The final session of 2023 is coming! Pause rate hike script already written in July? When does the interest reduction cycle start? 7 major tech stocks bounce back but the S&P 500 hits a new high in the year. Is the U.S. stock style shift underway?
1. Is the “pause rate hike script” already written in July? But is this pause in interest rate hikes to play an “opening card”?
The Fed will announce the December rate results at 3 a.m. on Thursday (Dec. 14), Beijing time. The market's point of contention is the timing of the Fed's rate cut compared to the widely anticipated pause in rate hikes. On the eve of the meeting, the CME FedWatch shows that the probability of a pause in interest rates in December is 97.1%.
Formerly inUS Inflation 3 Easy Down 3 Hard? Will July be the last rate increase?37% of mooers believe that July is the last time that the news has paused several times after interest rate highs, and the market has gradually come back to the conclusion that the stock market is only on its head. The trend in November has not fallen by 3%, as most of the mooers are judging by the adhesive state.
Data released on Tuesday (December 12th) showed that the U.S. CPI slowed slightly year-on-year in November, but core CPI grew at 4% year-on-year in October, without further declines. Notably, both November CPI and core CPI month-on-month growth showed acceleration. In the face of stubborn inflation uncertainty, markets are speculating that Fed Chairman Powell may continue to maintain a hawkish tone in his after-conference speech.
2. When does the interest rate cut start? Has the market started pricing in interest rate cuts?
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