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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Jan 21 11:03

[Warrant Perspective] How to effectively use bull-bear certificates for directional deployment in Kuaishou's neutral market conditions

On January 20, individual stocks in the Hong Kong stock short-video and social media sector showed varying performances without forming a unified trend. Among them, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$
It slightly fell by 0.91% on the day, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion. The trading volume was moderate, showing no significant signs of expansion or contraction, indicating a relatively stable consolidation phase overall.
In other individual stock performances, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Up nearly flat with a slight increase of 0.09%, technical indicators signal a 'strong buy,' and the RSI at only 44 has not reached the overbought zone, indicating potential for a rebound. $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ Down slightly by 0.09%, fluctuating around the 10-day moving average; the medium- to long-term trend is supported by multiple moving averages, leaning optimistic. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$and$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Although there was a small rise, the RSI reached 64 and 67, approaching or entering the overbought zone, facing short-term pullback pressure, showing signs of 'stalling' in upward momentum. $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
As one of the most watched stocks in the sector, Kuaishou's technical outlook on January 20th leans toward neutral consolidation. From the perspective of the moving average system, the stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (77.17 yuan) and above the 30-day moving average (70.19 yuan), placing it in a short-term oscillation range—neither breaking through overhead resistance nor falling below underlying support, suggesting a 'stuck-in-the-middle' pattern.
In terms of technical indicators, the RSI index is at 60, near the upper end of the neutral zone but not yet in the overbought region, indicating relatively rational short-term market sentiment without excessive speculation. Multiple oscillation indicators (Williams %R, Stochastic Oscillator, CCI, etc.) all show 'neutral' signals, further confirming the current consolidation pattern.
On January 20, individual stocks in the Hong Kong stock short-video and social media sector showed varying performances without forming a unified trend. Among them, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ It slightly fell by 0.91% on the day, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion. The trading volume was moderate, showing no significant signs of expansion or contraction, indicating a relatively stable consolidation phase overall. In other individual stock performances, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ The stock was nearly flat with a slight increase of 0.09%. Technical indicators signaled a 'strong buy,' with an RSI of only 44, not reaching the overbought zone, suggesting potential rebound momentum. $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ It slightly dropped by 0.09%, fluctuating around the 10-day moving average, while the mid-to-long-term trend remains optimistic, supported by multiple moving averages. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$and$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Although there was a small rise, the RSI reached 64 and 67, approaching or entering the overbought zone, indicating short-term downward pressure and a 'stagnant upward movement' trend. $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ As one of the most watched stocks in the sector, Kuaishou's technical outlook on January 20 leaned toward a neutral consolidation. From the perspective of the moving average system, the stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (HKD 77.17) but above the 30-day moving average (HKD 70.19), placing it in a short-term oscillation range. It neither broke through the upper resistance nor fell below the lower support, making...
As of 10:45 AM today (January 21), Kuaishou's latest price was 76.6 yuan, up 0.79%.Resistance levels are concentrated at 81.1 yuan (Resistance 1) and 88.9 yuan (Resistance 2), requiring a surge in volume to break through and open up further upside potential. On the support side, 70.7 yuan (Support 1) and 63.2 yuan (Support 2) form two layers of defense, with 70.7 yuan close to the 30-day moving average, offering relatively stronger support.
Product Review: Bear Certificates Perform Strongly
Reviewing Kuaishou-related warrant and bull/bear products positioned on January 16, their performance stood out over the past two trading days. Driven by a 2.94% drop in Kuaishou's underlying stock, bear certificates and put warrants gained strength, with $JP#KUASORP2812C.P (66632.HK)$ increases reaching 17%, $HS#KUASORP2712F.P (57031.HK)$ An increase of 15%, $CIKUASO@EP2603A.P (18971.HK)$ with an 11% rise as well, bringing good returns to derivatives investors. $BIKUASO@EP2603A.P (19035.HK)$
On January 20, individual stocks in the Hong Kong stock short-video and social media sector showed varying performances without forming a unified trend. Among them, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ It slightly fell by 0.91% on the day, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion. The trading volume was moderate, showing no significant signs of expansion or contraction, indicating a relatively stable consolidation phase overall. In other individual stock performances, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ The stock was nearly flat with a slight increase of 0.09%. Technical indicators signaled a 'strong buy,' with an RSI of only 44, not reaching the overbought zone, suggesting potential rebound momentum. $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ It slightly dropped by 0.09%, fluctuating around the 10-day moving average, while the mid-to-long-term trend remains optimistic, supported by multiple moving averages. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$and$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Although there was a small rise, the RSI reached 64 and 67, approaching or entering the overbought zone, indicating short-term downward pressure and a 'stagnant upward movement' trend. $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ As one of the most watched stocks in the sector, Kuaishou's technical outlook on January 20 leaned toward a neutral consolidation. From the perspective of the moving average system, the stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (HKD 77.17) but above the 30-day moving average (HKD 70.19), placing it in a short-term oscillation range. It neither broke through the upper resistance nor fell below the lower support, making...
Risk Warning: Derivatives are extremely volatile; profits can be made quickly but so can losses. Investors should not blindly chase gains.
Product Selection: Two categories for reference
Considering Kuaishou's current neutral consolidation trend, two products in different directions have been selected for your reference, corresponding to different market expectations:
1. China Securities Put Warrant (18971): Actual leverage of 8x, strike price at HK$68.83. Its main advantage is having the lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products, offering relatively higher cost-effectiveness. Suitable for investors expecting short-term downward fluctuations in Kuaishou, seeking stable derivative opportunities.
2.  $UB#KUASORC2605B.C (68382.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 4.3x, recovery price at HK$62. The key advantage lies in 'highest actual leverage + lower premium,' balancing cost control and profit potential. Suitable for investors optimistic about Kuaishou bouncing back after testing support levels.
On January 20, individual stocks in the Hong Kong stock short-video and social media sector showed varying performances without forming a unified trend. Among them, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ It slightly fell by 0.91% on the day, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion. The trading volume was moderate, showing no significant signs of expansion or contraction, indicating a relatively stable consolidation phase overall. In other individual stock performances, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ The stock was nearly flat with a slight increase of 0.09%. Technical indicators signaled a 'strong buy,' with an RSI of only 44, not reaching the overbought zone, suggesting potential rebound momentum. $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ It slightly dropped by 0.09%, fluctuating around the 10-day moving average, while the mid-to-long-term trend remains optimistic, supported by multiple moving averages. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$and$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Although there was a small rise, the RSI reached 64 and 67, approaching or entering the overbought zone, indicating short-term downward pressure and a 'stagnant upward movement' trend. $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ As one of the most watched stocks in the sector, Kuaishou's technical outlook on January 20 leaned toward a neutral consolidation. From the perspective of the moving average system, the stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (HKD 77.17) but above the 30-day moving average (HKD 70.19), placing it in a short-term oscillation range. It neither broke through the upper resistance nor fell below the lower support, making...
On January 20, individual stocks in the Hong Kong stock short-video and social media sector showed varying performances without forming a unified trend. Among them, $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ It slightly fell by 0.91% on the day, closing at HKD 76.05, with a trading volume of HKD 1.621 billion. The trading volume was moderate, showing no significant signs of expansion or contraction, indicating a relatively stable consolidation phase overall. In other individual stock performances, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ The stock was nearly flat with a slight increase of 0.09%. Technical indicators signaled a 'strong buy,' with an RSI of only 44, not reaching the overbought zone, suggesting potential rebound momentum. $NTES-S (09999.HK)$ It slightly dropped by 0.09%, fluctuating around the 10-day moving average, while the mid-to-long-term trend remains optimistic, supported by multiple moving averages. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$and$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Although there was a small rise, the RSI reached 64 and 67, approaching or entering the overbought zone, indicating short-term downward pressure and a 'stagnant upward movement' trend. $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ As one of the most watched stocks in the sector, Kuaishou's technical outlook on January 20 leaned toward a neutral consolidation. From the perspective of the moving average system, the stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (HKD 77.17) but above the 30-day moving average (HKD 70.19), placing it in a short-term oscillation range. It neither broke through the upper resistance nor fell below the lower support, making...
Risk Warning: When choosing CBBCs or warrants, don't just focus on leverage. Strike price, premium, and implied volatility must all be considered together, and position sizes should be strictly controlled.
Do you think Kuaishou will first test the support level at HK$70.7 or the resistance level at HK$81.1? When trading warrants, do you prioritize leverage or premium?Feel free to share your tips for trading derivatives! Want more analysis? Don’t forget to follow ‘HK Warrants Jenny’ for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#Hong Kong Stocks #Real-time Analysis #Warrant Picks #Warrant Strategies #Derivatives Hedging #HK Warrants Jenny #Kuaishou #Short Video and Social Media Sector #Technical Analysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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