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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Jan 28 11:47

[Warrant Insights] XPeng Warrant Strategy: How Put Warrants and Bull Certificates Respond to Oversold Conditions

On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector slightly fell for adjustment, with clear internal divergence. Among them, $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$
Closed at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% in a single day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan). Short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, showing a relatively passive trend.
On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector experienced minor declines with noticeable internal divergence. $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ Closing at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% for the day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below the MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan), with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages in a bearish alignment, indicating relatively passive momentum. In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors’ RSI is at 37, already entering the oversold zone, meaning short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators are giving a 'buy' signal (strength level 8). Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ gained 1.83% against the trend, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained the most stable, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around the MA10 and stayed firmly above the MA60, making it one of the main resilient stocks within the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ dropped 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation mode. It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD's RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto remains...
In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors' RSI indicator is 37, already entering the oversold range, implying that short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators give a 'buy' signal (strength 8).
On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector experienced minor declines with noticeable internal divergence. $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ Closing at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% for the day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below the MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan), with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages in a bearish alignment, indicating relatively passive momentum. In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors’ RSI is at 37, already entering the oversold zone, meaning short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators are giving a 'buy' signal (strength level 8). Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ gained 1.83% against the trend, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained the most stable, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around the MA10 and stayed firmly above the MA60, making it one of the main resilient stocks within the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ dropped 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation mode. It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD's RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto remains...
Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ rose against the trend by 1.83%, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ showed the most stability, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around MA10 and remained above MA60, making it one of the most resilient stocks in the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ fell 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation.
It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD’s RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto is the only stock among peers with a 'neutral' technical signal, showing a clear balance between bulls and bears, making it suitable to wait and observe for direction.
As of 11:36 AM today (the 28th), XPeng Motors is trading at 73.7 yuan, up 1.38% temporarily.The resistance levels are at 77.3 yuan and 81.2 yuan. In the short term, a breakout above the MA10 and 77.3 yuan resistance is needed to reverse the weak trend. Meanwhile, the support levels for XPeng Motors are at 70.8 yuan and 65.2 yuan.
Warrant Review and Selection: Put products performed well; low premium options highlighted.
1. Review of previous products
Reviewing the XPeng Motors-related warrant bull/bear products mentioned on January 23rd, put warrants and bear contracts yielded solid returns amid a 5.40% drop in the underlying stock over two days: $HS#XPENGRP2807D.P (55985.HK)$ The two-day increase reached 27%, making it the top performer; $MSXPENG@EP2606A.P (22381.HK)$and$UBXPENG@EP2606A.P (22317.HK)$ They rose by 10% and 12% respectively, perfectly aligning with the underlying stock’s adjustment rhythm. This serves as a reminder that investors should closely follow the technical trends of the underlying asset when operating derivatives, while also controlling position sizes to guard against volatility risks.
On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector experienced minor declines with noticeable internal divergence. $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ Closing at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% for the day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below the MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan), with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages in a bearish alignment, indicating relatively passive momentum. In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors’ RSI is at 37, already entering the oversold zone, meaning short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators are giving a 'buy' signal (strength level 8). Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ gained 1.83% against the trend, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained the most stable, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around the MA10 and stayed firmly above the MA60, making it one of the main resilient stocks within the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ dropped 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation mode. It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD's RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto remains...
2. Today’s selected products
Based on the current technical patterns, two distinctive products are highlighted for reference:
① $MSXPENG@EP2606A.P (22381.HK)$ : Actual leverage is 2.4 times, with an exercise price of 78.63 yuan. Its core advantage lies in having the lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products, offering flexibility corresponding to the short-term volatile adjustments of the underlying stock.
② $HS#XPENGRC2603C.C (59442.HK)$With an actual leverage of 11.4 times, a recovery price of $68.68, and the lowest premium level combined with higher leverage, this is suitable for investors optimistic about XPeng Motors rebounding from the oversold zone, though attention should be paid to closely guarding the support level.
On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector experienced minor declines with noticeable internal divergence. $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ Closing at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% for the day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below the MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan), with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages in a bearish alignment, indicating relatively passive momentum. In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors’ RSI is at 37, already entering the oversold zone, meaning short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators are giving a 'buy' signal (strength level 8). Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ gained 1.83% against the trend, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained the most stable, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around the MA10 and stayed firmly above the MA60, making it one of the main resilient stocks within the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ dropped 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation mode. It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD's RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto remains...
On January 27, most stocks in the new energy vehicle sector experienced minor declines with noticeable internal divergence. $XPENG-W (09868.HK)$ Closing at 72.65 yuan, down 1.29% for the day, with a corresponding trading volume of 828 million yuan. The stock price is completely below the MA10 (78.25 yuan), MA30 (77.58 yuan), and MA60 (81.84 yuan), with short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages in a bearish alignment, indicating relatively passive momentum. In terms of indicators, XPeng Motors’ RSI is at 37, already entering the oversold zone, meaning short-term downward momentum may gradually be exhausted. This is also the core reason why technical indicators are giving a 'buy' signal (strength level 8). Among other stocks, $NIO-SW (09866.HK)$ gained 1.83% against the trend, closing at 36.68 yuan, showing slightly better performance; $BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$ remained the most stable, with only a slight drop of 0.20% to 98.3 yuan. The stock price fluctuated around the MA10 and stayed firmly above the MA60, making it one of the main resilient stocks within the sector; $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ fell 0.54% to 16.53 yuan, $LI AUTO-W (02015.HK)$ dropped 0.68% to 65.3 yuan, both remaining in weak consolidation mode. It is worth mentioning that,Nio and Geely both triggered buy signals as their RSI approaches the oversold region, while BYD's RSI is 55, in a neutral-to-strong area, showing the healthiest technical structure; Li Auto remains...
XPeng Motors' RSI is in the oversold zone—would you buy on dips or wait for moving averages to stabilize? Between these two selected CBBCs, do you prefer put warrants or bull contracts?
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Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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