English
Back
Open Account
港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a post ·

The Hang Seng Index is approaching the key resistance level of 26,100; before stabilization, it remains a tug-of-war within the rebound.

$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$Yesterday's closing was at 25,893, and the index has once again moved above the 5, 10, 20, and 30-day moving averages in the short term, indicating that the momentum of the recent rebound has somewhat recovered. However, it has not yet fully stabilized above the 120-day line, around 26,099. The range of 26,000 to 26,100 also overlaps with both the intraday highs and medium-term resistance levels. Therefore, while the current trend still represents a continuation of the rebound, fundamentally, it is still in the tug-of-war phase before critical resistance. Immediate support below is seen at 25,750 to 25,630, followed by 25,500 to 25,250; immediate resistance above is seen at 26,000 to 26,100, then at around 26,230. The watershed at this stage is quite clear: if the index can stabilize above 26,100, there is a chance for further upward movement; if it breaks down below 25,750, the rebound could weaken again.
$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$Yesterday's closing was at 25,893, and the index has once again moved above the 5, 10, 20, and 30-day moving averages in the short term, indicating that the momentum of the recent rebound has somewhat recovered. However, it has not yet fully stabilized above the 120-day line, around 26,099. The range of 26,000 to 26,100 also overlaps with both the intraday highs and medium-term resistance levels. Therefore, while the current trend still represents a continuation of the rebound, fundamentally, it is still in the tug-of-war phase before critical resistance. Immediate support below is seen at 25,750 to 25,630, followed by 25,500 to 25,250; immediate resistance above is seen at 26,000 to 26,100, then at around 26,230. The watershed at this stage is quite clear: if the index can stabilize above 26,100, there is a chance for further upward movement; if it breaks down below 25,750, the rebound could weaken again. Strategy 1: Only deploy bullish warrants when firmly established above 26,100 If the Hang Seng Index can truly stabilize above 26,100, it indicates not only a recovery above immediate resistance but also an opportunity for further confirmation of breaking through the pressure of the 120-day line. At that point, the rebound may have the potential to evolve from a technical recovery into a sustained upward movement testing new highs. In this scenario, deploying bullish warrants would align well with the principle of following the trend, with the focus being on waiting for confirmation of the breakout rather than prematurely chasing positions near the resistance level. $UB#HSI RC2809D.C (54912.HK)$｜Recovery price 2529...
Strategy 1: Only deploy bullish warrants when firmly established above 26,100
If the Hang Seng Index can truly stabilize above 26,100, it indicates not only a recovery above immediate resistance but also an opportunity for further confirmation of breaking through the pressure of the 120-day line. At that point, the rebound may have the potential to evolve from a technical recovery into a sustained upward movement testing new highs. In this scenario, deploying bullish warrants would align well with the principle of following the trend, with the focus being on waiting for confirmation of the breakout rather than prematurely chasing positions near the resistance level.
$UB#HSI RC2809D.C (54912.HK)$| Recovery price 25,294 | Effective leverage 41.8 times | There is a reasonable distance between the recovery price and the current level, suitable for deploying a bullish rebound continuation after confirming stability above 26,100.
$HU#HSI RC2809D.C (55028.HK)$ ｜Call price 25,294｜Actual leverage 40.5x｜Similar terms, suitable for short-term upward deployment after breaking through resistance zone.
$MS#HSI RC28123.C (54746.HK)$ ｜Call price 25,294｜Actual leverage 42.4x｜Slightly higher leverage, suitable for capturing faster upward momentum after breakout confirmation.
Strategy Two: If there is a pullback but holds above 25,750 to 25,630, use bull contracts closer to support for rebound continuation.
If the Hang Seng Index fails to immediately break through 26,100 but still holds above 25,750 to 25,630 after a pullback, this indicates that the short-term rebound structure remains intact. The market may still have the opportunity to complete consolidation at the support zone and challenge resistance again. The key to this strategy is the effectiveness of the support level; therefore, it is more suitable to choose bull contracts close to the support zone to balance risk and rebound continuation.
$HS#HSI RC2809I.C (55585.HK)$ ｜Call price 25,250｜Actual leverage 37.5x｜Call price close to lower support zone, suitable for betting on a rebound continuation after index stabilizes on pullback.
$CI#HSI RC2809P.C (55452.HK)$ ｜Call price 25,250｜Actual leverage 39.2x｜Slightly higher leverage, suitable for short-term upward deployment after confirming effective support.
$BP#HSI RC2812M.C (55330.HK)$ ｜Call price 25,250｜Actual leverage 38.1x｜Balanced terms, suitable as a tool for rebound continuation after holding above retracement levels.
Strategy Three: If the range between 26,000 to 26,100 resists again or breaks below 25,750, switch to bear contracts.
If the Hang Seng Index approaches the range between 26,000 and 26,100 and faces resistance again, it indicates that the resistance zone remains valid. Another clearer sign of weakness would be if the index falls below 25,750. Both scenarios suggest that the current rebound may not be strong enough to advance further and could even return to a weaker range-bound pattern. Therefore, deploying bear contracts aligns better with the current structure, focusing on following the rhythm after resistance-induced pullbacks or breakdowns.
$BP#HSI RP2904H.P (62149.HK)$ ｜Call price 26,100｜Actual leverage 76.2x｜Call price set above the major resistance level, suitable for shorting when resistance at 26,100 holds firm again.
$CT#HSI RP2812G.P (62273.HK)$ | Recovery Price 26,100 | Actual Leverage 76.2x | Similar terms, suitable for short-term bearish warrants deployment if resistance holds or support breaks.
$UB#HSI RP28127.P (61401.HK)$ | Recovery Price 26,100 | Actual Leverage 76.2x | Also a high-leverage option, ideal for capturing pullbacks after resistance or fading rebounds.
Key Deployment Points
The Hang Seng Index is currently in a rebound nearing the resistance zone. The key to positioning does not lie in blindly chasing entries but in observing whether 26,100 can hold firm. If it stabilizes, bull warrant strategies will have a stronger directional foundation; if resistance re-emerges or subsequent support at 25,750 fails, be prepared for the rebound to end and the trend to shift back to a weaker range-bound pattern.
$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$Yesterday's closing was at 25,893, and the index has once again moved above the 5, 10, 20, and 30-day moving averages in the short term, indicating that the momentum of the recent rebound has somewhat recovered. However, it has not yet fully stabilized above the 120-day line, around 26,099. The range of 26,000 to 26,100 also overlaps with both the intraday highs and medium-term resistance levels. Therefore, while the current trend still represents a continuation of the rebound, fundamentally, it is still in the tug-of-war phase before critical resistance. Immediate support below is seen at 25,750 to 25,630, followed by 25,500 to 25,250; immediate resistance above is seen at 26,000 to 26,100, then at around 26,230. The watershed at this stage is quite clear: if the index can stabilize above 26,100, there is a chance for further upward movement; if it breaks down below 25,750, the rebound could weaken again. Strategy 1: Only deploy bullish warrants when firmly established above 26,100 If the Hang Seng Index can truly stabilize above 26,100, it indicates not only a recovery above immediate resistance but also an opportunity for further confirmation of breaking through the pressure of the 120-day line. At that point, the rebound may have the potential to evolve from a technical recovery into a sustained upward movement testing new highs. In this scenario, deploying bullish warrants would align well with the principle of following the trend, with the focus being on waiting for confirmation of the breakout rather than prematurely chasing positions near the resistance level. $UB#HSI RC2809D.C (54912.HK)$｜Recovery price 2529...
For more market analysis, stay tuned to Jenny's daily updates on 'Hong Kong Stock Warrants'!
Reminder: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We are not responsible for any loss or damage caused by reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis only shows whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive assessment of asset performance should be conducted using additional data. Decisions to trade should not be based solely on this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#Hong Kong Stocks #Real-time Analysis #Warrants Selection #Warrants Strategy #Derivatives Hedging #Hong Kong Stock Warrants Jenny Hang Seng Index #HSI #Technical Analysis $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
Heart
1
55K Views
Report
Comments
Write a Comment...
1