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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Feb 26 10:23

[Warrant Perspective] Kuaishou RSI 39 approaches oversold, stabilization at support level expected

On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$
Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume.
On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume. From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows: 1. The previous day's (25th) closing price was below MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), still pressured by short-term and medium-term moving averages, currently in a technical correction phase; however, it is slightly above MA60 (71.30 yuan), with long-term moving averages providing some support, indicating not entirely bearish conditions. 2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold edge, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure has partially eased, with potential for a technical rebound. 3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan, with the previous day’s share price staying above the first support level, indicating effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, where 71.6 yuan nears the MA10 position, serving as an important pressure point for short-term rebounds. 4. Comprehensive Signals: The summary signal from technical indicators is “Buy,” with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving average signals indicate a “Strong Buy.” Combined with the Williams %R indicator being in oversold territory, a buy signal is given, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator shows possible bottoming out after severe overselling. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, with short-term pressure but decent mid-to-long-term support....
From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows:
1. The closing price on the previous day (the 25th) was below the MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), indicating short-term and medium-term moving average resistance with the stock currently in a technical correction phase; however, it remained slightly above the MA60 (71.30 yuan), where the long-term moving average provides some support, meaning the outlook is not entirely bearish.
2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, which is in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold threshold. This suggests that short-term downward pressure has partially eased and there is potential for a technical rebound.
3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan respectively. The stock price on the previous day stayed above the first support level, showing effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, with 71.6 yuan being close to the MA10 position, acting as an important pressure point for a short-term rebound.
4. Overall Signal: The summary of technical indicators shows a “Buy” signal with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving averages indicate a “Strong Buy,” while the Williams %R indicator is in the oversold zone, providing a buy signal. The Bull/Bear Power indicator suggests severe overselling may be forming a bottom. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, although short-term pressure exists, mid-to-long-term support remains intact.
On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume. From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows: 1. The previous day's (25th) closing price was below MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), still pressured by short-term and medium-term moving averages, currently in a technical correction phase; however, it is slightly above MA60 (71.30 yuan), with long-term moving averages providing some support, indicating not entirely bearish conditions. 2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold edge, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure has partially eased, with potential for a technical rebound. 3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan, with the previous day’s share price staying above the first support level, indicating effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, where 71.6 yuan nears the MA10 position, serving as an important pressure point for short-term rebounds. 4. Comprehensive Signals: The summary signal from technical indicators is “Buy,” with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving average signals indicate a “Strong Buy.” Combined with the Williams %R indicator being in oversold territory, a buy signal is given, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator shows possible bottoming out after severe overselling. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, with short-term pressure but decent mid-to-long-term support....
Kuaishou and similar tech stocks showed mixed performance on February 25th. Most individual stocks were undergoing technical corrections, but technical signals were generally bullish, summarized as follows:
1. Stock Price Performance: $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ 、 $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ 、 $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ 、 $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Slight increase for Kuaishou, $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ 、 $BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ 、 $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ 、 $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$ slight decrease for others, with gains/losses not exceeding 1%, showing mild fluctuations.
2. Common Characteristics: Almost all individual stock closing prices are lower than MA10 and MA30, indicating a short-term and medium-term pullback phase; most stock prices are close to or slightly below MA60, showing long-term moving average support; RSI indicators mostly range between 30-47, representing relatively low levels with potential for oversold rebound.
3. Signal Strength: Meituan and Xiaomi Group show the strongest technical signals (12 points), while Bilibili’s is relatively weaker (7 points); overall, the sector shows predominantly positive technical signals, with the market adopting a more optimistic attitude towards the technology and internet sector.
Review and Selection of Warrants and Bull/Bear Products
(1) Review of previous warrant and bull/bear products
Looking back at the Kuaishou-related warrant and bull/bear products recommended on February 23, 2026, following Kuaishou's slight adjustment over the past two days (a decline of 3.21% two days later), bear certificates and put warrants performed notably: $HS#KUASORP2812A.P (62737.HK)$ A 24% increase two days later, $JP#KUASORP2808A.P (60942.HK)$ A 21% increase two days later, $UBKUASO@EP2608A.P (24598.HK)$ 、 $BIKUASO@EP2608A.P (24562.HK)$ Rising by 10% and 9%, respectively, consistent with short-term technical trends.
Risk Warning: Warrant and bull/bear products involve leverage, leading to higher volatility. Investors should closely monitor underlying stock movements, manage positions carefully, and trade cautiously.
On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume. From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows: 1. The previous day's (25th) closing price was below MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), still pressured by short-term and medium-term moving averages, currently in a technical correction phase; however, it is slightly above MA60 (71.30 yuan), with long-term moving averages providing some support, indicating not entirely bearish conditions. 2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold edge, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure has partially eased, with potential for a technical rebound. 3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan, with the previous day’s share price staying above the first support level, indicating effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, where 71.6 yuan nears the MA10 position, serving as an important pressure point for short-term rebounds. 4. Comprehensive Signals: The summary signal from technical indicators is “Buy,” with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving average signals indicate a “Strong Buy.” Combined with the Williams %R indicator being in oversold territory, a buy signal is given, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator shows possible bottoming out after severe overselling. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, with short-term pressure but decent mid-to-long-term support....
(II) Selected Kuaishou Warrants
Based on Kuaishou's technical trends and product data, two superior warrant products have been selected for investor reference:
1、 $BIKUASO@EC2606C.C (23201.HK)$Strike price 77.05 yuan, leverage 5.9, key feature is ideal leverage and implied volatility, suitable for investors optimistic about a short-term rebound in Kuaishou and looking to capitalize on small upside opportunities.
2、 $MBKUASO@EP2605A.P (25861.HK)$Strike price 57.688 yuan, leverage 6.7, key feature is the highest leverage and lowest implied volatility, suitable for investors bearish on Kuaishou's short-term trend and seeking high-leverage returns.
On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume. From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows: 1. The previous day's (25th) closing price was below MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), still pressured by short-term and medium-term moving averages, currently in a technical correction phase; however, it is slightly above MA60 (71.30 yuan), with long-term moving averages providing some support, indicating not entirely bearish conditions. 2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold edge, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure has partially eased, with potential for a technical rebound. 3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan, with the previous day’s share price staying above the first support level, indicating effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, where 71.6 yuan nears the MA10 position, serving as an important pressure point for short-term rebounds. 4. Comprehensive Signals: The summary signal from technical indicators is “Buy,” with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving average signals indicate a “Strong Buy.” Combined with the Williams %R indicator being in oversold territory, a buy signal is given, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator shows possible bottoming out after severe overselling. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, with short-term pressure but decent mid-to-long-term support....
On February 25, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ Minor volatility adjustment, closing price at 66.35 yuan, down 0.45% in a single day, with a trading volume of 1.711 billion yuan, showing moderate trading activity without significant expansion or contraction in volume. From a technical indicator perspective, the overall signals lean positive, broken down as follows: 1. The previous day's (25th) closing price was below MA10 (68.51 yuan) and MA30 (74.87 yuan), still pressured by short-term and medium-term moving averages, currently in a technical correction phase; however, it is slightly above MA60 (71.30 yuan), with long-term moving averages providing some support, indicating not entirely bearish conditions. 2. RSI Indicator: The value is 39, in a relatively low range, not yet in extreme oversold territory but approaching the oversold edge, suggesting that short-term adjustment pressure has partially eased, with potential for a technical rebound. 3. Support and Resistance:Support levels are at 58.4 yuan and 63.9 yuan, with the previous day’s share price staying above the first support level, indicating effective short-term support; resistance levels are at 71.6 yuan and 79.2 yuan, where 71.6 yuan nears the MA10 position, serving as an important pressure point for short-term rebounds. 4. Comprehensive Signals: The summary signal from technical indicators is “Buy,” with strength reaching 10. Multiple moving average signals indicate a “Strong Buy.” Combined with the Williams %R indicator being in oversold territory, a buy signal is given, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator shows possible bottoming out after severe overselling. Overall, the technical picture remains positive, with short-term pressure but decent mid-to-long-term support....
When choosing Kuaishou CBBCs, what do you value more? A. High leverage. B. Low premium. C. Suitable strike price. Come share your thoughts in the comment section.
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Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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