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wrote a column · Oct 22, 2025 08:41

Review of Key Insights from TVB Program 'NiuNiu Talks US Stocks' (October 13-17, 2025)

Mao Junhao: The market's optimism towards $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ stems primarily from the explosive demand for AI infrastructure development. The demand for advanced chips and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) in AI servers far exceeds that of traditional servers, directly driving capacity expansion plans at foundries. Analysts predict that global investments in AI infrastructure could reach trillions of dollars, translating into sustained orders for advanced equipment such as EUV lithography machines. In terms of earnings forecasts, the market expects revenue of $7.748 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.76%, with earnings per share (EPS) at $5.40, up 2.3% year-over-year.
TAN ZhileThe biggest positive factor at present is the market's demand for computing power, whether it be the GPUs used by leading AI companies or $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ or $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ advanced ASICs. The demand for cutting-edge semiconductors remains substantial, resulting in stable revenue and profit growth for companies. My conclusion is that if investors feel overwhelmed by the current AI investment landscape and are unsure what to buy, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ this sector presents a solid choice for medium-term investment.$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ In terms of valuation,
Fu Kaithe current trailing twelve-month (TTM) P/E ratio of 18.44 times is relatively inexpensive compared to the healthcare industry average of 23.5 times. It is currently at the 26th percentile of its valuation over the past five years. The consensus forecast for full-year 2026 EPS stands at 11.43, corresponding to a forward P/E of 16.70 times. Regarding prospects, according to analyst ratings on the Futu APP, most analysts have assigned a 'Buy' rating with an average target price of approximately $198, which is a few dollars higher than the current price. The most bullish estimate sees the price reaching $222. Investors interested in Johnson & Johnson may consider purchasing within the range of $180–$185. Everyone is encouraged to closely monitor its investment potential. $Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US)$
Yu Shik Lun$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ Continued optimism regarding GPU, AI ASIC, networking, and HBM demand, driven by price increases in advanced process nodes and bolstered by orders from Apple. According to the analyst ratings feature on the BullBull APP, most analysts have assigned TSM a 'Buy' rating. The highest target price stands at $400, with an average of $301. Following its latest earnings report, TSM's Taiwan-listed shares reached a new high. For investors interested in TSM, short-term positions can be initiated, while mid-term investors are advised to consider entering around the 10-day moving average near NT$300 amid recent market volatility and risk events.
Huang Zizheng$Adobe (ADBE.US)$ From a technical analysis perspective, the pattern shows lower lows and is testing the bottom range of the past two years, forming a standard inverse VCP structure. If support levels such as $325 are breached, the stock could test the 2022 low of $274. To provide a simple overview, short selling U.S. stocks via Futu is straightforward: one can directly sell without holding a position. The outlook remains pessimistic, with no positive news currently visible. Amidst the tech stock frenzy reversing course and widespread negative sentiment, weaker stocks will likely face increased selling pressure if market conditions deteriorate further. In such scenarios, it is advisable to 'sell the weak and keep the strong,' as these laggard stocks will only experience greater downward pressure.
Mao Junhao: The market's optimism towards $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$ primarily stems from the explosive demand for AI infrastructure development. The demand for advanced chips and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) in AI servers far exceeds that of traditional servers, directly driving capacity expansion plans at wafer fabrication plants. Analysts predict that global investment in AI infrastructure could reach several trillion dollars, translating into sustained orders for advanced equipment such as EUV lithography machines. In terms of earnings forecasts, the market expects revenue for Q3 2025 to reach $7.748 billion, a year-over-year increase of 3.76%, with earnings per share at $5.40, reflecting a year-over-year rise of 2.3%. TAN Zhile: The biggest positive factor currently is the market's growing demand for computing power, regardless of whether leading AI companies utilize $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ or $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ 's GPUs or $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ The demand for those advanced ASICs and the most cutting-edge semiconductors remains substantial, leading to stable revenue and profit growth for the company. My conclusion is that if investors feel overwhelmed by the current AI investment landscape and are unsure of what to buy,$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ it represents a solid choice for medium-term investment within the sector. Fu Kai: From a valuation perspective, $Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US)$ the current P/E ratio (TTM) of 18.44 times is within the healthcare industry's range of 23.5...
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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