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港股窩輪Jenny
joined discussion · Jan 13 10:52

[Warrant Insights] How to choose warrants after the tech index rallies? Reviewing historical performance, these two are the most stable

At 10:30 AM today (August 13th), $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$
The latest quote is 5,922 points, up 1.2% from the previous day's (August 12th) closing price, with a trading volume reaching 41.4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase in liquidity.In terms of support and resistance levels, the current support 1 for the tech index is at 5654 points, support 2 at 5540 points; resistance 1 at 6021 points, resistance 2 at 6187 points. In the short term, attention should be paid to the breakout strength near 6021 points.
Technically speaking, the RSI indicator for the tech index is currently at 57, which is within a reasonable range. The technical indicator summary signal is a buy with a signal strength of level 7. Among them, the Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC) indicator, Ichimoku Cloud, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy signal. Multiple indicators resonating show that the short-term trend is relatively strong. However, the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought state, and caution is needed for short-term pullback risks. From the moving average system perspective, the latest price of the tech index (5863.2 points) has moved above the MA10 (5684.79 points), MA30 (5595.63 points), and MA60 (5724.00 points). The moving averages are showing a bullish alignment, with a 5-day volatility of 4.4%, which is relatively controllable. The probability of an upward movement is 55%, indicating short-term upward momentum remains.
At 10:30 AM today (August 13th), $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ The latest quote is 5,922 points, up 1.2% from the previous day's (August 12th) closing price, with a trading volume reaching 41.4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase in liquidity.In terms of support and resistance levels, the current support level 1 for the tech index is at 5,654 points, with support level 2 at 5,540 points; resistance level 1 is at 6,021 points, and resistance level 2 is at 6,187 points. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to the breakout strength near the 6,021-point level. From a technical perspective, the current RSI indicator for the tech index is 57, which is within a reasonable range. The overall technical signal suggests a buy, with a signal strength of level 7. Among these, the Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC), Ichimoku Cloud, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy signal. Multiple indicators resonating suggest a relatively strong short-term trend, but the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought condition, indicating caution against a possible short-term pullback. From the moving average system perspective, the latest price (5,863.2 points) has moved above the MA10 (5,684.79 points), MA30 (5,595.63 points), and MA60 (5,724.00 points), showing a bullish alignment of the moving averages. The 5-day volatility stands at 4.4%, with controllable fluctuations, and the probability of an upward movement is 55%. There is still upward momentum in the short term. Reviewing the recent联动performance between the tech index’s fluctuations and warrant movements highlights the leverage product's following characteristics. On January 8, 2026, when the tech index experienced a notable fluctuation, related warrants quickly responded with a strong reaction. Among them, $MSHSTEC@EC2603B.C (20830.HK)$ the rise reached as high as 44% two days later...
Reviewing the recent联动 performance between the tech index's unusual movements and its associated warrants highlights the following characteristics of leveraged products. On January 8, 2026, after the tech index experienced a notable fluctuation, related warrants quickly responded strongly. $MSHSTEC@EC2603B.C (20830.HK)$ The increase reached 44% two days later, $CT#HSTECRC2604B.C (55322.HK)$ The increase was 35% two days later, $JPHSTEC@EC2603B.C (21190.HK)$ while UBS Group’s bull certificate (54795) rose by 31% and 30%, respectively. During the same period, the tech index only increased by 3.26%. The leverage effect of the warrants was extremely significant, with the highest increase being 13.5 times that of the underlying stock.
At 10:30 AM today (August 13th), $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ The latest quote is 5,922 points, up 1.2% from the previous day's (August 12th) closing price, with a trading volume reaching 41.4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase in liquidity.In terms of support and resistance levels, the current support level 1 for the tech index is at 5,654 points, with support level 2 at 5,540 points; resistance level 1 is at 6,021 points, and resistance level 2 is at 6,187 points. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to the breakout strength near the 6,021-point level. From a technical perspective, the current RSI indicator for the tech index is 57, which is within a reasonable range. The overall technical signal suggests a buy, with a signal strength of level 7. Among these, the Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC), Ichimoku Cloud, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy signal. Multiple indicators resonating suggest a relatively strong short-term trend, but the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought condition, indicating caution against a possible short-term pullback. From the moving average system perspective, the latest price (5,863.2 points) has moved above the MA10 (5,684.79 points), MA30 (5,595.63 points), and MA60 (5,724.00 points), showing a bullish alignment of the moving averages. The 5-day volatility stands at 4.4%, with controllable fluctuations, and the probability of an upward movement is 55%. There is still upward momentum in the short term. Reviewing the recent联动performance between the tech index’s fluctuations and warrant movements highlights the leverage product's following characteristics. On January 8, 2026, when the tech index experienced a notable fluctuation, related warrants quickly responded with a strong reaction. Among them, $MSHSTEC@EC2603B.C (20830.HK)$ the rise reached as high as 44% two days later...
Logically breaking it down, the联动 between warrants and the tech index is not complicated: when the tech index rises, call warrants and bull certificates will follow suit, and the higher the actual leverage, the greater the potential increase; conversely, when the tech index falls, put warrants and bear certificates may yield returns. The key factors influencing warrant performance are the distance between the strike price and the current tech index price, as well as implied volatility. The closer the strike price is to the current index, the more sensitive the warrant is to changes in the tech index; lower implied volatility means the warrant's value is relatively more stable, and the risk of a pullback is smaller.
Based on the current market situation, we have carefully selected two warrant targets from the pool of tech index-related warrants for your reference:
1.  $MSHSTEC@EC2603A.C (20829.HK)$ : This target offers 10.3x leverage with a strike price of 6200 points. Its core advantage is the lowest premium. For fellow investors who haven't entered the market yet but are optimistic about the tech index continuing to test resistance levels, low-premium targets provide higher tracking efficiency during index increases and are less likely to lose gains due to premium pullbacks, making them relatively safer.
2.  $UB#HSTECRC2604A.C (54795.HK)$ : With an actual leverage of 7.5x and a stop-loss price of 5200 points, this target also features the lowest premium and has a stop-loss price relatively far from the current tech index (5863.2 points), providing a relatively sufficient safety cushion. For those who already hold bull certificates related to the tech index, you can refer to setting a profit-taking level to avoid losing gains due to short-term index fluctuations. If you haven't entered the market yet, it is not recommended to chase targets with high premiums; this UBS Group bull certificate is a more suitable alternative.
At 10:30 AM today (August 13th), $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ The latest quote is 5,922 points, up 1.2% from the previous day's (August 12th) closing price, with a trading volume reaching 41.4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase in liquidity.In terms of support and resistance levels, the current support level 1 for the tech index is at 5,654 points, with support level 2 at 5,540 points; resistance level 1 is at 6,021 points, and resistance level 2 is at 6,187 points. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to the breakout strength near the 6,021-point level. From a technical perspective, the current RSI indicator for the tech index is 57, which is within a reasonable range. The overall technical signal suggests a buy, with a signal strength of level 7. Among these, the Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC), Ichimoku Cloud, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy signal. Multiple indicators resonating suggest a relatively strong short-term trend, but the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought condition, indicating caution against a possible short-term pullback. From the moving average system perspective, the latest price (5,863.2 points) has moved above the MA10 (5,684.79 points), MA30 (5,595.63 points), and MA60 (5,724.00 points), showing a bullish alignment of the moving averages. The 5-day volatility stands at 4.4%, with controllable fluctuations, and the probability of an upward movement is 55%. There is still upward momentum in the short term. Reviewing the recent联动performance between the tech index’s fluctuations and warrant movements highlights the leverage product's following characteristics. On January 8, 2026, when the tech index experienced a notable fluctuation, related warrants quickly responded with a strong reaction. Among them, $MSHSTEC@EC2603B.C (20830.HK)$ the rise reached as high as 44% two days later...
At 10:30 AM today (August 13th), $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ The latest quote is 5,922 points, up 1.2% from the previous day's (August 12th) closing price, with a trading volume reaching 41.4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase in liquidity.In terms of support and resistance levels, the current support level 1 for the tech index is at 5,654 points, with support level 2 at 5,540 points; resistance level 1 is at 6,021 points, and resistance level 2 is at 6,187 points. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to the breakout strength near the 6,021-point level. From a technical perspective, the current RSI indicator for the tech index is 57, which is within a reasonable range. The overall technical signal suggests a buy, with a signal strength of level 7. Among these, the Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC), Ichimoku Cloud, MACD signals, and Bollinger Bands all indicate a buy signal. Multiple indicators resonating suggest a relatively strong short-term trend, but the Williams %R indicator is in an overbought condition, indicating caution against a possible short-term pullback. From the moving average system perspective, the latest price (5,863.2 points) has moved above the MA10 (5,684.79 points), MA30 (5,595.63 points), and MA60 (5,724.00 points), showing a bullish alignment of the moving averages. The 5-day volatility stands at 4.4%, with controllable fluctuations, and the probability of an upward movement is 55%. There is still upward momentum in the short term. Reviewing the recent联动performance between the tech index’s fluctuations and warrant movements highlights the leverage product's following characteristics. On January 8, 2026, when the tech index experienced a notable fluctuation, related warrants quickly responded with a strong reaction. Among them, $MSHSTEC@EC2603B.C (20830.HK)$ the rise reached as high as 44% two days later...
Risk Warning:Intraday volatility may be due to short-term speculative capital. Without sustained trading volume support, the tech index warrants could face a pullback at any time. Warrants are high-risk derivatives; before entering the market, it’s essential to check the real-time premium rate and trading volume of the warrants and decide whether to participate based on your own risk tolerance.
Do you think this tech index rally can break through the resistance level at 6021 points? For those who have already positioned themselves in related warrants, how do you plan to set your profit-taking?Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comment section! Want more analysis? Don’t forget to follow ‘HK Stock Warrants Jenny’ for daily updates!
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute any investment advice.
This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market data, opinions, and analysis contained herein may change at any time without prior notice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information in this article. Technical analysis merely indicates whether certain technical conditions are met; a comprehensive evaluation of asset performance should incorporate additional data. Trading decisions should not be based solely on the content of this article. Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results.
#Tech Index #Hong Kong Stock Movement #Warrants Real-time Analysis #Intraday Opportunities #Hong Kong Stock Warrants Jenny #Warrants Selection #Warrants Strategy #Derivatives Hedging #Tech Index Warrants Selection #Opportunities in Hong Kong Stock Technology Sector$TENCENT (00700.HK)$$MEITUAN-W (03690.HK)$$KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$$BABA-W (09988.HK)$
Risk Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's view. It does not represent any position or investment advice of Futu. Futu makes no representation or warranty.Read more
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