U.S. STOCKS HAVE REBOUNDED FROM THEIR HIGHS, AND MARKET SENTIMENT HAS ALSO BECOME CAUTIOUS AFTER THE BIG BAPTISM ON MONDAY. From a technical analysis point of view, $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ It is currently rebounding from a recent decline of 0.382, and analysts still find it difficult to judge the market's direction in the short term. The market is closely watching”recession“and”Reduced interest” The relationship between.
In terms of interest rate futures, the market is currently looking at the rate cut margin on September 18, with half expecting the Fed to initiate a 25 pip rate cut and the other half estimating the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 pips to prevent a recession.
Recent Fed officials' comments suggest that U.S. stocks will fall into a tailspin, which will slow interest rate cuts in rising markets, but also trigger recession worries, while falling markets will trigger higher interest rate expectations, easing recession fears. Therefore, the short-term performance of US stocks may be better”Calm」。
Hong Kong stocks are focused on the performance of tech giants
But if you want to say”Calm“The performance of Hong Kong stocks is even more exaggerated. In the past, in the context of global stock market volatility, $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ And it is only repeated crossing at 17000 points, $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ The performance is also slightly different. Yesterday (August 12), the total daily trading volume of the major market was only HK$70.33 billion, and if you don't count the day when Beeshui suspended trading, it created...