Inflation heats up, central banks turn hawkish! Is the wind changing for gold prices?
On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast]January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Miningwe noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ :
The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$
The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel.
Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are mainly 'sell,' with nine sell signals and six buy signals. The overall technical indicator signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI index is 68, which is close to the overbought region, showing an 'overbought condition, neutral signal.' At the same time, the stock price is near the top of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting potential pressure on further upward movement.
![On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast][Share Link: January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Mining]we noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ : The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$ The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel. Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are predominantly 'sell,' with 9 sell signals and 6 buy signals. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260127/web-1769482326153-QNBrLaZkTF.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
On January 26, the resource stocks sector performed exceptionally strong, led by gold and energy stocks. The performance of individual stocks is as follows:
$CNOOC (00883.HK)$ : Closing price at 23.34 yuan, up 4.01% in a single day, RSI 72 entering overbought territory, strong sell signal.
$CHINA COAL (01898.HK)$ : Closing price at 11.25 yuan, up 2.27% in a single day, RSI 56 neutral leaning strong, sell signal.
$YANKUANG ENERGY (01171.HK)$ : Closing price at 11.39 yuan, up 2.43% in a single day, RSI 71 overbought, strong sell signal.
$STANCHART (02888.HK)$ : Closing price at 193.80 yuan, down 0.36% in a single day, RSI 59 neutral, strong sell signal.
$SD GOLD (01787.HK)$ : Closing price at 48.22 yuan, up 4.51% in a single day, RSI 77 severely overbought, strong sell signal.
$CMOC (03993.HK)$ : Closing price at 22.74 yuan, up 6.26% in a single day, RSI 65 approaching overbought, strong sell signal.
Overall, stocks with significant gains within the sector are all facing RSI overbought issues. Comprehensive technical signals uniformly issue a 'strong sell' warning, indicating the market may have become overly enthusiastic, with short-term profit-taking pressure rising.
As of 10:41 AM today (January 27), Zijin Mining's latest price was 44.84 yuan, temporarily up 6.31%. Key resistance levels are concentrated at 45.1 yuan and 46.5 yuan, with the 45 yuan level becoming a crucial short-term watershed. A breakout could open further upside potential; otherwise, it may trigger profit-taking. Short-term support levels are at 39.2 yuan and 36.2 yuan. If 39.2 yuan is breached, it may test prior support. This technical high-level adjustment pressure after a sustained rise is a normal phenomenon, and investors should be prepared for risk management.
![On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast][Share Link: January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Mining]we noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ : The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$ The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel. Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are predominantly 'sell,' with 9 sell signals and 6 buy signals. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260127/web-1769482378033-sB53ChmiZW.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
Warrant Review and Selection: Seize leverage opportunities while staying alert to risks.
(1) Review of Warrants and Bull/Bear Certificates
Reviewing the Zijin Mining-related warrant products recommended on January 22, these saw considerable gains within two days, significantly outperforming the underlying stock: $BI#ZIJINRC2612A.C (66030.HK)$ Up 34%, $HS#ZIJINRC2611C.C (65598.HK)$ Up 32%, $HSZIJIN@EC2604B.C (23800.HK)$ Up 30%, $BIZIJIN@EC2604C.C (15329.HK)$ Up 24%, while the underlying stock only rose by 5.50%, highlighting the leverage effect.
![On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast][Share Link: January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Mining]we noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ : The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$ The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel. Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are predominantly 'sell,' with 9 sell signals and 6 buy signals. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260127/web-1769482414538-FmAUfPmi93.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
(2) Selected Warrant Products
Based on the current trend, two high-quality products have been selected for investors' reference:
1. HSBC Bull Certificate (65598): Actual leverage of 5.1 times, recovery price at 35 yuan, with the lowest premium. When the share price remains strong, the leverage efficiency is higher, suitable for investors confident in short-term trends.
2. $CIZIJIN@EC2604A.C (21922.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 8.6 times, exercise price at 48.58 yuan, with both premium and implied volatility being the lowest among similar products, offering excellent cost-performance, ideal for investors optimistic about breaking through the 45 yuan mark.
![On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast][Share Link: January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Mining]we noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ : The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$ The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel. Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are predominantly 'sell,' with 9 sell signals and 6 buy signals. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260127/web-1769482521723-relK51WGC3.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
![On January 26, our [Hong Kong Stock Broadcast][Share Link: January 26 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, NetEase, China Shenhua, CNOOC Services, HSBC, Zijin Mining]we noted that $ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$ : The stock showed strong performance during the day, reaching an intraday high of 43.56 yuan, setting a new phase high, and closing at 42.18 yuan. The share price continued its upward trend with significantly higher trading volume compared to recent periods, achieving a turnover of 5.796 billion yuan. From a technical perspective, the stock displays an attractive trend on weekly, monthly, and quarterly charts, maintaining a consistent uptrend recently, providing investors with a strong trend reference. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$NTES-S (09999.HK)$$CHINA SHENHUA (01088.HK)$$CHINA OILFIELD (02883.HK)$$HSBC HOLDINGS (00005.HK)$ The market generally believes that this stock is 'gaining momentum as it rises,' with core questions focusing on whether it is still suitable to enter now and whether it can challenge the HKD 45 mark. Notably, the stock price is substantially higher than the MA10 (HKD 40.33) and MA30 (HKD 37.11), indicating strong short-term trends, but concerns have also emerged in parallel. Although the stock's trend is positive, short-term technical signals are predominantly 'sell,' with 9 sell signals and 6 buy signals. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong sell,' with a signal strength of 9. Looking at specific indicators, the RSI...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260127/web-1769482521726-8iPyiskrSV.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
Risk Warning: Warrant products have an expiration feature; the leverage effect amplifies both returns and risks. Investors need to closely monitor the underlying stock's performance and the product’s maturity date.
Zijin Mining is approaching the $45 mark, will you 'reduce holdings to take profits' or 'continue holding'?
For this batch of Zijin Mining warrants, do you prefer 'Bull Contracts' or 'Call Warrants'?
Come to the comment section and share your thoughts! Want to see more analysis? Remember to follow 'HK Stock Warrants Jenny' for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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