Pop Mart's stock has risen for several consecutive days! Labubu's annual sales exceed 100 million
[Warrant Perspective] Pop Mart experiences short-term volatility of 12.8%, technical indicators suggest downward pressure
On January 20th, $POP MART (09992.HK)$
The stock showed strong momentum, closing at HKD 197.2, surging 9.07% in a single day with a trading volume as high as HKD 5.879 billion. The increase in turnover corresponded with amplified trading volume, reflecting a significant rise in market capital attention.
On the previous day (the 20th), during the [BOC Guest Session],January 20th [BOC Guest] Hang Seng Index, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart, Zijin Mining, Li Ning, MideaDuring the session, Niki Zhu Hong, Director at BOC International, commented on Pop Mart, noting that the share price had been sluggish for some time, falling from above HKD 300 to below HKD 200, with the lowest point reaching slightly above HKD 170. Investors had been waiting for an entry opportunity for a long time. The company’s first management buyback in two years (using approximately HKD 250 million) became a key catalyst for this rebound. This action was interpreted by the market as a positive outlook from management on the company's future, combined with new developments like collaborations between popular IPs and mobile products, further strengthening positive market expectations. Even though the Hang Seng Index trended weak overall, Pop Mart still charted its own independent course. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$
From a technical indicator perspective, current bullish and bearish signals are relatively balanced, presenting a neutral overall pattern. The RSI indicator stands at 48, within the neutral range, showing no clear signs of overbought or oversold conditions; the MACD signal indicates a buy, but the Bollinger Bands signal a sell. Multiple oscillation indicators show neutrality, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty regarding future trends. The stochastic oscillator is in overbought territory, suggesting potential short-term pullback pressure, which aligns with the stock's high volatility characteristic of a 12.8% fluctuation range over five days, indicating increased short-term volatility.
![On January 20th, $POP MART (09992.HK)$ The stock showed strong momentum, closing at HKD 197.2, surging 9.07% in a single day with a trading volume as high as HKD 5.879 billion. The increase in turnover corresponded with amplified trading volume, reflecting a significant rise in market capital attention. On the previous day (the 20th), during the [BOC Guest Session],[Share Link: January 20th [BOC Guest] Hang Seng Index, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart, Zijin Mining, Li Ning, Midea]During the session, Niki Zhu Hong, Director at BOC International, commented on Pop Mart, noting that the share price had been sluggish for some time, falling from above HKD 300 to below HKD 200, with the lowest point reaching slightly above HKD 170. Investors had been waiting for an entry opportunity for a long time. The company’s first management buyback in two years (using approximately HKD 250 million) became a key catalyst for this rebound. This action was interpreted by the market as a positive outlook from management on the company's future, combined with new developments like collaborations between popular IPs and mobile products, further strengthening positive market expectations. Even though the Hang Seng Index trended weak overall, Pop Mart still charted its own independent course. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ From a technical indicator perspective, current bullish and bearish signals are relatively balanced, presenting a neutral overall pattern. The RSI indicator is at 48, within the neutral range, showing no obvious...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260121/web-1768962114223-BiuOuXcX3t.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
In terms of moving averages, MA10 (HKD 192.31), MA30 (HKD 194.73), and the latest stock price form a slight entangled pattern, while MA60 (HKD 205.87) creates upward pressure on the stock price.As of 10 a.m. today (the 21st), Pop Mart's latest price was HKD 194, down 1.62%. The first support level below is at HKD 186.1, with the second support level at HKD 176.7, the latter being close to the previous low and offering relatively stronger support. The first resistance level above is at HKD 205.1, with the second resistance at HKD 218. Resistance level 1 is near the MA60 position, forming a combined pressure zone, making it difficult to break through in the short term.
Review of Warrants and Bull/Bear Certificates: Significant Gains for Related Products
Looking back at the Pop Mart-related warrant and bull/bear certificate products recommended on January 16, their short-term performance has been impressive. Among them, $HS#POMRTRC2609B.C (57138.HK)$ the increase reached as high as 80% within two days, $UB#POMRTRC2606D.C (67949.HK)$ with a rise of 70%, $SGPOMRT@EC2704A.C (23404.HK)$and$DSPOMRT@EC2704A.C (16962.HK)$ and they rose by 28% and 24% respectively, significantly outperforming the underlying stock's increase of 10.41%. This shows that in a rebound market for the underlying stock, leveraged products can effectively amplify returns, but at the same time, be wary of the risks brought by market reversals.
![On January 20th, $POP MART (09992.HK)$ The stock showed strong momentum, closing at HKD 197.2, surging 9.07% in a single day with a trading volume as high as HKD 5.879 billion. The increase in turnover corresponded with amplified trading volume, reflecting a significant rise in market capital attention. On the previous day (the 20th), during the [BOC Guest Session],[Share Link: January 20th [BOC Guest] Hang Seng Index, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart, Zijin Mining, Li Ning, Midea]During the session, Niki Zhu Hong, Director at BOC International, commented on Pop Mart, noting that the share price had been sluggish for some time, falling from above HKD 300 to below HKD 200, with the lowest point reaching slightly above HKD 170. Investors had been waiting for an entry opportunity for a long time. The company’s first management buyback in two years (using approximately HKD 250 million) became a key catalyst for this rebound. This action was interpreted by the market as a positive outlook from management on the company's future, combined with new developments like collaborations between popular IPs and mobile products, further strengthening positive market expectations. Even though the Hang Seng Index trended weak overall, Pop Mart still charted its own independent course. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ From a technical indicator perspective, current bullish and bearish signals are relatively balanced, presenting a neutral overall pattern. The RSI indicator is at 48, within the neutral range, showing no obvious...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260121/web-1768962299687-rgUCTa5Hyi.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
Warrant and Bull/Bear Certificate Selection: Two Types of Products Worth Watching
Considering the current market conditions, two selected products of different types are provided for reference. It should be noted that derivatives have high volatility, so it’s crucial to control entry timing:
1. $SGPOMRT@EC2704A.C (23404.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 2.6 times, exercise price of HK$208.2. The core advantage lies in its premium and implied volatility being at the lowest levels among similar products, offering strong cost controllability, making it suitable for investors optimistic about the stock price breaking through the upper resistance level.
2. $SG#POMRTRC2608F.C (62833.HK)$ : Actual leverage of 5.7 times, call price at HK$170.8. The premium is the lowest, and the leverage relatively higher, allowing one to benefit from the amplification effect of the underlying stock's rise while the downside call price aligns with prior support levels, providing clearer risk boundaries.
![On January 20th, $POP MART (09992.HK)$ The stock showed strong momentum, closing at HKD 197.2, surging 9.07% in a single day with a trading volume as high as HKD 5.879 billion. The increase in turnover corresponded with amplified trading volume, reflecting a significant rise in market capital attention. On the previous day (the 20th), during the [BOC Guest Session],[Share Link: January 20th [BOC Guest] Hang Seng Index, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart, Zijin Mining, Li Ning, Midea]During the session, Niki Zhu Hong, Director at BOC International, commented on Pop Mart, noting that the share price had been sluggish for some time, falling from above HKD 300 to below HKD 200, with the lowest point reaching slightly above HKD 170. Investors had been waiting for an entry opportunity for a long time. The company’s first management buyback in two years (using approximately HKD 250 million) became a key catalyst for this rebound. This action was interpreted by the market as a positive outlook from management on the company's future, combined with new developments like collaborations between popular IPs and mobile products, further strengthening positive market expectations. Even though the Hang Seng Index trended weak overall, Pop Mart still charted its own independent course. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ From a technical indicator perspective, current bullish and bearish signals are relatively balanced, presenting a neutral overall pattern. The RSI indicator is at 48, within the neutral range, showing no obvious...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260121/web-1768962186858-bFvioPqAU7.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
![On January 20th, $POP MART (09992.HK)$ The stock showed strong momentum, closing at HKD 197.2, surging 9.07% in a single day with a trading volume as high as HKD 5.879 billion. The increase in turnover corresponded with amplified trading volume, reflecting a significant rise in market capital attention. On the previous day (the 20th), during the [BOC Guest Session],[Share Link: January 20th [BOC Guest] Hang Seng Index, Xiaomi, SMIC, Pop Mart, Zijin Mining, Li Ning, Midea]During the session, Niki Zhu Hong, Director at BOC International, commented on Pop Mart, noting that the share price had been sluggish for some time, falling from above HKD 300 to below HKD 200, with the lowest point reaching slightly above HKD 170. Investors had been waiting for an entry opportunity for a long time. The company’s first management buyback in two years (using approximately HKD 250 million) became a key catalyst for this rebound. This action was interpreted by the market as a positive outlook from management on the company's future, combined with new developments like collaborations between popular IPs and mobile products, further strengthening positive market expectations. Even though the Hang Seng Index trended weak overall, Pop Mart still charted its own independent course. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$ZIJIN MINING (02899.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ From a technical indicator perspective, current bullish and bearish signals are relatively balanced, presenting a neutral overall pattern. The RSI indicator is at 48, within the neutral range, showing no obvious...](https://nnqimage.futunn.com/sns_client_feed/1162342/20260121/web-1768962259324-7x7h5ZOrJP.png/big?area=1&is_public=true&imageMogr2/ignore-error/1/format/webp)
Do you think Pop Mart will successfully break through the resistance level at HK$205? A. Yes B. No C. Depends on subsequent IP dynamics? If positioning in Pop Mart derivatives, would you lean towards call warrants or bull certificates?Come to the comment section and share your thoughts. Want more analysis? Don't forget to follow 'HK Stock Warrants Jenny' for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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