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$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (JUN6) (NQmain.US)$
The market can still rise on the eve of the interest rate meeting, indicating that the capital market has strong confidence in the Federal Reserve's dovish stance. Here are the possible signals:
1. No rate hike: This would signal that the banking sector is already in a precarious situation, and the market would likely panic and flee, leading to further bank runs.
2. A 25 basis point hike: This would signal that the banking issues are under control and there is still room to address inflation, in line with expectations, and the market will not fluctuate significantly.
3. A 50 basis point hike: This would signal that the banking problems have been resolved, but inflation has become more severe than the banking crisis, triggering expectations of a significant rise in yields later, causing substantial market fluctuations.
Given the current Federal Reserve’s weak stance, a 25 basis point hike is the only possibility; there are no other options.
The market can still rise on the eve of the interest rate meeting, indicating that the capital market has strong confidence in the Federal Reserve's dovish stance. Here are the possible signals:
1. No rate hike: This would signal that the banking sector is already in a precarious situation, and the market would likely panic and flee, leading to further bank runs.
2. A 25 basis point hike: This would signal that the banking issues are under control and there is still room to address inflation, in line with expectations, and the market will not fluctuate significantly.
3. A 50 basis point hike: This would signal that the banking problems have been resolved, but inflation has become more severe than the banking crisis, triggering expectations of a significant rise in yields later, causing substantial market fluctuations.
Given the current Federal Reserve’s weak stance, a 25 basis point hike is the only possibility; there are no other options.
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