Regarding Beishui's Cash Flow supervision model for Hong Kong stocks, I have some conclusions and experiences to share with you. Personal behavioral experience does not constitute any advice.
I'll first review the situation of Beishui and Hong Kong stocks over the past year and give some opinions to my fellow riders; then I'll share my predictions for Hong Kong stocks in June and for some time to come.
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1. Follow my usual style and do a backtest on historical data first
From April to Friday June 2 last year, the situation in northern waters, the orange line:
Conclusion 1: It can be seen that Beishui has been increasing its holdings of Hong Kong stocks. Thank the motherland for a wave, praise the national team
I've marked a few key locations below. You can see when the slope of the orange line rises, that is, when the inflow of water from the north continues to increase rapidly. The long finger (blue line) is generally in the bottom area. It will be followed by a long or short bull market. The five areas in the figure below:
On another chart, we can see more clearly from the North Water Daily Cash Flow. When the northern water flows in above a certain height and continues for a period of time, a bottom will inevitably form.
namelyConclusion 2: When the North Sea continues to flow in large quantities, that is, when the Hang Seng Index has bottomed out, you can follow along to the bottom.
2. Take a look at the last time when Beishui continued to refill its warehouse
The place where the orange area and blue area meet as shown below is the bottom area of the Hang Seng Index in March. It is between 19,000 and 20,000. The average value is 19,500.
So I've always judged that below 19600 is the bottom of the Hang Seng Index. A review of the previous few weeks I...