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50個基點!美聯儲鷹聲陣陣引擔憂

北京時間12月15日凌晨,美聯儲公佈最新12月份利率決議,將聯邦基金利率目標區間上調50個基點到4.25%至4.5%之間,符合市場預期。「點陣圖」將明年終端利率上調至5.1%,略超市場預期,並預言2024年之前利率保持高位、不會降息。市場鷹派解讀美聯儲加息決策和鮑威爾記者會,美股 Show More
北京時間12月15日凌晨,美聯儲公佈最新12月份利率決議,將聯邦基金利率目標區間上調50個基點到4.25%至4.5%之間,符合市場預期。「點陣圖」將明年終端利率上調至5.1%,略超市場預期,並預言2024年之前利率保持高位、不會降息。市場鷹派解讀美聯儲加息決策和鮑威爾記者會,美股10分鐘內集體轉跌且跌幅擴大,最終集體收跌。隨着本輪加息接近預期峰值,你認為接下來美股走勢如何?
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    Last night, the Federal Reserve announced the December rate hike resolution. For example, the market expected a 50 basis point rate hike. However, Powell's remarks shocked the market again. Powell suggested that the end point of the rate hike might be higher, and that interest rate cuts were not considered until inflation fell to 2%. This meant that the market's expectations that interest rate cuts could be resumed in early 2023 fell through, and the high interest rate level remained at least until the end of 2023.
    US stocks took a big dive after Powell's speech, and are still plummeting tonight. Combined with the high opening and low temptations after the CPI was announced the day before, US stocks have been falling sharply for three consecutive days. $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ It fell below the upward trend, while $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ It fell below the moving average support of all daily levels. America is slowly embarking on a slow path again.
    Many people are puzzled, hasn't the Federal Reserve already moderated the rate hike? Why are US stocks continuing to fall? In fact, it's a very complicated situation right now. Since the release of water in 2020, the US monetary policy has been exhausted. The Federal Reserve has no second option other than tightening, and the timing and process of tightening is very dangerous. A little carelessness can cause a major recession. However, the Federal Reserve is worthy of being a master of expectation management. Using every interest rate meeting to carefully manage market expectations, it was actually able to complete this tightrope walking performance.
    ...
    The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 basis points — worthy of being the master of expectation management; US stocks continue to be on a bearish path
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