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The First "Quadruple Witching Day" in 2021! US Stock Market Worth Watching Tonight.

美股迎來今年首個“四巫日”(美國市場於三、六、九、十二月第三個星期五是衍生性金融商品到期結算日,四種資產類別同時交割往往帶來劇烈的市場波動)伴隨美聯儲寬鬆政策,美債收益率狂飆背景,美股今夜首個“四巫日”將如何演繹!多空博弈誰將獲勝?
美股迎來今年首個“四巫日”(美國市場於三、六、九、十二月第三個星期五是衍生性金融商品到期結算日,四種資產類別同時交割往往帶來劇烈的市場波動)伴隨美聯儲寬鬆政策,美債收益率狂飆背景,美股今夜首個“四巫日”將如何演繹!多空博弈誰將獲勝?
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    Quadruple Witching Day 2021
    2021/3/19
    2021/6/18
    2021/9/17
    2021/12/17
    U.S. Major Four Indices Performance on Quadruple Witching Days
    On average, the four major indices tend to show weaker performance as Quadruple Witching Day approaches, especially with declines observed the day before the event. However, a strong rebound begins about a week after, particularly in the NASDAQ and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), both of which saw gains exceeding 5% within two months after the event. Notably, the SOX gained up to 7%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones also performed well with gains surpassing 4%.
    Characteristic 1: Trading Volume Surges on Quadruple Witching Day
    Firstly, trading volume always surges on Quadruple Witching Day!
    Comparing the day's volume with the average volume of the seven days prior,
    the trading volume increases by an average of 1.5 times.
    Characteristic 2: Market Trends May Reverse After Quadruple Witching
    After quarterly contracts expire,
    the next contracts are still a quarter away.
    Furthermore, due to the surge in trading volume on Quadruple Witching Day, significant turnover occurs.
    Thus, the settlement point near the expiration date
    could mark a short-term high or low,
    potentially leading to a reversal in trends.
    Characteristic 3: Recent Quadruple Witching Days Have Seen Significant Declines
    In earlier years, Quadruple Witching Days were mostly characterized by more gains than losses.
    However, recent events have resulted in 'sharp declines'!
    On last June’s expiration day, there was a drop of 0.53%,
    in September, a decline of 1.62%,
    and most recently...
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