蘋果股價再創新高!4萬億市值何時到?
As 2025 approaches, Apple's various new products have entered the countdown to release. According to reports, Apple will bring a series of exciting new products in the spring of 2025, covering multiple popular product lines such as iPhone SE, iPad, MacBook Air, and more. Are investors ready to embrace a new 'super cycle'?
On Monday, $Apple (AAPL.US)$ Closing up 0.95%, the stock price rose to $239.59, hitting a new all-time high.Total market cap surpasses $3.62 trillion, reclaiming the top spot in global market cap, approximately $200 billion higher than the second-place nvidia.Apple has accumulated a 25.06% increase in stock price so far this year.

值得注意的是,从今年四月以来苹果股价迎来持续上涨,已较今年4月19日的收盘低位点累涨超45%。苹果股价的强劲表现不仅反映了公司的增长势头,也显示了投资者对其未来发展的信心。这一上涨趋势的背后,有哪些驱动因素?
突出的财报表现。在新一代iPhone刚刚上市的第四财季,苹果核心产品iPhone的收入恢复正增长,且增长势头超出华尔街预期,推动公司总营收创同期历史新高。稳健的财务状况无疑为投资者提供了信心。
Technological innovation and global strategy in AI. While updating its core products, Apple continues to launch new products, from Apple Watch to smart home products, meeting the diverse needs of consumers. In addition, Apple continues to expand in emerging technology areas such as artificial intelligence, laying the foundation for its future growth as Apple's AI capabilities gradually unfold.
Expansion in global markets. In the fourth quarter, Apple's sales revenue accelerated in Europe, Japan, and other Asia-Pacific regions outside of China and Japan, such as India, Southeast Asia, and Africa where smartphone penetration rates are low and market potential is huge, these regions are growing rapidly. At the same time, Apple is also pushing for the relocation of its industry chain, especially to emerging markets like India, in order to further reduce costs, expand capacity, and explore new market growth opportunities.
Is Apple approaching a new super product cycle?
As 2024 comes to an end, in 2025, Apple will continue to expand its product line. Apple will launch a lineup that includes iPhone SE, iPad, MacBook Air, and a brand new smart home hub next year.iPhone SE, iPad, MacBook Air, and the all-new smart home hub.Heavyweight products.

It is reported that the Apple iPhone SE4 will be launched for sale in March 2025. As an entry-level product of Apple, the iPhone SE series has always been favored by users for its high cost performance and excellent performance. According to Mark Gurman, the iPhone SE 4 will be released at the spring event in 2025. This new device will undergo a complete makeover in appearance, no longer equipped with a physical Home button and Touch ID fingerprint recognition, but will feature Face ID and a notch design. The iPhone SE 4 may introduce Apple's AI feature 'Apple Intelligence' for the first time, expected to attract more user attention.
According to Bloomberg, Apple plans to launch its first smart home device with Apple Intelligence technology as early as March next year - a wall-mounted display. This device will serve as the "command center" for homes, combining Apple apps, Apple Intelligence, and HomeKit integration to provide users with a more intelligent home control experience. Meanwhile, Apple is also exploring the development of its own smart home accessories series, including indoor security cameras that can be used as baby monitors. These new products will further enrich Apple's smart home product line, providing users with a more comprehensive and convenient smart living experience.
In addition, AirTag 2 is expected to be released in mid-2025. This device will be equipped with an upgraded ultra-wideband chip, with better location tracking capabilities and potentially more tamper resistance. At the same time, the new AirTag will also have some degree of integration with the Apple Vision Pro headgear device, providing users with a richer user experience.
In terms of tablet products, the iPad Air and iPad 11 will also receive updates. The new iPad Air is expected to be equipped with a more powerful chip and an updated Magic Keyboard, while the iPad 11 will support Apple Intelligence. The new MacBook Air will also be released in the spring of 2025, equipped with the M4 chip.
There are also reports that Apple is developing a foldable iPhone, but the foldable screen market may be experiencing a slowdown in growth due to reduced consumer appeal. Once the foldable iPhone is launched, it could reignite consumer interest in the foldable screen category and revive the foldable screen market. Some analysts believe that Apple will launch a foldable iPhone in the first half of 2026, which may take the form of a small fold, relying on a flip cover for system switching. The screen size of the first foldable iPhone may range from 7.9 to 8.3 inches, becoming more compact and portable when folded.
Citi analysts maintain their buy rating on Apple with a target price of $255. New smart features from Apple may determine the speed of iPhone replacement cycles. The bank predicts,the update cycle for the iPhone 17 will boost sales at the end of 2025 and in 2026.It is expected that sales will reach 0.227 billion units in 2024, 0.246 billion units in 2025, and are expected to climb to 0.253 billion units in 2026.
Renowned tech journalist Mark Gurman believes,He is skeptical about the rumored ultra-thin iPhone 17 Air, believing that this phone may encounter the same fate of failure as the iPhone mini and Plus series.Apple has been seeking to introduce new models outside of the iPhone basic and Pro versions to enrich its flagship phone product line. Gulman believes,The only alternative iPhone model that will sell well in the future will be a foldable modelHe expects that Apple may launch a foldable iPhone in 2026 or 2027, which will be a significant innovation for Apple in the mobile phone market.

Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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