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港股窩輪Jenny
wrote a column · Jan 19 11:16

[Warrant Perspective] Technical Analysis of JD.com: Signs of Bottoming Out? Reference for Warrant Strategies

January 16, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$
Continuing its recent pullback trend, the closing price was reported at HK$113.6, down 1.30% in a single day, with a 5-day volatility of 6.4%, and a turnover of HK$1.203 billion. Notably, the stock closed slightly below the middle Bollinger Band at HK$113.7, while trading volume increased, reflecting growing market concerns about the stock's future performance and escalating capital divergence.
From a technical indicator perspective, the current RSI index is 48, within the neutral range, showing no significant overbought or oversold signals; MACD issued a sell signal, and the Bollinger Bands also suggested a sell signal, indicating lingering short-term downward pressure. In terms of moving averages, the stock is trading below the MA10 (HK$114.84), MA30 (HK$114.11), and lower than the MA60 (HK$117.79), suggesting relatively weak medium- to long-term trends.
As of 10:53 AM today (the 19th), JD.com's latest price was HK$112.5, with a temporary decline of 0.97%.In terms of support and resistance, the short-term first support level is around HK$109.7, and the second support level is at HK$105.5. If the HK$109.7 position breaks, the stock price may further drop to HK$105.5; on the resistance side, focus is on HK$117.6 (first resistance) and HK$121.7 (second resistance). Sufficient trading volume will be required for an effective breakout.
It's worth mentioning that both the Ichimoku Cloud and Bull-Bear Power indicators are showing buy signals, and the Psychological Line indicator also suggests buying, along with a comprehensive evaluation of 'oversold conditions possibly forming a bottom,' which could present short-term technical rebound opportunities.
January 16, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Continuing its recent pullback trend, the closing price was reported at HK$113.6, down 1.30% in a single day, with a 5-day volatility of 6.4%, and a turnover of HK$1.203 billion. Notably, the stock closed slightly below the middle Bollinger Band at HK$113.7, while trading volume increased, reflecting growing market concerns about the stock's future performance and escalating capital divergence. From a technical indicator perspective, the current RSI index is 48, within the neutral range, showing no significant overbought or oversold signals; MACD issued a sell signal, and the Bollinger Bands also suggested a sell signal, indicating lingering short-term downward pressure. In terms of moving averages, the stock is trading below the MA10 (HK$114.84), MA30 (HK$114.11), and lower than the MA60 (HK$117.79), suggesting relatively weak medium- to long-term trends. As of 10:53 AM today (the 19th), JD.com's latest price was HK$112.5, with a temporary decline of 0.97%.In terms of support and resistance, the short-term first support level is around HK$109.7, and the second support level is at HK$105.5. If the HK$109.7 position breaks, the stock price may further drop to HK$105.5; on the resistance side, focus is on HK$117.6 (first resistance) and HK$121.7 (second resistance). Sufficient trading volume will be required for an effective breakout. It is worth noting that the Ichimoku Cloud, Bull-Bear Power indicators have both issued buy signals, and the Psychological Line indicator also suggests...
We 【Hong Kong Stock Report】January 16 [HK Stocks Podcast] Hang Seng Index, Li Ning, Meituan, JD.com, SMIC, BYDWe previously commented on JD.com’s stock, noting its pullback trend; the aforementioned support levels are for investors' reference only and need to be dynamically tracked alongside overall market conditions.$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$$LI NING (02331.HK)$$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$$SMIC (00981.HK)$$BYD COMPANY (01211.HK)$
Reviewing JD.com-related bull and bear warrants mentioned on January 14, they performed exceptionally well in the subsequent two trading days. Among them,$JP#JDCOMRP2812B.P (54827.HK)$and$BIJDCOM@EP2603A.P (20185.HK)$both recorded gains of 20%,$UB#JDCOMRP2808B.P (56284.HK)$rose by 18%,$UBJDCOM@EP2603A.P (19357.HK)$with an increase of 16%. During the same period, the underlying stock fell by 1.98%; the products accurately captured the stock's pullback movement, delivering good returns to investors. However, it's important to note that these bull and bear warrant products have extremely high volatility, with significant short-term profits coming with high risks.
January 16, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Continuing its recent pullback trend, the closing price was reported at HK$113.6, down 1.30% in a single day, with a 5-day volatility of 6.4%, and a turnover of HK$1.203 billion. Notably, the stock closed slightly below the middle Bollinger Band at HK$113.7, while trading volume increased, reflecting growing market concerns about the stock's future performance and escalating capital divergence. From a technical indicator perspective, the current RSI index is 48, within the neutral range, showing no significant overbought or oversold signals; MACD issued a sell signal, and the Bollinger Bands also suggested a sell signal, indicating lingering short-term downward pressure. In terms of moving averages, the stock is trading below the MA10 (HK$114.84), MA30 (HK$114.11), and lower than the MA60 (HK$117.79), suggesting relatively weak medium- to long-term trends. As of 10:53 AM today (the 19th), JD.com's latest price was HK$112.5, with a temporary decline of 0.97%.In terms of support and resistance, the short-term first support level is around HK$109.7, and the second support level is at HK$105.5. If the HK$109.7 position breaks, the stock price may further drop to HK$105.5; on the resistance side, focus is on HK$117.6 (first resistance) and HK$121.7 (second resistance). Sufficient trading volume will be required for an effective breakout. It is worth noting that the Ichimoku Cloud, Bull-Bear Power indicators have both issued buy signals, and the Psychological Line indicator also suggests...
Based on the current trend, two products in different directions have been carefully selected for investors' reference:
1.  $BIJDCOM@EP2603A.P (20185.HK)$ : Leverage of 10.6x, strike price at 107.48 yuan. The core advantage lies in relatively lower implied volatility. If the stock price continues to decline, it provides a certain hedging attribute, suitable for investors who are cautious about the short-term outlook.
2.  $UB#JDCOMRC2605D.C (68912.HK)$ : Leverage of 14.4x, recovery price at 108 yuan, with the lowest premium and higher actual leverage. If the stock price can hold above the support level and experience a technical rebound, this product may capture rebound gains, ideal for investors confident in bottom-building signals.
January 16, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Continuing its recent pullback trend, the closing price was reported at HK$113.6, down 1.30% in a single day, with a 5-day volatility of 6.4%, and a turnover of HK$1.203 billion. Notably, the stock closed slightly below the middle Bollinger Band at HK$113.7, while trading volume increased, reflecting growing market concerns about the stock's future performance and escalating capital divergence. From a technical indicator perspective, the current RSI index is 48, within the neutral range, showing no significant overbought or oversold signals; MACD issued a sell signal, and the Bollinger Bands also suggested a sell signal, indicating lingering short-term downward pressure. In terms of moving averages, the stock is trading below the MA10 (HK$114.84), MA30 (HK$114.11), and lower than the MA60 (HK$117.79), suggesting relatively weak medium- to long-term trends. As of 10:53 AM today (the 19th), JD.com's latest price was HK$112.5, with a temporary decline of 0.97%.In terms of support and resistance, the short-term first support level is around HK$109.7, and the second support level is at HK$105.5. If the HK$109.7 position breaks, the stock price may further drop to HK$105.5; on the resistance side, focus is on HK$117.6 (first resistance) and HK$121.7 (second resistance). Sufficient trading volume will be required for an effective breakout. It is worth noting that the Ichimoku Cloud, Bull-Bear Power indicators have both issued buy signals, and the Psychological Line indicator also suggests...
January 16, $JD-SW (09618.HK)$ Continuing its recent pullback trend, the closing price was reported at HK$113.6, down 1.30% in a single day, with a 5-day volatility of 6.4%, and a turnover of HK$1.203 billion. Notably, the stock closed slightly below the middle Bollinger Band at HK$113.7, while trading volume increased, reflecting growing market concerns about the stock's future performance and escalating capital divergence. From a technical indicator perspective, the current RSI index is 48, within the neutral range, showing no significant overbought or oversold signals; MACD issued a sell signal, and the Bollinger Bands also suggested a sell signal, indicating lingering short-term downward pressure. In terms of moving averages, the stock is trading below the MA10 (HK$114.84), MA30 (HK$114.11), and lower than the MA60 (HK$117.79), suggesting relatively weak medium- to long-term trends. As of 10:53 AM today (the 19th), JD.com's latest price was HK$112.5, with a temporary decline of 0.97%.In terms of support and resistance, the short-term first support level is around HK$109.7, and the second support level is at HK$105.5. If the HK$109.7 position breaks, the stock price may further drop to HK$105.5; on the resistance side, focus is on HK$117.6 (first resistance) and HK$121.7 (second resistance). Sufficient trading volume will be required for an effective breakout. It is worth noting that the Ichimoku Cloud, Bull-Bear Power indicators have both issued buy signals, and the Psychological Line indicator also suggests...
Do you think JD.com can hold above the 109.7 yuan support level? A. Yes, a technical rebound is imminent. B. No, it will likely drop to 105.5 yuan. Have you traded any JD.com-related CBBCs recently?Feel free to share your thoughts. Want more analysis? Don't forget to follow 'HK Stock CBBC Jenny' for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#HKStocks #RealTimeAnalysis #CBBCSelection #CBBCStrategy #DerivativesHedging #HKStockCBBCJenny #JDcom #InternetTechnologySector #TechnicalAnalysis #HKStockIndividualStockAnalysis
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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