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「恐怖數據」超預期!加息預期或加重?

11月16日,美國素有「恐怖數據」之稱的零售銷售數據公佈,10月零售銷售月率1.3%,為今年2月以來最大增幅,遠高於預期的1.00%與前置的0.00%。而此前美國勞工部發佈數據顯示,美國10月PPI同比增長8.0%,CPI同比增長7.7%,均低於預期和前值。據悉,利率市場目前預計 Show More
11月16日,美國素有「恐怖數據」之稱的零售銷售數據公佈,10月零售銷售月率1.3%,為今年2月以來最大增幅,遠高於預期的1.00%與前置的0.00%。而此前美國勞工部發佈數據顯示,美國10月PPI同比增長8.0%,CPI同比增長7.7%,均低於預期和前值。據悉,利率市場目前預計美聯儲在12月加息50個基點概率為85.4%,加息75個基點概率為14.6%。
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    Check the data, which is the biggest increase since August.It shows that although inflation has reached a multi-year high and the economic outlook is deteriorating,However, the overall demand for goods remains stable.. Nine of the 13 retail categories increased last month, includingStrong performance from car dealerships, grocery stores and restaurants. Sales at gas stations rose 4.1%, mainly reflecting the rise in oil prices. The data show that consumers continue to remain largely dynamic and show that the U. S. economy got off to a good start in the fourth quarter. Of course, this may complicate the arguments of several senior Fed officials, because many of them have been released from pigeons before, but they still admit that the inflation rate is still too high.
    The monthly retail rate proves that it is possible to increase interest rates.
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