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Kicking off the year with a bang! Multiple sectors in Hong Kong's stock market are quietly gaining m
港股窩輪Jenny
joined discussion · Jan 9 10:54

[Warrant Insights] Kuaishou Sell Signal Confirmed, Is It Time to Deploy High-Leverage Bearish Warrants?

January 8 $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$
The stock price weakened, closing at HKD 71.9 for the day, a single-day drop of 2.51%, with a trading volume of HKD 2.54 billion. As of 10:34 AM today (January 9), Kuaishou's latest price was HKD 74.65, rebounding 3.69% from the previous close,Resistance levels are at HKD 76.5 and HKD 80.8, while support levels are at HKD 67.4 and HKD 63 respectively; the probability of an upward movement is 55%.In terms of moving average layout, MA10 stands at HKD 68.22, MA30 at HKD 67.58, and MA60 at HKD 69.56. The current stock price is between MA10 and MA60, indicating a relatively stagnant short-term trend. Indicator signals show that the RSI index is 59, within the neutral range, while indicators such as MACD and ADX present divergences. Among them, the ADX indicator gives a buy signal, whereas the rate-of-change indicator suggests a sell signal. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'sell,' with a strength rating of 8.
January 8$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The stock price weakened, closing at HKD 71.9 for the day, a single-day drop of 2.51%, with a turnover of HKD 2.54 billion. As of 10:34 AM today (January 9), Kuaishou's latest price was HKD 74.65, rebounding 3.69% from the previous close.Resistance levels are at HKD 76.5 and HKD 80.8, while support levels are at HKD 67.4 and HKD 63 respectively, with a 55% probability of an upward trend.In terms of moving averages, MA10 is at HKD 68.22, MA30 at HKD 67.58, and MA60 at HKD 69.56; the current share price is between MA10 and MA60, indicating a relatively indecisive short-term trend. Indicator signals show that the RSI index is at 59, within the neutral range. Indicators such as MACD and ADX present diverging signals, where the ADX indicator suggests a buy signal, but the rate-of-change indicator shows a sell signal. The overall technical indicator summary is a 'sell' signal with a strength of 8. Within the technology sector, competition in the short-video industry continues, with varying performances from related stocks:$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$Benefiting from an active platform content ecosystem, it rose against the market trend by 2.65% on the day, closing at HKD 216.6. However, technical indicators suggest it is in an overbought condition, warranting caution for potential short-term pullbacks.$TENCENT (00700.HK)$As the industry leader, it demonstrated stable performance, closing at HKD 616, with a slight decline of 1.36%. Multiple technical indicators show neutral signals.$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$Due to the demand for local life services...
Within the technology stock sector, competition in the short-video industry continues, with varying performances among related stocks: $BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$ Benefiting from the platform’s active content ecosystem, it rose against the market trend by 2.65% on the day, closing at HKD 216.6. However, technical indicators show an overbought condition, requiring attention to potential short-term pullback risks. $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ As the industry leader, it showed stable performance, closing at HKD 616 with a slight decline of 1.36%. Multiple technical indicators present neutral signals. $MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$ Supported by demand for local life services, its share price fluctuated narrowly, closing at HKD 101, down 3.35%. The overall technical indicator summary signal is 'strong buy' but with a neutral strength rating. $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ The stock price came under pressure, closing at HKD 111.7, down 2.02%, with the technical pattern showing an oversold condition.
Reviewing the performance of popular warrants related to Kuaishou on January 6, 2026, driven by the underlying stock’s 4.77% drop on that day, several bearish and put warrants were actively traded. Among them, $JP#KUASORP2812B.P (57538.HK)$The increase reached 32% after two days, $SG#KUASORP2812S.P (56227.HK)$The increase also reached 30% after two days. Both products closely followed the downward trend of the underlying stock, demonstrating high Delta sensitivity and a significant amplification effect. Additionally, $CIKUASO@EP2603A.P (18971.HK)$The increase reached 34% after two days, $BIKUASO@EP2603A.P (19035.HK)$The increase reached 23% after two days, also driven by the decline of the underlying stock to achieve a good rebound. This reflects that in a weak market for the underlying stock, bearish-directional CBBC products can effectively amplify return on investment.
January 8$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The stock price weakened, closing at HKD 71.9 for the day, a single-day drop of 2.51%, with a turnover of HKD 2.54 billion. As of 10:34 AM today (January 9), Kuaishou's latest price was HKD 74.65, rebounding 3.69% from the previous close.Resistance levels are at HKD 76.5 and HKD 80.8, while support levels are at HKD 67.4 and HKD 63 respectively, with a 55% probability of an upward trend.In terms of moving averages, MA10 is at HKD 68.22, MA30 at HKD 67.58, and MA60 at HKD 69.56; the current share price is between MA10 and MA60, indicating a relatively indecisive short-term trend. Indicator signals show that the RSI index is at 59, within the neutral range. Indicators such as MACD and ADX present diverging signals, where the ADX indicator suggests a buy signal, but the rate-of-change indicator shows a sell signal. The overall technical indicator summary is a 'sell' signal with a strength of 8. Within the technology sector, competition in the short-video industry continues, with varying performances from related stocks:$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$Benefiting from an active platform content ecosystem, it rose against the market trend by 2.65% on the day, closing at HKD 216.6. However, technical indicators suggest it is in an overbought condition, warranting caution for potential short-term pullbacks.$TENCENT (00700.HK)$As the industry leader, it demonstrated stable performance, closing at HKD 616, with a slight decline of 1.36%. Multiple technical indicators show neutral signals.$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$Due to the demand for local life services...
Considering Kuaishou's current market conditions and the characteristics of the CBBC pool, two high cost-performance targets are selected for reference.
The first is $HSKUASO@EC2606A.C (18362.HK)$, with a strike price of 77 yuan. This product has the lowest implied volatility among similar products and offers high leverage of 4.5 times. For investors optimistic about Kuaishou breaking through resistance levels and seeking high elasticity returns, the cost efficiency is relatively ideal.
The second is $UB#KUASORP2812A.P (63981.HK)$, with a call price of 78 yuan. The premium rate is the lowest among similar products, with actual leverage as high as 9.3 times and sufficient liquidity. It is suitable for investors expecting Kuaishou to continue its short-term weakness and seeking bearish deployment.
Risk Warning:Special attention should be paid to the proximity of the call price of UBS Group’s bear contract (63981) to the current stock price. If Kuaishou experiences a short-term rebound, it may trigger forced redemption risk. Investors need to closely track the movement of the underlying stock and set stop-loss strategies. Additionally, the tech sector is currently showing clear divergence, with significant market sentiment fluctuations. Whether it is call warrants or bear contracts, it is necessary to assess the certainty of the underlying stock breaking through or falling below key price levels; blindly chasing highs or bottom fishing is not recommended.
January 8$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The stock price weakened, closing at HKD 71.9 for the day, a single-day drop of 2.51%, with a turnover of HKD 2.54 billion. As of 10:34 AM today (January 9), Kuaishou's latest price was HKD 74.65, rebounding 3.69% from the previous close.Resistance levels are at HKD 76.5 and HKD 80.8, while support levels are at HKD 67.4 and HKD 63 respectively, with a 55% probability of an upward trend.In terms of moving averages, MA10 is at HKD 68.22, MA30 at HKD 67.58, and MA60 at HKD 69.56; the current share price is between MA10 and MA60, indicating a relatively indecisive short-term trend. Indicator signals show that the RSI index is at 59, within the neutral range. Indicators such as MACD and ADX present diverging signals, where the ADX indicator suggests a buy signal, but the rate-of-change indicator shows a sell signal. The overall technical indicator summary is a 'sell' signal with a strength of 8. Within the technology sector, competition in the short-video industry continues, with varying performances from related stocks:$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$Benefiting from an active platform content ecosystem, it rose against the market trend by 2.65% on the day, closing at HKD 216.6. However, technical indicators suggest it is in an overbought condition, warranting caution for potential short-term pullbacks.$TENCENT (00700.HK)$As the industry leader, it demonstrated stable performance, closing at HKD 616, with a slight decline of 1.36%. Multiple technical indicators show neutral signals.$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$Due to the demand for local life services...
January 8$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ The stock price weakened, closing at HKD 71.9 for the day, a single-day drop of 2.51%, with a turnover of HKD 2.54 billion. As of 10:34 AM today (January 9), Kuaishou's latest price was HKD 74.65, rebounding 3.69% from the previous close.Resistance levels are at HKD 76.5 and HKD 80.8, while support levels are at HKD 67.4 and HKD 63 respectively, with a 55% probability of an upward trend.In terms of moving averages, MA10 is at HKD 68.22, MA30 at HKD 67.58, and MA60 at HKD 69.56; the current share price is between MA10 and MA60, indicating a relatively indecisive short-term trend. Indicator signals show that the RSI index is at 59, within the neutral range. Indicators such as MACD and ADX present diverging signals, where the ADX indicator suggests a buy signal, but the rate-of-change indicator shows a sell signal. The overall technical indicator summary is a 'sell' signal with a strength of 8. Within the technology sector, competition in the short-video industry continues, with varying performances from related stocks:$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$Benefiting from an active platform content ecosystem, it rose against the market trend by 2.65% on the day, closing at HKD 216.6. However, technical indicators suggest it is in an overbought condition, warranting caution for potential short-term pullbacks.$TENCENT (00700.HK)$As the industry leader, it demonstrated stable performance, closing at HKD 616, with a slight decline of 1.36%. Multiple technical indicators show neutral signals.$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$Due to the demand for local life services...
Kuaishou shows a technical sell signal today, with mixed performance within the sector. Would you choose low-premium, high-leverage call warrants to position for a rebound, or low-premium bear contracts to capitalize on short-term weakness opportunities?Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comment section! Want more analysis? Don’t forget to follow ‘HK Stock Warrants Jenny’ for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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