What to Watch in US Stocks | NVIDIA's Annual Shareholder Meeting Is Here—Why Even Beginners Should T
Summary: U.S. equities posted mixed gains on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.61%, the Nasdaq rising 1.19%, the Dow Jones down 0.23%, and the Russell 2000 surging 1.79%. The VIX climbed to 17.01, up 2.53% for the day, reflecting that while investors chased growth-oriented assets, they maintained portfolio hedges. A key market feature was the notable strengthening of the growth trade: the Nasdaq and small caps led gains together, with the semiconductor ETF SMH up 4.48% and DRAM memory stocks soaring 14.56%. Among major asset classes, the U.S. dollar index rose 0.17%, gold fell 1.36%, crude oil dropped 3.54%, and Bitcoin declined 1.77%.

I. Major Events
1. Positive signals emerged in U.S.-Iran talks, sending crude oil prices sharply lower
Trump publicly stated that negotiations with Iran were 'progressing well,' directly influencing market perceptions of the likelihood of military escalation and energy supply disruptions. Subsequently, risk premiums in markets eased, alleviating pressure on global risk assets. Crude oil prices plunged, shifting the short-term pricing anchor for the energy complex and weakening the prevailing 'high oil prices → high inflation' trade narrative. In market action, energy-related sectors underperformed, prompting capital reallocation toward growth and cyclical manufacturing segments.
2. U.S. consumer confidence data for May released, with no escalation in macro concerns
The Conference Board’s U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for May was reported at 93.1 (previous: 93.8). While the data indicated persistently weak consumer sentiment, the modest decline did not alter the market’s baseline view of 'slowing but not stalling' economic growth. Macro-related worries did not significantly escalate, and risk assets continued to be priced primarily based on earnings outlooks and interest rate trajectories.
II. Major Trends
In terms of index composition, Tuesday’s gains were not broad-based but led by growth-style stocks. The Nasdaq rose 1.19%, and the Russell 2000 gained 1.79%, both notably outperforming the S&P 500’s 0.61% increase, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.23%. Among ETFs, IWM rose 1.89%, QQQ climbed 1.78%, and DIA declined 0.17%, consistently mirroring the performance of the four major indices.
The medium-term framework remains dominated by growth-style leadership. Over a three-month horizon, QQQ has risen 20.02%, significantly outpacing DIA’s 2.42% gain; growth-oriented SPYG is up 14.74%, compared to value-focused SPYV’s 3.09% increase. In the short term, SPY, QQQ, IWM, and RSP have all exhibited accelerating two-week momentum, indicating continued capital rotation within the broader growth theme.
Caution is still warranted on breadth metrics. SPY has gained 9.19% over three months, while RSP has only advanced 1.86%, reflecting persistently high concentration. This suggests ongoing index resilience but confirms that market dynamics remain structurally skewed.
III. Market Sentiment
The VIX closed at 17.01, rising 2.53% on the day—a counter-trend move amid equity gains—indicating that investors, while chasing growth-sector upside, are maintaining portfolio hedges. The CNN Fear & Greed Index stood at 61, up from 59 previously, placing sentiment firmly in the 'greed' zone and continuing its upward trend.
The divergence in the options market further confirms this point. The CBOE total put/call ratio stood at 0.76, with the index options put/call ratio at 1.28 and the equity options put/call ratio at 0.59. Equity-side risk positioning leans toward an offensive stance, while demand for protection on the index side remains elevated, indicating institutional capital is simultaneously holding offensive positions and hedging core exposures.
IV. Market Scan
1. Index ETFs:Among index ETFs, the small-cap IWM rose 1.89%, and the Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQ gained 1.78%, leading the advance, while the Dow Jones ETF DIA declined 0.17%. Capital flows clearly favored growth and high-beta assets.

2. Industry sectors:Sector performance was notably divergent. Technology (XLK) led gains with a 2.63% increase, while Energy (XLE) fell 2.76%, leading losses. Industrials (XLI) rose 1.47% and Materials (XLB) gained 1.39%, indicating that cyclical growth segments are also participating in risk rotation. Within subsectors, copper miners (COPX) jumped 4.99%, solar energy (TAN) rose 4.56%, semiconductors (SMH) advanced 4.48%, and DRAM stocks surged 14.56%. In contrast, oil & gas exploration (XOP) dropped 3.40%. Structurally, capital is rotating between 'growth manufacturing' and 'resource elasticity' rather than chasing momentum in a linear fashion.
3. Seven major tech companies:Performance within the Magnificent Seven tech stocks diverged: Tesla (TSLA) rose 1.78%, leading gains, while Netflix (NFLX) lagged with a 1.04% decline, and NVIDIA (NVDA) edged down slightly by 0.22%. This suggests that although the tech sector remains strong overall, internal dynamics have shifted toward rotational leadership and stock-specific selection.
4. Chinese concept stocks:Chinese ADRs saw a corrective rebound. Futu (FUTU) surged 19.99%, NetEase (NTES) rose 5.83%, Tencent Music (TME) gained 4.31%, Bilibili (BILI) advanced 3.19%, and PDD Holdings (PDD) increased 2.24%. Meanwhile, JD.com (JD) declined 1.74%, indicating the recovery was not a broad-based rally across all names.
5. Cryptocurrencies:Bitcoin fell 1.77%, but crypto-related equities continued to diverge: Riot Platforms (RIOT) rose 6.49%, Circle (CRCL) dropped 7.91%, and MicroStrategy (MSTR) edged up 0.03%. Capital is pricing this segment based more on individual company developments and differential risk exposure rather than simply following Bitcoin’s price direction.
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ $State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average® ETF Trust (DIA.US)$ $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM.US)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS.US)$ $USD (USDindex.FX)$ $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $CME-Bitcoin RR Futures (JUL6) (BTCmain.US)$ $iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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