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The November CPI was generally in line with expectations, and the market did not fluctuate much. Overall, inflation is on a downward trend, food inflation and energy inflation are clearly declining, and service sector inflation is resilient to a certain extent. After the data was released, CME's FedWatch pricing had a 41% chance of cutting interest rates in March.
I personally believe that if the Fed's next policy path is due to inflation cooling down, it means that the US economic growth rate falls steadily back to a reasonable range, and the need for high interest rates to stay longer may decrease, and Softlanding will be taken for granted. Well, in the future, even if interest rate cuts begin, interest rate cuts will be smaller and the cycle may be longer.
Let's wait for tomorrow's FOMC decision for more trading signals.
$USD (USDindex.FX)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
I personally believe that if the Fed's next policy path is due to inflation cooling down, it means that the US economic growth rate falls steadily back to a reasonable range, and the need for high interest rates to stay longer may decrease, and Softlanding will be taken for granted. Well, in the future, even if interest rate cuts begin, interest rate cuts will be smaller and the cycle may be longer.
Let's wait for tomorrow's FOMC decision for more trading signals.
$USD (USDindex.FX)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$
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