US Stock Market Talk | The Fed Resumes Rate Hikes After a Three-Year Pause! Is a New Shift Ahead for
AMD down 7% $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ , SpaceX dropped 13% $SpaceX (SPCX.US)$ Google fell 4% $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ended its four-day winning streak $PHLX Semiconductor Index (.SOX.US)$ . Then NVIDIA rose 3.43% $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ ,Five consecutive daily gains, surging intraday to $222.22 and closing at $219.22, with a market cap surpassing $5.3 trillion. Trading volume reached $34.2 billion, the highest in the market.
All hail Emperor NVIDIA! Frankly speaking, there are only two scenarios in this market right now: NVIDIA rises, and everything else falls.
Other companies get hammered even when their earnings beat expectations, while NVIDIA doesn’t even have to do anything—it just sits back and collects assignments.
What do you call that?Hard work doesn’t beat luck, and luck doesn’t beat being in the right industry.
It holds all the shovels for AI infrastructure—if you switch jobs or chase the AI trend, you’ll ultimately end up working for Jensen Huang.
This isn't stock picking—this ismonopolizing the industry's lifeline. T0 level.

Why is it rising? Four words: earnings certainty.
In today’s market, NVIDIA’s earnings certainty is the hardest currency. By this point in the U.S. earnings season, capital has developed psychological trauma from repeated scripts of 'beat but sold off'—PLTR rallied then dropped, AMD rallied then dropped, and SpaceX gets punished whether it reports losses or profits.The market now believes in only one thing: whoever can reliably generate profits is king.Conveniently, NVIDIA is that king.
Capital is pulling out of AMD, Intel, and even some AI-related stocks, all crowding into NVIDIA.
Don’t ask why—just know it’s a premium for being the market leader.Crowded trades aren’t scary—the real embarrassment is not having a position.Musk even personally stepped in to endorse it—during SpaceX’s earnings call, he said verbatim: 'NVIDIA has the best AI computers; we only choose NVIDIA.' One sentence, worth tens of billions of dollars. These days, a single tweet from Elon carries more weight than an earnings report.

Three scenarios—purely for entertainment purposes, not investment advice.
🚀 Scenario One: Continued short squeeze
After consolidating sideways for two or three days and institutions finishing their accumulation, a strong bullish candle breaks above 222.22, targeting 235 next. This is the wildest scenario.
📉 Scenario Two: Pullback to 197 before resuming upward
Profit-taking pressure emerges, pushing the price down to around 197, where it finds support at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, then continues climbing. Place your buy orders at 197 and wait for execution.
🍿 Scenario Three: Drop back to 190
If 197 fails to hold as support, it may retest 190, turning a V-shaped recovery into a W-shaped one. In that case, all the recent gains would’ve been for nothing.
In simple terms:190 has already been confirmed as the bottom—the only remaining question is how deep the pullback will be before the next leg up. You ask me if you should chase it? You can, but set your stop-loss properly. Don’t come back crying about being stuck in a losing position—I’m not your primary care physician, and I can’t cure your case of ‘trapped-in-a-losing-trade syndrome.’

One final thought.
NVIDIA is up to $222—do you think it’s expensive? Its forward P/E is just over 20x, roughly in line with the S&P 500. Do you think it’s cheap? Its market cap is $5.3 trillion; a 10% gain equals $530 billion—enough to buy half of AMD.
But that’s just how this market is right now—money only trusts certainty. If you lose money on NVIDIA, you accept it—at least your logic was sound. If you lose money on other stocks, you’ll only curse yourself:“Why on earth did I buy it in the first place?”

Drop a comment below—did you profit from this move or miss out? 🤫 Awooo~

Content Disclosure: AI-generated content
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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