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How to view the post-holiday market trend in Hong Kong stocks?
港股窩輪Jenny
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[Warrant Perspective] Kuaishou holds firmly above the medium- and long-term moving averages; short-term resistance awaits a volume breakout.

The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction.
$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction. In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm. The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment. On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks: 1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation. 2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 607, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market. However, the technical signal is 'Neutral,' with the stock price fluctuating around several moving averages...
In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm.
$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction. In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm. The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment. On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks: 1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation. 2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 607, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market. However, the technical signal is 'Neutral,' with the stock price fluctuating around several moving averages...
The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment.
On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks:
1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation.
2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at 607 yuan, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market, but the technical signal remains 'neutral.' The stock price is oscillating between multiple moving averages, indicating strong market观望情绪 (wait-and-see sentiment).
3. $BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ : Today's most notable gainer surged 5.85% in a single day, with the stock price significantly above all short- and long-term moving averages, showing a strong trend. However, the RSI has reached 70, entering the overbought zone, and technical signals suggest 'sell,' warranting caution for potential short-term pullback risks.
4. $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ : Closed at 113.5 yuan, down 2.16%, weakening against the broader market trend. However, technical indicators still give a 'buy' signal, with the stock price struggling near MA10 and MA30, and potential support levels yet to be tested.
As of 10:58 AM today (January 28), Kuaishou's latest price was 80.9 yuan, temporarily up 2.66%,Resistance levels are seen at 82.9 yuan and 87.1 yuan, while support levels can be monitored at 73.3 yuan and 68.9 yuan. In the short term, the stock is likely to consolidate within the current range, awaiting direction.
Review of Warrant Bull-Bear Products:
Reviewing the Kuaishou-related warrant bull-bear products recommended on January 23, affected by the underlying stock’s two-day drop of 3.02%, bear certificates and put warrants performed notably well: $HS#KUASORP2712F.P (57031.HK)$The two-day increase reached 30%,$JP#KUASORP2812C.P (66632.HK)$Up 25%,$MSKUASO@EP2605A.P (24643.HK)$and$BPKUASO@EP2606A.P (21458.HK)$Rising 11% and 10% respectively, overall returns met expectations.
$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction. In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm. The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment. On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks: 1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation. 2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 607, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market. However, the technical signal is 'Neutral,' with the stock price fluctuating around several moving averages...
Risk Reminder: Warrant Bull/Bear products carry leverage attributes and are highly sensitive to the underlying stock's movement. Returns and risks coexist; investors must closely follow changes in the underlying stock’s technical patterns and avoid blindly holding positions.
Selected Warrant Products:
Based on Kuaishou's current technical indicators and signal analysis, two selected products with different directions are provided for investor reference:
1. $BIKUASO@EC2607B.C (17442.HK)$: Strike price 88.93 yuan, actual leverage 4.3 times; the advantage lies in a relatively high level of leverage with low premium, suitable for investors optimistic about Kuaishou breaking through short-term resistance.
2. $CIKUASO@EP2603A.P (18971.HK)$: Strike price 68.83 yuan, actual leverage 9 times; the key highlight is that both the premium and implied volatility are the lowest among similar products, corresponding to Kuaishou's short-term moving average resistance trend, making it suitable as a hedging option for investors cautious about the short-term outlook.
$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction. In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm. The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment. On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks: 1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation. 2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 607, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market. However, the technical signal is 'Neutral,' with the stock price fluctuating around several moving averages...
$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The trading on January 27 was stable, closing at HKD 78.8, with a slight increase of 0.25% for the day. The turnover was HKD 1.504 billion, showing moderate volume without significant abnormal expansion or contraction. In terms of indicators, the technical analysis summary signal is 'Buy', with a signal strength of 8, indicating a relatively strong positive signal. Regarding key moving averages, the stock price has stabilized above the MA30 (HKD 72.15) and MA60 (HKD 70.28), reflecting a favorable mid- to long-term trend, which is also the core support for the buy signal. However, it remains slightly below the MA10 (HKD 78.92), facing minor resistance from this moving average in the short term. Whether it breaks through will influence the subsequent price movement rhythm. The RSI indicator stands at 62, within the neutral range, neither entering the overbought zone nor showing oversold pressure, reflecting that the market attitude towards Kuaishou remains relatively rational, without signs of excessive speculative sentiment. On January 27, there was noticeable divergence among tech stocks, with varying performances across individual stocks: 1. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 96.55, down 0.57%. Although the technical indicators show a 'Buy' signal with a strength of 10/12, the stock price remains pressured below the MA10, MA30, and MA60, with moving averages showing a bearish alignment. The overall trend appears weak, and whether a successful bottoming-out can be achieved requires further observation. 2. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ : Closed at HKD 607, up 1.25%, outperforming the broader market. However, the technical signal is 'Neutral,' with the stock price fluctuating around several moving averages...
Can Kuaishou break through the MA10 resistance in the short term? A. Yes B. No.
Which tech stock do you feel most optimistic about going forward? A. Kuaishou B. Tencent C. Meituan D. JD.com E. Bilibili
Come share your thoughts in the comment section.
For more analysis, be sure to follow Jenny's daily updates on "HK Stock Warrants"!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HongKongStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #WarrantsSelection #WarrantsStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HongKongWarrantsJenny #Kuaishou #TechStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #HangSengTech
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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