: As a leading stock in the sector, China Mobile's movement has a guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; changes in its trading volume should be closely monitored. 2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$ Adjustment showing...
On the previous day (March 10), the three leading stocks in Hong Kong's telecommunications sector showed divergent movements but with converging technical structures, all in a transitional phase of short-term rebound and medium-term adjustment. As a defensive sector, China Mobile and China Unicom saw slight increases, while China Telecom experienced a minor adjustment. The overall gains and losses were relatively moderate, consistent with the stable nature of the sector, without significant fluctuations, reflecting investors' cautiously optimistic sentiment. 1、 $CHINA MOBILE (00941.HK)$ Short-term stabilization, but long-term pressure remains Closing price at 78.8, up 0.57% for the day, with a trading volume of 1.176 billion yuan, showing neither significant increase nor decrease in volume. Moving averages: Closing price slightly above MA10 (78.73) and MA30 (78.97), but below MA60 (80.69), indicating some short-term support, but the downward pressure from the long-term trend has not yet been relieved. Technical indicators: RSI is 46, within the neutral range, showing no overbought or oversold conditions; comprehensive technical signals suggest buying, with signal strength at 9, which is a relatively strong positive signal. Support and resistance: Support levels are at 77.2 and 75.6, while resistance levels are at 80.4 and 82. The focus going forward will be on whether it can break through the short-term resistance at 80.4 and stabilize above MA60. Risk warning: As a leading stock in the sector, China Mobile's movement has a guiding effect on the entire telecommunications sector; changes in its trading volume should be closely monitored. 2、 $CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$ Adjustment showing...
The overall telecom sector is in a 'short-term rebound, medium-term yet to be confirmed' pattern. None of the three stocks have effectively broken through the key resistance level of MA60. This rebound within a downtrend should be treated cautiously. Investors are advised to maintain a reasonable position size, avoid blindly chasing highs, and focus on whether subsequent trading volumes can continue to expand and whether stock prices can stabilize above long-term moving averages.
Will China Mobile break through the resistance level at 80.4? A: Yes B: No C: Depends on trading volume.Feel free to share your insights in the comments section.
For more market analysis, stay tuned to Jenny's daily updates on 'Hong Kong Stock Warrants'!
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantsSelection #WarrantsStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HongKongWarrantsJenny #ChinaMobile #TelecommunicationsSector #TechnicalAnalysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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