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中美10年期國債利率倒掛,如何影響市場?

4月11日,中美10年期國債利差出現倒掛,為2010年來首次。此外,隨著美國加息週期開啟,美債收益率快速上行,2年美債和10年美債的利差迅速收窄,逐步走向倒掛。其背後的宏觀意義是什麼?該如何應對?
4月11日,中美10年期國債利差出現倒掛,為2010年來首次。此外,隨著美國加息週期開啟,美債收益率快速上行,2年美債和10年美債的利差迅速收窄,逐步走向倒掛。其背後的宏觀意義是什麼?該如何應對?
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    Deutsche Bank officially forecasted that an economic recession will occur in the middle to late 2023. In fact, as can be seen from the chart, the turning point predicting the economic downturn occurred in the fourth quarter of 2022, and the worst scenario was reached in 2023 following a gradual decline.
    Can we envision the timeframe for funding to respond? Not likely, right? Therefore, it can be predicted that capital has quietly bottomed out in gold, with a support level starting in November 2021. After prices rose to a peak in March 2022, some profits exited the market, and sideways trading is expected for a period of time. When will the changes occur? According to historical data, when the Federal Reserve corrects its mistakes and effectively suppresses short-term US bond yields, capital will drive up the price of gold significantly.
    The following is Deutsche Bank's main logic for predicting an economic recession. Pay attention to the text marked in red. The Federal Reserve is releasing hawkish remarks little by little. It is nothing more than hoping that the market will slowly digest and not run away in droves to cause panic:
    战争已经陷入僵局,短期内不太可能得到解决,导致多个领域的活动受到干扰。这包括能源、食品和关键材料市场的动荡,进而进一步扰乱了全球供应链。尽管如此,经济学家们假设来自俄罗斯到欧洲的关键亨利中心天然气流动不会被切断,因此危机不会显著增加欧洲和全球经济的成本,但这仍然是一个下行风险。
    America...
    Deutsche Bank officially forecasted an economic recession in the mid to late 2023.
    Deutsche Bank officially forecasted an economic recession in the mid to late 2023.
    Deutsche Bank officially forecasted an economic recession in the mid to late 2023.
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