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美聯儲如期「降檔」加息25BP!如何解讀?

北京時間2月2日凌晨,美聯儲宣佈加息25個基點,符合市場預期。這是美聯儲連續第二次放慢加息步伐,也是自去年3月以來首度一次加息僅25個基點。鮑威爾稱考慮再加息約兩次後暫停,今年降息不合適,金融狀況收緊需時間。目前市場最新預期美聯儲3月加息25BP的概率為80%,終端利率在6月達到 Show More
北京時間2月2日凌晨,美聯儲宣佈加息25個基點,符合市場預期。這是美聯儲連續第二次放慢加息步伐,也是自去年3月以來首度一次加息僅25個基點。鮑威爾稱考慮再加息約兩次後暫停,今年降息不合適,金融狀況收緊需時間。目前市場最新預期美聯儲3月加息25BP的概率為80%,終端利率在6月達到4.89%,到年底降息幅度約為50BP。對於美聯儲本次放緩加息,你將如何解讀?
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    $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ Federal Open Market Operations Committee (FOMC) statement and FED Chairman Bauer's conversation five key points:
    1. FOMC Resolution raises rates by 1 yard (0.25 percentage points), the FOMC statement and Bower's press conference all mention that there is progress against inflation, but plans to continue to tighten.
    2. FOMC statement to retain the promise of “ongoing increase” (ongoing increase), like to confirm the forecast of the December “dot chart” for each further rate increase by 1 yards. Bower said he had to raise interest rates “about twice” to achieve a reasonable restrictive policy.
    3. Bower said for the first time that FOMC can identify that inflation has begun to be in a process of moderation. The supply chain will help the commodities department, and the new lease means that the housing market is finally getting better. The biggest focus remains on service sectors except the housing market. The labour market is still tight and may affect prices.
    4. Bower was unexpectedly unconscious of the recent financial conditions turned loose, emphasizing that he valued more on the long-term trend. For the market reflected Fed's rate hike path, he did not disagree, only that this mainly reflects the market that inflation will decline more quickly. He also expressed optimism about the economic soft landing and the good labor market.
    5. Bower mentioned that “inflation has begun to be in a moderating process”. The S&P 500 index rose in a sound, closing up 1.1%, the US debt rose, and the dollar went...
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