[Split 100,000 Points] Global Attention! Can NVIDIA's Earnings Fully Ignite the New AI Market Rally? 🎁

At the crossroads where the AI narrative shifts from hype to scrutiny and market volatility intensifies, the AI powerhouse$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$is about to present its report card.

After the market close on February 25 (Wednesday) Eastern Time, NVIDIA will release its Q4 and full-year earnings for fiscal 2026!Goldman Sachs bluntly stated, 'This earnings report is a key indicator of whether the global AI boom can continue.' So, is the AI computing power feast entering an intermission, or has the second act just begun?

The market expects NVIDIA's Q4 revenue for the fiscal year 2026 to be approximately $65.7 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of over 60%, with earnings per share of about $1.46. Goldman Sachs is even more optimistic, forecasting revenue of $67.3 billion and earnings per share of $1.59.While the revenue growth rate remains impressive among tech giants, the real suspense lies in whether NVIDIA can provide a fiscal 2027 outlook that keeps the market buying into its future, as ‘record-breaking’ has already become the norm and the threshold for surprises has been raised sky-high.

🔎 Data Center Business: Can the Growth Engine Maintain Full Speed?

Hyperscale cloud vendors$Amazon (AMZN.US)$$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$$Meta Platforms (META.US)$$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$have collectively planned over $600 billion in AI capital expenditures for 2026, providing NVIDIA with a solid foundation of demand. Q4 data center revenue is expected to grow 21% sequentially, potentially reaching $62 billion. The market’s focus is on whether the shipment rhythm of Blackwell architecture chips is proceeding smoothly and the order visibility for the next-generation Rubin platform, which has entered mass production.

🔎Ecosystem Layout: Strategic Depth from "Selling Shovels" to Full-Stack Infrastructure Provider

NVIDIA recently signed a multi-billion-dollar AI chip cooperation agreement with$Meta Platforms (META.US)$marking the large-scale independent deployment of its Grace CPU for the first time, signaling a strategic deepening from being a GPU supplier to becoming a full-stack AI infrastructure company. The whopping $500 billion in undelivered chip orders not only serves as a "stabilizing factor" for future growth but also highlights long-term customer stickiness. Insights shared during the earnings call about co-design with hyperscale customers and the competitive advantages of its software ecosystem (CUDA) will be critical in validating the depth of its moat.

🔎Dual Test of Growth Visibility and Competitive Landscape

The market’s valuation logic for NVIDIA has shifted from 'quarterly beats' to a long-term focus on 'visibility of 2027 revenue.' Amid competition from products like Google's TPU, $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ and potential threats from hyperscale customers developing their own chips, such as MI455X, investors’ key concern is whether NVIDIA can maintain its high gross margin of around 75%. Additionally, sales guidance for customized chips targeting the Chinese market (e.g., H20) will also become an important variable affecting sentiment.

In fact, NVIDIA’s past performance often brought short-term "sell-the-fact" selling pressure on its stock price: over the past four quarters, despite three quarters beating expectations, the stock price consistently fell the day after earnings releases—but still managed to rebound and hit new highs in the following months.

After hitting an all-time high in October 2025, NVIDIA’s stock price has been consolidating in a range between $170 and $195 for several months.As of February 23, it closed at $191.55, up just 2.71% year-to-date.Has this "trading time for space" consolidation built up enough momentum for an impending breakout?

Will this earnings report dispel doubts and lead to a breakout in the stock price as the 'first homerun of the Year of the Horse', or will the 'sell on facts' scenario play out again?

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Vote to participate in predictions $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$Opening price range on February 26 at 9:30 AM EST (10:30 PM Beijing Time); correct guesses from fellow investors will share100,000 points!

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What's your take on$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$What are your thoughts on this earnings report? Feel free to leave comments to join the discussion. Comments with over 30 words that make sense will earn you rewards.66 points!

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The leading AI chip company faces its earnings test—how to deploy easily? 'Earnings Express' by Futubull AI highlights the key points and provides a three-step options strategy >>

Ask Futubull AI: How will the shipment pace of the Blackwell chip and order visibility for the Rubin platform impact NVIDIA's performance?

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